Gullible-Angel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,064

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 08-09 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

64% 56% +$8

Politics

25% 33% $-5

Tech

7% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Crypto

2% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	10	$104	150	180	-30	open	—	07-13 07:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 10:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 21:32
will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	4	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	07-04 05:54
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	5	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 11:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	5	$57	88	68	+20	open	—	06-14 12:47
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	7	$51	108	100	+8	open	—	08-01 03:50
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	4	$49	100	100	+0	open	—	06-22 13:34
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$47	80	80	+0	open	—	07-07 17:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$46	80	90	-10	open	—	07-06 10:10
will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	6	$45	60	60	+0	open	—	06-25 12:39
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	9	$45	72	65	+7	open	—	06-23 19:30
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$45	67	66	+1	open	—	06-12 00:07
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	4	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 02:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	3	$45	50	65	-15	open	—	06-10 22:53
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	4	$44	100	50	+50	open	—	06-24 03:10
will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	6	$43	69	69	+0	open	—	06-12 22:19
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	4	$41	99	99	+0	open	—	07-01 17:03
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	3	$39	100	50	+50	open	—	07-09 15:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-19 01:06
iran closes its airspace by july 31	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 19:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 12:41
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-18 19:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-29 14:31
another gta vi trailer released by june 26	3	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-24 07:44
will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 01:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	3	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 12:38
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	3	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	06-24 14:10
will trump speak to elon musk in june	2	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 05:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	3	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:06:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x35481e…
08-09 17:09:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x706777…
08-09 02:37:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x5aad30…
08-08 21:23:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xcf249b…
08-07 15:34:12	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa73303…
08-07 13:55:34	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1faa2c…
08-07 12:36:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x7965ba…
08-07 12:32:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x29dd2e…
08-07 10:35:12	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe96553…
08-07 10:03:01	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x0f91d6…
08-07 08:06:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xdfee3b…
08-07 07:53:18	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1bafa6…
08-06 23:50:54	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x5e2804…
08-06 22:42:53	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xef0201…
08-06 18:49:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb1bb43…
08-06 18:49:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9d1738…
08-06 18:49:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe3bcdb…
08-06 13:00:14	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3cd6e7…
08-06 12:58:35	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0b71c8…
08-05 15:36:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x63d5e1…
08-05 07:31:32	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x500390…
08-05 05:05:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf436af…
08-05 05:05:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc02b7d…
08-05 02:30:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xae331b…
08-05 01:17:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0e57b8…
08-04 17:48:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x390ea5…
08-04 17:47:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x33e20f…
08-04 17:35:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xa241a3…
08-03 15:41:44	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x191e8e…
08-03 08:03:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb37ae4…
08-03 08:01:12	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2dd4e1…
08-03 07:59:36	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xcf3e98…
08-02 06:52:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6584d9…
08-02 02:26:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1d3a17…
08-01 19:17:20	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf4c73f…
08-01 14:50:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x3e89f6…
08-01 11:48:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x9af27d…
08-01 11:32:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x08266b…
08-01 06:09:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd0a449…
08-01 06:04:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xbe741b…
08-01 03:50:36	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x4c3853…
08-01 03:01:33	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xcb31d9…
08-01 02:28:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x773aca…
07-31 22:47:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6ee245…
07-31 21:18:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x86c790…
07-31 21:00:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x00645a…
07-31 19:45:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xc84f41…
07-31 18:08:21	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x36c41b…
07-31 11:34:39	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 30	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x44248b…
07-31 11:18:35	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 30	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x865f0d…
07-31 06:41:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x3a1e2a…
07-31 06:41:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd34ad6…
07-31 04:55:30	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xf602a1…
07-30 22:59:08	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x135621…
07-30 22:40:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x444016…
07-30 22:01:11	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xfe8c83…
07-30 21:01:24	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0eef33…
07-30 14:59:56	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf154c6…
07-30 12:08:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x14238a…
07-30 11:04:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x93d9e0…
07-30 10:00:15	virt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xc5d72c…
07-30 08:13:20	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdb9fd6…
07-30 07:44:14	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd2ec85…
07-30 06:07:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xfe711b…
07-30 04:09:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x219dfc…
07-30 01:59:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd602ba…
07-30 01:59:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe65c82…
07-30 01:55:53	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x2999ff…
07-29 23:55:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x81f668…
07-29 20:34:57	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x453fae…
07-29 20:33:41	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt89	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x96f42e…
07-29 20:01:03	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x961308…
07-29 19:32:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x47823e…
07-29 13:56:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xc798c1…
07-29 12:19:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x73da3d…
07-29 12:19:48	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6680ec…
07-29 12:16:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x2260a1…
07-28 18:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xfac62a…
07-28 18:06:11	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf9f51e…
07-28 18:03:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x33180a…
07-28 18:02:44	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc714c7…
07-28 18:02:43	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x542aa9…
07-28 17:39:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa6d8cb…
07-28 17:39:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7dcaec…
07-28 13:03:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x3e86c7…
07-28 13:03:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb07eef…
07-28 09:34:44	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfaf086…
07-28 00:44:57	virt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb27b7b…
07-28 00:44:42	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb49b3e…
07-28 00:43:21	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xfd43d2…
07-27 23:13:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0ee8dc…
07-27 04:31:03	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x96a62a…
07-27 00:03:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa8626c…
07-26 23:32:45	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9c6fdc…
07-26 23:32:37	rcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt97	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x73a5bc…
07-26 22:08:15	ci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 7pt6	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x56ee01…
07-26 22:05:01	ben quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 0pt66	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd6661b…
07-26 22:04:54	way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5c1114…
07-26 22:04:52	kkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt43	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x6205c7…
07-26 22:04:40	ups quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt66	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x88c31f…