Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
open
Total volume
$2,585
Trades
201
Unique wallets
63
Liquidity
$5,817
Latest YES mid
90¢
Latest NO mid
10¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-07 15:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $14 | $33 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $459 | $66 | +$393 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $1.2K | $22 | +$1.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $27 | $97 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $94 | $16 | +$78 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $25 | $6 | +$20 |
| Median | 5 | $11 | $6 | +$5 |
| Below median | 15 | $368 | $94 | +$274 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $19 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $25 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $8 | $6 |
| unranked | 25 | $1.2K | $44 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +600 | $516 | $1,074 | 10 | 08-07 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | +441 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 08-06 12:12 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | +375 | $360 | $360 | 3 | 08-06 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +303 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-15 03:39 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +302 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 07-20 11:33 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +241 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-05 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | +201 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 08-07 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c3a…a60f | No | +188 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-05 00:11 |
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | Yes | +92 | $76 | $76 | 5 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +62 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-01 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-06 12:56 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +36 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 08-07 05:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +33 | $-5 | $9 | 6 | 08-06 13:43 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 12:17 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 12:56 |
| Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | +16 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 08-07 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-07 12:01 |
| Stimulating-Macaroon 0x74fc…492c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aac…dfad | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-17 15:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-30 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | +10 | $1 | $38 | 7 | 08-07 12:01 |
| Unrealistic-Tomography 0x1022…174a | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 05:58 |
| Buoyant-Gland 0xedd8…b939 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-08 08:08 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 01:24 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-30 22:47 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 03:39 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-29 22:08 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | +3 | $4 | $9 | 11 | 08-07 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 06:58 |
| Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 00:11 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | +1 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 07-29 22:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ba45e… |
| 08-07 15:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ba45e… |
| 08-07 15:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c87d8… |
| 08-07 15:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c87d8… |
| 08-07 12:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4b811c… |
| 08-07 12:01:45 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4b811c… |
| 08-07 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47a383… |
| 08-07 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47a383… |
| 08-07 05:44:25 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 97¢ | $67 | 0x692078… |
| 08-07 05:44:25 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x692078… |
| 08-07 05:44:25 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x692078… |
| 08-07 05:43:55 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x30c6ec… |
| 08-07 05:43:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x30c6ec… |
| 08-07 05:43:55 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x30c6ec… |
| 08-07 05:43:55 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 98¢ | $99 | 0x30c6ec… |
| 08-07 05:43:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x30c6ec… |
| 08-07 00:07:17 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x46716b… |
| 08-07 00:07:17 | Short-Term-Nightgown 0x0708…f218 | No | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x46716b… |
| 08-06 22:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 149 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x548573… |
| 08-06 22:41:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 149 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x548573… |
| 08-06 21:07:24 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | No | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2bd37c… |
| 08-06 21:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2bd37c… |
| 08-06 13:47:09 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x233766… |
| 08-06 13:47:09 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x233766… |
| 08-06 13:43:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x472ba6… |
| 08-06 13:43:33 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x472ba6… |
| 08-06 13:43:00 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b08f0… |
| 08-06 13:43:00 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x5b08f0… |
| 08-06 13:43:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b08f0… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | Corrupt-Substance 0x7ec1…e2e3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | Linear-Monocle 0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 95¢ | $75 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:56:50 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | Yes | BUY | 256 | 94¢ | $242 | 0x92534c… |
| 08-06 12:18:17 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf5e424… |
| 08-06 12:18:17 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf5e424… |
| 08-06 12:17:54 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x74b8cd… |
| 08-06 12:17:54 | (anonymous) 0x5434…654b | No | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x74b8cd… |
| 08-06 12:17:32 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc681f2… |
| 08-06 12:17:32 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc681f2… |
| 08-06 12:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xaf2761… |
| 08-06 12:17:17 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xaf2761… |
| 08-06 12:17:17 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xaf2761… |
| 08-06 12:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbe4210… |
| 08-06 12:17:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbe4210… |
| 08-06 12:17:14 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbe4210… |
| 08-06 12:17:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x741dec… |
| 08-06 12:17:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x741dec… |
| 08-06 12:17:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9cf503… |
| 08-06 12:17:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9cf503… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | BUY | 253 | 91¢ | $230 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-06 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5b6a08… |
| 08-05 00:11:59 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | BUY | 188 | 90¢ | $170 | 0x5cc14d… |
| 08-05 00:11:59 | (anonymous) 0x9c3a…a60f | No | BUY | 188 | 10¢ | $18 | 0x5cc14d… |
| 07-30 22:47:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x78cdd0… |
| 07-30 22:47:38 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x78cdd0… |
| 07-29 22:08:15 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x34bb82… |
| 07-29 22:08:15 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x34bb82… |
| 07-20 11:33:12 | Lazy-Size 0xff49…2f07 | No | SELL | 94 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xf2c9c9… |
| 07-20 11:33:12 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 82 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xf2c9c9… |
| 07-20 11:33:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf2c9c9… |
| 07-20 11:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5444bf… |
| 07-20 11:32:55 | Lazy-Size 0xff49…2f07 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x5444bf… |
| 07-20 04:40:12 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-20 04:40:12 | (anonymous) 0xb028…5716 | No | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-18 17:29:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x8a3bf4… |
| 07-18 17:29:16 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x8a3bf4… |
| 07-17 15:22:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x857c88… |
| 07-17 15:22:00 | Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aac…dfad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x857c88… |
| 07-17 13:02:10 | Anchored-Monsoon 0x69d8…870f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xdcba36… |
| 07-17 13:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xdcba36… |
| 07-15 03:40:08 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 136 | 10¢ | $13 | 0x0cde53… |
| 07-15 03:40:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 136 | 10¢ | $13 | 0x0cde53… |
| 07-15 03:39:50 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x57726f… |
| 07-15 03:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 301 | 10¢ | $30 | 0x57726f… |
| 07-15 03:39:50 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 461 | 90¢ | $415 | 0x57726f… |
| 07-15 03:39:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x57726f… |
| 07-15 03:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 136 | 10¢ | $13 | 0x57726f… |
| 07-14 17:41:32 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x576cfb… |
| 07-14 17:41:32 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x576cfb… |
| 07-14 17:23:40 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x14f8ee… |
| 07-14 17:23:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x14f8ee… |
| 07-12 11:22:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x69e573… |
| 07-12 11:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x69e573… |
| 07-11 06:43:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x184baf… |
| 07-11 06:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x184baf… |
| 07-11 06:42:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x822ec5… |
| 07-11 06:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x822ec5… |
| 07-09 22:07:31 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 07-09 22:07:31 | Anchored-Monsoon 0x69d8…870f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 07-05 02:44:31 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 90¢ | $108 | 0xa2e9e7… |