Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
open
Total volume
$5,124
Trades
186
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$2,351
Latest YES mid
86¢
Latest NO mid
14¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-18 14:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $159 | $123 | +$36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $1.4K | $83 | +$1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $1.2K | $167 | +$1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $72 | $171 | $99 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $97 | $11 | +$86 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 6 | $48 | $16 | +$32 |
| Below median | 10 | $519 | $187 | +$333 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $130 | $25 | +$104 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $819 | $118 | +$702 |
| unranked | 26 | $1.2K | $163 | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | +708 | $521 | $1,744 | 9 | 08-18 14:34 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | +665 | $533 | $794 | 9 | 08-15 14:33 |
| Fluid-Clan 0xbbae…13f8 | No | +606 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 07-16 15:37 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +549 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-18 17:38 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +280 | $51 | $90 | 3 | 07-18 17:39 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +110 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 07-16 19:22 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +109 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-26 16:32 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +108 | $12 | $26 | 5 | 08-12 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +104 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-16 17:00 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +101 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-16 17:00 |
| Fruitful-Sleet 0x2aac…dfad | Yes | +61 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-17 15:21 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +56 | $13 | $13 | 12 | 07-18 18:01 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-20 07:44 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +42 | $3 | $6 | 7 | 08-13 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 08-13 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-12 12:22 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-01 06:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +35 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-18 17:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-16 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…a3d2 | Yes | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 19:56 |
| Grizzled-Birthday 0xb0f1…9f29 | No | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 19:56 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +22 | $3 | $11 | 3 | 08-12 12:22 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-07 03:16 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +14 | $21 | $291 | 6 | 08-07 03:16 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +10 | $-1 | $3 | 5 | 08-12 12:22 |
| Slow-Ark-Musician 0xd761…a957 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc83…4d1e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 00:19 |
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 16:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 14:34:12 | (anonymous) 0x9c3a…a60f | No | SELL | 133 | 6¢ | $8 | 0xb3465f… |
| 08-18 14:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 133 | 94¢ | $125 | 0xb3465f… |
| 08-18 06:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xbd0f49… |
| 08-18 06:56:37 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 64 | 94¢ | $60 | 0xbd0f49… |
| 08-18 06:56:36 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x2f66a1… |
| 08-18 06:56:36 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x2f66a1… |
| 08-15 14:33:40 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x679ca5… |
| 08-15 14:33:40 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x679ca5… |
| 08-13 02:50:03 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x46d5f6… |
| 08-13 02:50:03 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x46d5f6… |
| 08-13 02:50:03 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x46d5f6… |
| 08-13 01:07:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf83fc8… |
| 08-13 01:07:06 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf83fc8… |
| 08-13 01:07:06 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xf83fc8… |
| 08-13 01:07:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf83fc8… |
| 08-12 23:54:16 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9285af… |
| 08-12 23:54:16 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | No | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9285af… |
| 08-12 23:54:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9285af… |
| 08-12 23:50:48 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbecfef… |
| 08-12 23:50:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbecfef… |
| 08-12 23:46:54 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | No | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x81c202… |
| 08-12 23:46:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x81c202… |
| 08-12 14:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | No | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x768f40… |
| 08-12 14:22:57 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x768f40… |
| 08-12 12:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd13551… |
| 08-12 12:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd13551… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 64 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 94 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 342 | 90¢ | $309 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | No | BUY | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-12 12:22:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f8d81… |
| 08-07 03:16:42 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0x7467b8… |
| 08-07 03:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 275 | 11¢ | $30 | 0x7467b8… |
| 08-07 03:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 248 | 89¢ | $221 | 0x7467b8… |
| 08-07 03:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | No | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x70676c… |
| 08-07 03:16:24 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x70676c… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 64 | 89¢ | $57 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 275 | 12¢ | $33 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-07 03:16:21 | Vigilant-Parrot 0x4612…d79b | No | SELL | 426 | 12¢ | $51 | 0xc5e26b… |
| 08-05 09:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x71dff0… |
| 08-05 09:32:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x71dff0… |
| 08-05 00:10:59 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 133 | 86¢ | $114 | 0xe73784… |
| 08-05 00:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x9c3a…a60f | No | BUY | 133 | 14¢ | $19 | 0xe73784… |
| 07-29 09:14:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x5830ec… |
| 07-29 09:14:42 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x5830ec… |
| 07-29 09:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x9cc9…c9d7 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x5830ec… |
| 07-24 00:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x9eedc1… |
| 07-24 00:47:13 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x9eedc1… |
| 07-22 11:00:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x253b42… |
| 07-22 11:00:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x253b42… |
| 07-22 11:00:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1b76c2… |
| 07-22 11:00:37 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x1b76c2… |
| 07-22 11:00:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 88¢ | $41 | 0x1b76c2… |
| 07-22 00:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc3dbc6… |
| 07-22 00:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xc3dbc6… |
| 07-20 08:58:04 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xc94afc… |
| 07-20 08:58:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 87¢ | $28 | 0xc94afc… |
| 07-20 08:58:04 | Which-Trade 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0xc94afc… |
| 07-20 07:44:40 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x5ebe7c… |
| 07-20 07:44:40 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x5ebe7c… |
| 07-19 00:19:30 | (anonymous) 0xfc83…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x4e5554… |
| 07-19 00:19:30 | Which-Trade 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x4e5554… |
| 07-18 18:01:43 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4c2c0d… |
| 07-18 18:01:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x4c2c0d… |
| 07-18 18:01:43 | Which-Trade 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0x4c2c0d… |
| 07-18 17:41:30 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x898b05… |
| 07-18 17:41:30 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x898b05… |
| 07-18 17:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 114 | 83¢ | $95 | 0x500859… |
| 07-18 17:39:13 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | SELL | 114 | 17¢ | $19 | 0x500859… |
| 07-18 17:39:12 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xaa5799… |
| 07-18 17:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 45 | 83¢ | $38 | 0xaa5799… |
| 07-18 17:39:01 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x7859be… |
| 07-18 17:39:01 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x224ca3… |
| 07-18 17:39:01 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x224ca3… |
| 07-18 17:39:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x7859be… |
| 07-18 17:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xd939bb… |
| 07-18 17:38:51 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd939bb… |
| 07-18 17:38:51 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd939bb… |
| 07-18 17:38:43 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd5aa4a… |
| 07-18 17:38:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd5aa4a… |
| 07-18 17:38:40 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xcade49… |
| 07-18 17:38:40 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xcade49… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | Yes | BUY | 1,382 | 82¢ | $1,132 | 0xa31e19… |
| 07-18 17:38:39 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0xa31e19… |