Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$478

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

327

Trades

1,560

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 09-07 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

83% 26% -$328

Politics

10% 25% -$40

Crypto

4% 50% -$2

Sports

2% 28% -$60

Tech

1% 0% -$48

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	08-10 15:51
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	07-19 00:51
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-23 13:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?	8	$1.3K	946	946	+0	No	+$2	06-25 05:07
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first?	4	$940	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-24 09:01
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	3	$920	500	500	+0	Over	+$0	06-24 16:24
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	2	$785	500	500	+0	Under	+$5	06-30 04:24
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 2pt5	2	$720	500	500	+0	Under	+$0	06-25 05:41
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners second half total 5pt5	4	$640	500	500	+0	Under	+$0	07-07 18:02
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?	7	$568	302	302	+0	No	+$0	06-27 14:51
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 8pt5	2	$565	500	500	+0	Over	+$5	07-05 13:58
Germany to win the second half?	6	$560	500	500	+0	No	$0	06-25 21:06
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 9pt5	2	$540	500	500	+0	Under	-$10	06-26 12:22
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total away 0pt5	2	$475	500	500	+0	Under	+$5	07-02 12:44
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	2	$464	250	250	+0	No	-$1	07-03 14:55
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	3	$460	500	500	+0	Under	$0	06-24 05:48
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$442	250	250	+0	No	+$3	07-03 05:15
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	2	$435	500	500	+0	Under	+$5	06-27 08:42
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	2	$400	500	500	+0	Under	-$30	07-01 14:51
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?	5	$368	197	197	+0	No	+$0	06-25 04:16
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	2	$330	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 12:25
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	4	$310	286	286	+0	No	+$0	06-27 07:50
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half team total home 1pt5	3	$308	250	250	+0	Over	-$7	06-23 13:08
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	2	$280	500	500	+0	Under	$0	06-25 04:25
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners team home 3pt5	2	$270	250	250	+0	Over	-$5	06-30 15:53
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 first half team total away 0pt5	3	$260	250	250	+0	Over	+$0	06-26 12:37
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 goals kevin de bruyne gte1	2	$259	204	204	+0	Yes	+$3	06-26 21:28
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	3	$250	500	500	+0	Under	+$0	06-23 05:48
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners team away 3pt5	6	$248	250	250	+0	Over	-$8	06-30 23:14
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 6pt5	2	$213	207	207	+0	Under	-$6	07-03 15:03
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	6	$194	144	144	+0	Yes	+$16	08-06 11:57
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	3	$168	138	138	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 06:49
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	08-10 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 16:14:15	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x6230ba…
09-07 16:14:07	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xd220b5…
09-07 16:14:00	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x53acbe…
09-07 16:13:45	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$37	0xf27748…
09-07 16:13:13	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf3047a…
09-07 16:13:04	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x94dc69…
09-07 16:12:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x69df35…
09-07 16:12:51	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x5585f1…
09-07 16:12:42	Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xaaaa7e…
09-07 16:12:34	Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x99a95c…
09-07 16:12:27	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x60a3e4…
09-07 16:12:21	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x86f8b3…
09-07 16:12:16	Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x8ea0b1…
09-07 16:12:12	Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xa39eae…
09-07 16:12:03	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x128c80…
09-07 16:11:58	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x815d83…
09-07 16:11:52	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xad7116…
09-07 16:11:46	Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x7147b5…
09-07 16:11:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9179be…
09-07 16:11:36	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xa140bb…
09-07 16:11:28	Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x69864a…
09-07 16:11:22	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x32a58b…
09-07 16:11:16	Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xad5bc1…
09-07 16:11:10	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6265e3…
09-07 16:11:04	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x4ad8eb…
09-07 16:11:00	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xfb8f42…
09-07 16:10:54	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9324a9…
09-07 16:10:45	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9c084c…
09-07 16:10:39	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf52806…
09-07 16:10:34	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x112e32…
09-07 16:10:28	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7559f5…
09-07 16:10:24	Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xe00c10…
09-07 16:10:18	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x9150bf…
09-07 16:10:12	Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x585e16…
09-07 16:10:06	Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x9551a5…
09-07 16:10:01	Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x37bb12…
09-07 16:09:54	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x87c8e2…
09-07 16:09:49	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4aa374…
09-07 16:09:45	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x7e319e…
09-07 16:09:39	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x71980f…
09-07 16:09:34	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x8d6fbb…
09-07 16:09:28	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa08b6a…
09-07 16:09:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7ab0be…
09-07 16:09:16	Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcaa59d…
09-07 16:09:10	Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xb2e7f8…
09-07 16:09:04	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x480f0f…
09-07 16:08:57	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x322957…
09-07 16:08:52	Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x0aae51…
09-07 16:08:46	Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa9fae2…
09-07 16:08:42	Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2962e5…
09-07 16:08:36	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x1bde91…
09-07 16:08:31	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x826ee2…
09-07 16:08:24	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbea45c…
09-07 16:08:18	Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb2f804…
09-07 16:08:12	Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0e74ba…
09-07 16:08:07	Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x656d16…
09-07 16:08:03	Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x315126…
09-07 16:07:57	Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xde7abb…
09-07 16:07:48	Will Perpl launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0a2faa…
09-07 16:07:42	Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x2cf968…
09-07 16:07:36	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x47c029…
09-07 16:07:31	Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x309a46…
09-07 16:07:25	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdaef8e…
09-07 16:07:18	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6a6559…
09-07 16:07:12	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3e24cc…
09-07 16:07:06	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5d9029…
09-07 16:06:52	Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb3fc5a…
09-07 16:06:46	Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xfb688f…
09-07 16:06:40	Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xfdd832…
09-07 16:06:34	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3065ce…
09-07 16:06:28	Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x602645…
09-07 16:06:24	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9624e9…
09-07 16:06:18	Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x54f4b7…
09-07 16:06:07	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x18a2c7…
09-07 16:06:00	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x899d17…
09-07 16:05:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x951472…
09-07 16:05:48	Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe4d5cb…
09-07 16:05:42	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9e5438…
09-07 16:05:36	Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd1401d…
09-07 16:05:24	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0xa763d7…
09-07 16:05:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xba5063…
09-07 16:04:30	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x03b9a1…
09-07 16:04:16	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xc2a616…
09-07 16:04:03	Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xa0cf1e…
08-28 13:35:54	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x8bb172…
08-28 13:35:40	Will the Cincinnati Reds hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x38b1d2…
08-28 13:32:40	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x85ab0b…
08-28 13:32:25	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xeef397…
08-28 13:32:03	Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x64af67…
08-28 13:31:49	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xf16f83…
08-28 13:31:36	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x247599…
08-28 13:31:27	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x0772cf…
08-28 13:31:19	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x70dc7b…
08-28 13:31:10	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	No	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x0d92fc…
08-28 13:31:03	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x7e548c…
08-28 13:30:55	Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x37cf31…
08-28 13:30:48	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x1d7a48…
08-28 13:30:40	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xf852a0…
08-28 13:30:31	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x1f2515…
08-28 13:30:22	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x5bfb3a…