Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aacd4…c6dfad
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.57K
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
494
Trades
1,642
lifetime
Volume
$166.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$14.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 15:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
62% 59% +$7,585
Politics
36% 57% +$268
Sports
1% 52% +$96
Tech
0% 60% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +4,166 $2,764 96¢ $4.0K +$1,257 10-08 13:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4,013 $2,502 66¢ $2.6K +$126 10-21 16:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,816 $2,020 68¢ $1.9K -$91 10-20 09:50
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +1,690 $1,305 82¢ $1.4K +$81 10-24 15:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,708 $1,012 66¢ $1.1K +$124 10-16 17:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +957 $400 63¢ $607 +$207 10-15 11:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +466 $350 77¢ $358 +$8 10-15 11:07
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +421 $330 84¢ $351 +$21 10-21 04:05
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +297 $250 96¢ $283 +$33 10-08 14:01
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +293 $228 81¢ $237 +$9 10-24 15:21
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +252 $197 89¢ $224 +$27 10-21 08:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +302 $220 70¢ $213 -$7 10-24 05:22
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +410 $142 40¢ $162 +$20 10-24 15:21
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +419 $140 38¢ $161 +$21 10-21 16:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -692 -$138 18¢ $-128 +$10 05-07 08:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +426 $310 28¢ $119 -$191 10-16 12:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +161 $100 74¢ $119 +$19 05-29 16:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +111 $100 99¢ $110 +$10 08-27 00:45
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +119 $100 86¢ $102 +$2 10-21 16:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +391 $110 16¢ $61 -$49 09-11 09:44
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +74 $50 72¢ $53 +$3 10-23 18:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +114 $25 32¢ $36 +$11 09-22 15:15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +198 $100 16¢ $31 -$69 05-23 02:06
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $30 60¢ $27 -$2 07-14 05:44
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +58 $39 42¢ $24 -$15 10-21 08:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +26 $20 92¢ $24 +$4 10-16 04:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +62 $30 38¢ $24 -$6 10-15 12:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +26 $20 90¢ $23 +$3 09-13 18:59
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +27 $20 88¢ $23 +$3 10-16 04:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +38 $25 60¢ $23 -$2 10-24 05:22