Realized P&L
-$5.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved
5,688
Trades
11,761
lifetime
Volume
$84.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$13
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-28 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
95% 50% -$5,325
Crypto
4% 47% +$103
Politics
1% 64% -$80
Tech
0% 41% -$137
Sports
0% 66% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $3 67¢ $3 +$0 07-17 02:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-01 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 07-15 15:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-01 10:35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 39¢ $1 +$0 06-25 22:08
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +12 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-15 15:51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 07-09 19:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 $0 07-01 10:19
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +6 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-16 11:51
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 07-04 13:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-26 04:27
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-08 14:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-24 14:22