Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
open
Total volume
$924
Trades
110
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$5,817
Latest YES mid
90¢
Latest NO mid
10¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-12 11:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $10 | $30 | $21 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $87 | $22 | +$65 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $419 | $0 | +$419 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $23 | $20 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $84 | $9 | +$75 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $25 | $5 | +$20 |
| Median | 4 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
| Below median | 4 | $8 | $5 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $5 | $27 | $22 |
| unranked | 15 | $402 | $20 | +$382 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +310 | $268 | $493 | 7 | 07-05 02:44 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +241 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-05 02:44 |
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | +92 | $76 | $76 | 5 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +62 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-01 06:33 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +46 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-09 22:07 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $3 | $8 | 4 | 07-05 02:44 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-12 11:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $3 | $7 | 13 | 07-05 02:25 |
| Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 05:58 |
| Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-08 08:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 01:24 |
| Anchored-Monsoon 0x69d8…870f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-09 22:07 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 06:58 |
| Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 11:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x69e573… |
| 07-12 11:22:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x69e573… |
| 07-11 06:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x184baf… |
| 07-11 06:43:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x184baf… |
| 07-11 06:42:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x822ec5… |
| 07-11 06:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x822ec5… |
| 07-09 22:07:31 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 07-09 22:07:31 | Anchored-Monsoon 0x69d8…870f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 07-05 02:44:31 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 90¢ | $108 | 0xa2e9e7… |
| 07-05 02:44:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 120 | 10¢ | $12 | 0xa2e9e7… |
| 07-05 02:44:10 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x010ef1… |
| 07-05 02:44:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x010ef1… |
| 07-05 02:25:38 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x81a3ba… |
| 07-05 02:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x81a3ba… |
| 07-05 02:25:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x81a3ba… |
| 07-05 02:25:35 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 90¢ | $159 | 0xdcd1d6… |
| 07-05 02:25:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xdcd1d6… |
| 07-05 02:25:35 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 121 | 10¢ | $12 | 0xdcd1d6… |
| 07-05 02:25:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xdcd1d6… |
| 07-04 16:33:58 | Prime-Jogging 0x708c…6c39 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xa508f4… |
| 07-04 16:33:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xa508f4… |
| 07-01 11:54:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x9f05e9… |
| 07-01 11:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9f05e9… |
| 07-01 06:33:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x290e1c… |
| 07-01 06:33:11 | Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x290e1c… |
| 07-01 06:32:10 | Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | BUY | 39 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x07d28d… |
| 07-01 06:32:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x07d28d… |
| 07-01 06:32:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x07d28d… |
| 07-01 00:32:52 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…a3d2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x0567a7… |
| 07-01 00:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0567a7… |
| 07-01 00:32:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x0567a7… |
| 07-01 00:32:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x0567a7… |
| 06-30 08:19:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4c4cc5… |
| 06-30 08:19:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4c4cc5… |
| 06-29 13:21:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x42fae9… |
| 06-29 13:21:23 | Stupendous-Aquifer 0x9a8d…d29e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x42fae9… |
| 06-29 02:56:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6991a9… |
| 06-29 02:56:49 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6991a9… |
| 06-29 02:56:25 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa85379… |
| 06-29 02:56:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa85379… |
| 06-28 23:24:20 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8813fc… |
| 06-28 23:24:20 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8813fc… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 84¢ | $85 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x184805… |
| 06-28 23:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 16 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x184805… |
| 06-27 09:54:47 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xd46491… |
| 06-27 09:54:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd46491… |
| 06-27 03:45:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x8e0898… |
| 06-27 03:45:26 | Sturdy-Rhetoric 0x2e9c…ef36 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x8e0898… |
| 06-15 14:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5b9447… |
| 06-15 14:07:04 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5b9447… |
| 06-15 01:24:16 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x559a79… |
| 06-15 01:24:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x559a79… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | (anonymous) 0x6564…47ce | Yes | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-10 00:11:52 | Prime-Jogging 0x708c…6c39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8dbeb9… |
| 06-10 00:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8dbeb9… |
| 06-10 00:11:49 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x24b359… |
| 06-10 00:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x24b359… |
| 06-10 00:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x109dd1… |
| 06-10 00:11:48 | Sturdy-Rhetoric 0x2e9c…ef36 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x109dd1… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x6564…47ce | Yes | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0b034a… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0b034a… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 86 | 82¢ | $71 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 84¢ | $92 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-08 16:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93ec28… |
| 06-08 16:27:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93ec28… |
| 06-08 08:08:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8baa26… |
| 06-08 08:08:46 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x8baa26… |
| 06-08 08:08:45 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x757e0c… |
| 06-08 08:08:45 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x757e0c… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1e3db4… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3acf46… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1e3db4… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3acf46… |
| 06-08 08:07:07 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd1f486… |
| 06-08 08:07:07 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd1f486… |
| 06-08 08:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57afda… |
| 06-08 08:06:09 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x57afda… |
| 06-08 08:06:06 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x923ab9… |
| 06-08 08:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x923ab9… |
| 06-08 08:06:04 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xa69558… |
| 06-08 08:06:04 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xa69558… |
| 06-07 09:14:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3c6d56… |
| 06-07 09:14:04 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3c6d56… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x687d19… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6abb9a… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x687d19… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6abb9a… |