Gullible-Angel 0xe1a96e…f3339e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
57
Trades
2,777
lifetime
Volume
$9.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$187
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-30 09:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
65% 56% +$8
Politics
24% 33% $-5
Tech
6% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Crypto
2% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue wave in 2026? No +78 $22 26¢ $20 $-2 06-13 20:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +50 $15 30¢ $15 +$0 06-29 14:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -15 $-5 85¢ $-13 $-7 06-15 00:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +50 $15 23¢ $12 $-4 06-08 11:46
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -15 $-7 76¢ $-11 $-4 06-10 15:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -15 $-7 74¢ $-11 $-4 06-10 16:05
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -10 $-3 100¢ $-10 $-7 06-08 14:51
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +50 $10 17¢ $8 $-1 06-14 11:29
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -15 $-7 56¢ $-8 $-2 05-31 19:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-7 55¢ $-8 $-1 06-02 18:39
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +50 $6 16¢ $8 +$2 06-09 06:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +40 $-2 18¢ $7 +$9 06-22 08:52
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -7 $-5 96¢ $-7 $-1 05-28 20:37
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +30 $6 21¢ $6 +$1 06-04 09:02
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -15 $-5 41¢ $-6 $-1 06-24 12:23
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $4 16¢ $6 +$2 06-20 21:29
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +50 $10 11¢ $5 $-4 06-12 19:11
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +40 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 06-29 03:54
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 20:37
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-4 36¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 23:36
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -15 $-8 23¢ $-3 +$4 06-29 00:48
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +24 $4 10¢ $2 $-1 06-25 21:17
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -5 $-7 32¢ $-2 +$5 06-14 05:30
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-02 03:19
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1 $-10 97¢ $1 +$11 06-12 00:07
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +18 $2 5¢ $1 $-1 06-25 23:32
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +30 $9 2¢ $0 $-9 06-01 20:09
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +8 $-1 6¢ $0 +$2 06-02 02:59
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No -5 $-0 4¢ $-0 $-0 06-25 00:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-8 0¢ $-0 +$8 06-18 00:53