Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
57
Trades
2,421
lifetime
Volume
$6.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$157
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-10 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
73% 56% +$8
Politics
17% 33% $-5
Tech
4%
Sports
3% 100% +$3
Crypto
3% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +50 $15 32¢ $16 +$1 06-08 11:46
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No -30 $-14 46¢ $-14 $-0 06-02 11:08
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -15 $-6 71¢ $-11 $-4 05-28 10:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +50 $14 21¢ $11 $-3 06-10 01:04
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +50 $13 18¢ $9 $-4 06-09 16:30
Blue wave in 2026? No +30 $8 25¢ $8 $-0 06-01 04:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +35 $8 21¢ $7 $-1 06-09 13:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-7 47¢ $-7 $-0 06-02 18:39
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +50 $6 14¢ $7 +$1 06-09 06:58
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -15 $-7 44¢ $-7 +$0 05-31 19:52
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -10 $-3 64¢ $-6 $-3 06-08 14:51
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI? Yes -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 +$0 05-28 20:38
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +30 $8 18¢ $6 $-3 06-05 16:58
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +30 $6 18¢ $6 $-0 06-04 09:02
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +30 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 06-06 15:23
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 +$0 05-28 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 06-01 16:15
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +30 $9 14¢ $4 $-5 06-01 20:09
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 20:37
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +30 $0 10¢ $3 +$3 06-01 20:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -9 $-5 25¢ $-2 +$2 06-06 04:09
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? No +30 $7 $2 $-5 05-27 20:17
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +30 $-0 $2 +$2 06-06 04:09
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +15 $0 $1 +$1 06-06 11:08
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +8 $-1 12¢ $1 +$2 06-02 02:59
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-02 03:19
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -5 $-4 16¢ $-1 +$3 06-01 05:24
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? Yes -2 $-0 13¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 20:37
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? No -11 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-03 19:35
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? No -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-09 23:01