Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
open
Total volume
$372
Trades
57
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$5,817
Latest YES mid
87¢
Latest NO mid
13¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-15 14:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $79 | $2 | +$77 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $30 | $0 | +$29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $29 | $2 | +$26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $76 | $0 | +$76 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | $0 | +$11 |
| Below median | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $2 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 6 | $18 | $2 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | +92 | $76 | $76 | 5 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +9 | $0 | $3 | 10 | 06-12 04:53 |
| Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-08 08:08 |
| Prime-Jogging 0x708c…6c39 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 01:24 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 06:58 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 7 | 06-12 04:53 |
| Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5b9447… |
| 06-15 14:07:04 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5b9447… |
| 06-15 01:24:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x559a79… |
| 06-15 01:24:16 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x559a79… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | (anonymous) 0x6564…47ce | Yes | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-12 04:53:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x457ff1… |
| 06-10 00:11:52 | Prime-Jogging 0x708c…6c39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8dbeb9… |
| 06-10 00:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8dbeb9… |
| 06-10 00:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x24b359… |
| 06-10 00:11:49 | (anonymous) 0xde2e…d234 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x24b359… |
| 06-10 00:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x109dd1… |
| 06-10 00:11:48 | Sturdy-Rhetoric 0x2e9c…ef36 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x109dd1… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0b034a… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0b034a… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x6564…47ce | Yes | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x200f9b… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 84¢ | $92 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-10 00:11:37 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 86 | 82¢ | $71 | 0xfe6cd4… |
| 06-08 16:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93ec28… |
| 06-08 16:27:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93ec28… |
| 06-08 08:08:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8baa26… |
| 06-08 08:08:46 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x8baa26… |
| 06-08 08:08:45 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x757e0c… |
| 06-08 08:08:45 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x757e0c… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1e3db4… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3acf46… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3acf46… |
| 06-08 08:07:09 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1e3db4… |
| 06-08 08:07:07 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd1f486… |
| 06-08 08:07:07 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd1f486… |
| 06-08 08:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57afda… |
| 06-08 08:06:09 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x57afda… |
| 06-08 08:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x923ab9… |
| 06-08 08:06:06 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x923ab9… |
| 06-08 08:06:04 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xa69558… |
| 06-08 08:06:04 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xa69558… |
| 06-07 09:14:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3c6d56… |
| 06-07 09:14:04 | Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3c6d56… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x687d19… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Responsible-Jade 0xd43e…49c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6abb9a… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6abb9a… |
| 06-07 09:14:03 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x687d19… |
| 06-07 09:13:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1c78bc… |
| 06-07 09:13:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1c78bc… |
| 06-05 06:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x40396e… |
| 06-05 06:58:31 | Sturdy-Rhetoric 0x2e9c…ef36 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x40396e… |
| 06-04 05:58:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x996db3… |
| 06-04 05:58:19 | Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x996db3… |
| 06-02 11:43:53 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xf0a1d1… |
| 06-02 11:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xf0a1d1… |
| 06-02 11:43:37 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xe379c6… |
| 06-02 11:43:37 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xe379c6… |