(anonymous) 0xf37956…f2c1ca
hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
114
Trades
1,442
lifetime
Volume
$74.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$6.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 10-28 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
46% 74% +$3
Other
46% 77% +$1,168
Tech
4% 75% +$82
Sports
4% 83% +$152
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +798 $682 90¢ $723 +$41 09-22 19:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +600 $334 96¢ $577 +$243 08-15 22:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +550 $503 92¢ $509 +$6 10-23 09:17
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +504 $450 94¢ $476 +$27 10-24 19:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +500 $474 95¢ $475 +$2 07-27 07:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +650 $451 70¢ $452 +$0 10-26 21:30
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +527 $315 64¢ $340 +$25 10-23 18:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +345 $190 94¢ $323 +$133 07-26 00:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $283 70¢ $278 -$5 10-26 15:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +395 $318 66¢ $259 -$59 09-23 01:18
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +250 $214 90¢ $224 +$10 07-29 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +244 $217 91¢ $222 +$4 10-08 15:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +300 $177 68¢ $202 +$26 10-09 17:25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +350 $245 49¢ $172 -$73 10-23 17:48
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +200 $126 76¢ $152 +$26 08-13 18:06
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,000 $200 14¢ $140 -$60 10-03 04:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +150 $126 86¢ $128 +$2 07-27 15:27
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +438 $72 29¢ $127 +$55 10-19 17:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +855 $83 15¢ $124 +$41 08-07 20:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$106 16¢ $-81 +$26 08-14 02:36
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +112 $17 71¢ $79 +$62 08-18 13:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$81 15¢ $-76 +$4 08-31 11:32
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -250 -$50 22¢ $-54 -$4 07-31 06:35
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $48 52¢ $52 +$4 09-20 15:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +755 $288 6¢ $49 -$239 07-28 04:14
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $47 48¢ $48 +$2 08-06 21:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +200 $68 22¢ $45 -$23 08-15 14:56
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -250 -$55 18¢ $-44 +$11 10-21 02:49
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +270 $94 12¢ $31 -$63 09-03 11:24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +600 $161 4¢ $23 -$138 09-11 08:57