Gullible-Angel 0xe1a96e…f3339e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
57
Trades
2,935
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$157
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-20 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
65% 56% +$8
Politics
24% 33% $-5
Tech
7% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Crypto
2% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue wave in 2026? No +78 $22 24¢ $19 $-3 06-13 20:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +50 $15 30¢ $15 +$0 06-08 11:46
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -15 $-7 82¢ $-12 $-5 06-10 15:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -15 $-7 80¢ $-12 $-5 06-10 16:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-7 70¢ $-10 $-4 06-02 18:39
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -15 $-7 63¢ $-9 $-3 05-31 19:52
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? No +50 $10 16¢ $8 $-2 07-10 10:07
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +50 $10 15¢ $8 $-2 06-14 11:29
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No +50 $8 14¢ $7 $-1 07-20 07:44
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $4 17¢ $6 +$2 06-20 21:29
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +50 $10 12¢ $6 $-4 06-12 19:11
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $6 11¢ $5 $-0 07-08 07:22
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +40 $4 13¢ $5 +$1 07-08 21:49
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -15 $-5 31¢ $-5 +$1 06-24 12:23
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +40 $2 12¢ $5 +$2 07-04 05:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10 $-17 44¢ $-4 +$12 07-06 10:10
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 20:37
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +16 $3 20¢ $3 +$0 07-15 22:15
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -7 $-3 40¢ $-3 +$0 07-20 21:15
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -5 $-7 51¢ $-3 +$4 06-14 05:30
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? No +10 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-20 09:36
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +18 $2 8¢ $1 $-0 06-25 23:32
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 06-02 03:19
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +10 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-20 11:42
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -15 $-8 3¢ $-0 +$7 06-29 00:48
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No -5 $-0 4¢ $-0 $-0 06-25 00:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-8 0¢ $-0 +$8 06-18 00:53