Realized P&L
+$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$247
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
8,262
Trades
41,256
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-08 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 50% +$16,489
Other
6% 33% -$2,445
Politics
1% 36% -$425
Tech
0% 39% +$44
Sports
0% 28% -$52
Pop-Culture
0% 8% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +299 $86 84¢ $252 +$166 07-19 05:26
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +120 $52 83¢ $100 +$48 07-15 18:14
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No +52 $45 97¢ $50 +$5 07-20 20:25
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +59 $49 72¢ $42 -$6 08-24 03:11
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +42 $23 97¢ $41 +$18 07-16 03:44
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +40 $35 99¢ $40 +$4 07-14 14:54
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +236 $117 16¢ $37 -$81 07-19 03:17
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +38 $6 95¢ $36 +$30 07-16 00:26
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +45 $37 78¢ $35 -$1 07-16 23:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +40 $27 78¢ $31 +$4 07-21 00:55
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +120 $22 25¢ $30 +$8 08-26 20:27
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 Yes +120 $29 24¢ $29 +$1 07-18 16:16
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +30 $20 94¢ $28 +$8 07-13 08:29
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +40 $28 65¢ $26 -$2 07-14 21:07
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +22 $20 93¢ $21 +$0 07-20 12:45
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $54 17¢ $20 -$34 07-17 18:52
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +34 $9 60¢ $20 +$11 07-25 03:17
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 07-21 12:16
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$2 07-14 06:42
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +20 $11 95¢ $19 +$8 07-06 18:15
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +20 $17 93¢ $19 +$1 07-20 06:46
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No +20 $16 91¢ $18 +$2 07-17 23:07
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +21 $15 85¢ $18 +$3 07-17 10:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +25 $3 71¢ $18 +$14 07-14 14:48
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +20 $0 86¢ $17 +$17 07-19 07:18
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 07-14 07:06
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $13 86¢ $17 +$4 07-21 03:40
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 $0 07-15 21:13
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 07-09 13:50
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +25 $11 66¢ $16 +$6 07-07 01:45