Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
open
Total volume
$292
Trades
45
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,351
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-07 17:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $3 | $8 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $105 | $2 | +$103 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $56 | $0 | +$56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $28 | $13 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $103 | — | +$103 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 9 | $61 | $8 | +$53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +109 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-26 16:32 |
| Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-01 06:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +37 | $5 | $11 | 2 | 07-06 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | +32 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-26 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…a3d2 | Yes | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 19:56 |
| Grizzled-Birthday 0xb0f1…9f29 | No | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 19:56 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 16:32 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-03 18:48 |
| Slow-Ark-Musician 0xd761…a957 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 16:32 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 16:32 |
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 06:10 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 16:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:28:14 | Another-Down 0xb6c8…892e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcab4a2… |
| 07-07 17:28:14 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcab4a2… |
| 07-06 20:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x927a8c… |
| 07-06 20:41:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x927a8c… |
| 07-03 18:48:59 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x3a5971… |
| 07-03 18:48:59 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x3a5971… |
| 07-01 06:34:31 | Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdec78f… |
| 07-01 06:34:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xdec78f… |
| 07-01 06:33:37 | Darling-Jazz 0x9dc5…89a3 | No | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9bd394… |
| 07-01 06:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x9bd394… |
| 06-26 22:46:25 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1a3617… |
| 06-26 22:46:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1a3617… |
| 06-26 20:29:56 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc1bdcb… |
| 06-26 20:29:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc1bdcb… |
| 06-26 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb1872d… |
| 06-26 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x0fb4…c6d7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb1872d… |
| 06-26 16:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x527284… |
| 06-26 16:32:14 | (anonymous) 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x527284… |
| 06-26 16:32:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 77 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x0d0c02… |
| 06-26 16:32:13 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 90¢ | $69 | 0x0d0c02… |
| 06-26 16:32:04 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xdbdda8… |
| 06-26 16:32:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdbdda8… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0x6be116… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | Slow-Ark-Musician 0xd761…a957 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4e3e4b… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4e3e4b… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 89¢ | $29 | 0x6be116… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | (anonymous) 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb8880e… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb8880e… |
| 06-26 16:32:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6be116… |
| 06-22 00:49:59 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5d83b5… |
| 06-22 00:49:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5d83b5… |
| 06-22 00:48:32 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x605b49… |
| 06-22 00:48:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x605b49… |
| 06-10 19:56:15 | Grizzled-Birthday 0xb0f1…9f29 | No | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xd72759… |
| 06-10 19:56:15 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…a3d2 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xd72759… |
| 06-07 09:16:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xd0cb9a… |
| 06-07 09:16:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xd0cb9a… |
| 06-07 09:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf63b13… |
| 06-07 09:13:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf63b13… |
| 06-05 21:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x640f9a… |
| 06-05 21:24:09 | Repulsive-Tenor 0x7a1c…73f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x640f9a… |
| 06-05 06:10:54 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfb3483… |
| 06-05 06:10:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfb3483… |
| 06-05 06:08:15 | Repulsive-Tenor 0x7a1c…73f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x390ff8… |
| 06-05 06:08:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x390ff8… |