Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
77
lifetime
Volume
$297
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$87
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 07-20 03:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Politics
23%
Pop-Culture
12%
Tech
4%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +24 $6 62¢ $15 +$9 07-07 00:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +86 $6 11¢ $10 +$4 07-04 12:04
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? No +18 $6 43¢ $8 +$2 07-13 09:51
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +17 $5 47¢ $8 +$3 07-04 00:12
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +73 $6 $6 +$0 07-04 00:12
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? No +62 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 07-01 06:33
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 51¢ $6 $-0 07-06 15:34
Blue wave in 2026? No +22 $6 24¢ $5 $-1 07-01 06:04
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +37 $6 14¢ $5 $-1 07-04 00:12
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No +40 $4 12¢ $5 +$1 07-01 06:34
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +11 $5 42¢ $5 $-1 07-20 03:37
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No +13 $6 28¢ $4 $-2 07-15 06:39
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +29 $6 12¢ $4 $-2 07-04 00:12
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +42 $7 $1 $-6 06-13 18:43
Haiti elections delayed again? No +12 $6 $0 $-6 06-06 15:06
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? No -6 $7 $-0 $-7 07-15 06:47