Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?
Yes won
Total volume
$14,472
Trades
532
Unique wallets
124
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-04-28
last 11-04 23:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.8¢
(top1%: 92% YES on $7.3K
vs crowd: 87% YES on $11.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 52 | $6.7K | $1.3K | +$5.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $1.9K | $126 | +$1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $508 | $44 | +$464 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $532 | $3 | +$529 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 38 | $6.7K | $616 | +$6.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $113 | $31 | +$83 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $467 | $8 | +$459 |
| Median | 5 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| Below median | 7 | $257 | $13 | +$243 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $133 | $7 | +$126 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $264 | $42 | +$222 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 35 | $1.7K | $758 | +$989 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +4,747 | $4,318 | $5,085 | 10 | 10-30 19:41 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +3,747 | $273 | $436 | 30 | 10-29 06:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +655 | $143 | $143 | 9 | 11-04 02:35 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +429 | $39 | $39 | 8 | 11-04 09:58 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +419 | $75 | $75 | 23 | 11-04 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xed27…9508 | Yes | +406 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 11-04 09:58 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +349 | $257 | $361 | 26 | 11-04 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +309 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 08-22 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +309 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-22 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4c6…2288 | Yes | +250 | $215 | $215 | 5 | 11-04 04:38 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | +171 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-04 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +163 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 10-29 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +161 | $8 | $25 | 3 | 10-29 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +151 | $29 | $29 | 10 | 11-04 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +131 | $94 | $94 | 8 | 11-04 05:14 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +120 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 09-21 20:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +117 | $108 | $108 | 4 | 11-04 02:31 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +105 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +104 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 11-04 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +101 | $11 | $11 | 7 | 11-04 23:09 |
| Standard-Enthusiasm 0x4fd8…0d38 | No | +100 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-29 06:30 |
| Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | Yes | +100 | $85 | $85 | 4 | 11-04 05:48 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +98 | $77 | $77 | 3 | 04-28 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3342…0c1e | Yes | +93 | $74 | $74 | 4 | 11-04 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa466…1c77 | Yes | +90 | $77 | $77 | 5 | 11-04 02:14 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +89 | -$8 | $33 | 2 | 11-04 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3342…0c1e | No | +88 | $15 | $15 | 5 | 11-04 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +81 | $71 | $71 | 5 | 11-04 18:37 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +80 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2955…0738 | Yes | +78 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 08-13 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | +74 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 11-04 07:28 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +66 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b92…6866 | No | +61 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-01 16:34 |
| Timely-Spur 0x15e1…1b3d | No | +60 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-04 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9ec…ac3e | Yes | +57 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 10-29 11:15 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-04 23:09 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-04 23:09 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +43 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 11-04 09:58 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +42 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-30 10:32 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +42 | $2 | $5 | 6 | 11-04 14:24 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 08-22 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-04 09:58 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | +40 | $6 | $12 | 3 | 09-21 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +39 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 11-04 09:58 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +38 | $33 | $91 | 5 | 10-15 13:25 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-04 23:47 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +33 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-03 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-04 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | Yes | +30 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 11-04 07:25 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | +29 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 11-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-29 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a8e…89d8 | Yes | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-14 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-15 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1142…12da | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-11 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf42b…5930 | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-22 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | +19 | $18 | $37 | 4 | 11-04 18:37 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-25 20:04 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +13 | $13 | $150 | 9 | 11-04 04:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 23:09:58 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0x707235… |
| 11-04 23:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x707235… |
| 11-04 23:09:58 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x707235… |
| 11-04 18:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x75bdf6… |
| 11-04 18:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x75bdf6… |
| 11-04 17:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe61fc3… |
| 11-04 17:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe61fc3… |
| 11-04 15:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe5de92… |
| 11-04 15:25:21 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5de92… |
| 11-04 14:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x5fe5…cd9a | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42dcb8… |
| 11-04 14:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42dcb8… |
| 11-04 14:24:13 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x69de37… |
| 11-04 14:24:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69de37… |
| 11-04 14:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x5fe5…cd9a | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69de37… |
| 11-04 13:44:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1f626e… |
| 11-04 13:44:45 | Melodic-Salmon 0x0c2c…dce3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1f626e… |
| 11-04 13:19:51 | Hard-To-Find-Sport 0xcaa3…2d60 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7674e1… |
| 11-04 13:19:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7674e1… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | (anonymous) 0xed27…9508 | Yes | BUY | 406 | 96¢ | $391 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 68 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:48 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8023ba… |
| 11-04 09:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3640a1… |
| 11-04 09:58:46 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3640a1… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Timely-Spur 0x15e1…1b3d | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e1ba1… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x3342…0c1e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x59cd69… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e1ba1… |
| 11-04 07:28:16 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x7e1ba1… |
| 11-04 07:25:51 | Timely-Spur 0x15e1…1b3d | No | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x8f94a5… |
| 11-04 07:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8f94a5… |
| 11-04 07:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfeaf41… |
| 11-04 07:25:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfeaf41… |
| 11-04 07:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8f94a5… |
| 11-04 07:13:22 | (anonymous) 0xbc29…d33d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x4652a9… |
| 11-04 07:13:22 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4652a9… |
| 11-04 07:11:30 | Straight-Mangrove 0xe342…2a23 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe2ba66… |
| 11-04 07:11:30 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe2ba66… |
| 11-04 07:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xc8f3…2cf4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0dbe56… |
| 11-04 07:05:57 | Straight-Mangrove 0xe342…2a23 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0dbe56… |
| 11-04 06:21:12 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x959609… |
| 11-04 06:21:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x959609… |
| 11-04 06:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x959609… |
| 11-04 06:17:01 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | No | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x63cbb6… |
| 11-04 06:17:01 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x63cbb6… |
| 11-04 06:16:22 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | No | SELL | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x2244a7… |
| 11-04 06:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x2244a7… |
| 11-04 06:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x27d024… |
| 11-04 06:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x27d024… |
| 11-04 06:07:09 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x6e7d4d… |
| 11-04 06:07:09 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x6e7d4d… |
| 11-04 06:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x884665… |
| 11-04 06:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x884665… |
| 11-04 06:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x0f81fb… |
| 11-04 06:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0f81fb… |
| 11-04 06:06:43 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0f81fb… |
| 11-04 06:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x195643… |
| 11-04 06:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x195643… |
| 11-04 06:06:27 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdb6f5e… |
| 11-04 06:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | SELL | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xdb6f5e… |
| 11-04 06:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xdb6f5e… |
| 11-04 06:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xfffa41… |
| 11-04 06:05:55 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0xfffa41… |
| 11-04 06:05:55 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | No | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xfffa41… |
| 11-04 06:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xfffa41… |
| 11-04 06:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x3342…0c1e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x0daba7… |
| 11-04 06:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x0daba7… |
| 11-04 05:57:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xada087… |
| 11-04 05:57:33 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xada087… |
| 11-04 05:56:58 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x657ad7… |
| 11-04 05:56:58 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x657ad7… |
| 11-04 05:52:00 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74052b… |
| 11-04 05:52:00 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x74052b… |
| 11-04 05:48:25 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa86e8e… |
| 11-04 05:48:25 | Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xa86e8e… |
| 11-04 05:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x5bcd…fa31 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xa86e8e… |
| 11-04 05:39:03 | Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0x9e703a… |
| 11-04 05:39:03 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 48 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x9e703a… |
| 11-04 05:38:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x674ade… |
| 11-04 05:38:52 | Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x674ade… |
| 11-04 05:35:16 | Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xce75ed… |
| 11-04 05:35:16 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xce75ed… |
| 11-04 05:20:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xac9d04… |
| 11-04 05:20:37 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xac9d04… |
| 11-04 05:20:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x984d9c… |
| 11-04 05:20:24 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x984d9c… |