Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$253

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-30 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

70% 96% +$74

Politics

23% 90% +$31

Crypto

5% 0% -$1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+73	$53	96¢	$70	+$18	07-09 14:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+60	$52	98¢	$59	+$7	06-21 07:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+56	$39	88¢	$50	+$10	10-30 02:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+96	$21	50¢	$48	+$27	06-26 04:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+36	$16	26¢	$10	-$7	10-29 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+9	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	10-30 04:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+48	$30	10¢	$5	-$25	07-06 12:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+26	$19	10¢	$2	-$17	06-22 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$141	187	98	+88	No	+$24	06-27 22:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$93	119	70	+48	open	—	07-06 12:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$80	65	65	+0	open	—	10-29 07:00
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	4	$72	43	43	-0	Yes	-$3	10-30 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	2	$54	58	0	+58	Yes	+$4	10-29 11:15
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	2	$54	57	0	+57	Yes	+$3	10-29 11:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	1	$53	73	0	+73	open	—	07-09 14:12
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$52	59	0	+59	No	+$7	06-21 07:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$52	60	0	+60	open	—	06-21 07:02
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$51	56	0	+56	Yes	+$5	06-26 13:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$51	68	0	+68	No	+$17	06-27 12:24
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$46	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	06-25 04:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$42	45	10	+35	Yes	+$8	06-25 08:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$39	56	0	+56	open	—	10-30 02:21
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	1	$39	41	0	+41	Yes	+$2	06-22 23:55
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?	2	$37	39	0	+39	Yes	+$2	06-25 18:27
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$1	10-29 08:30
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 08:29
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	1	$32	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 08:29
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?	1	$32	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 11:15
Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?	1	$32	34	0	+34	Yes	+$2	10-29 08:30
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?	1	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	10-29 08:29
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	1	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	10-29 08:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$29	17	17	+0	Yes	-$4	10-30 00:39
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?	1	$27	28	0	+28	Yes	+$1	10-29 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$9	0x4044d1…
10-30 02:21:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x6295e6…
10-30 00:39:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x779912…
10-30 00:18:13	Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	43	80¢	$34	0x2c1840…
10-29 13:10:31	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	36	46¢	$16	0x692cf5…
10-29 11:16:17	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x32aaba…
10-29 11:16:11	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x82f530…
10-29 11:16:07	Will the Republican Party win the TN-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0xe50df5…
10-29 11:16:01	Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x841c1e…
10-29 11:15:56	Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xc029e8…
10-29 11:15:52	Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xf870f5…
10-29 11:15:46	Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x3357af…
10-29 11:15:35	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0xeaf6fb…
10-29 11:15:31	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x550625…
10-29 09:08:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x1a6b62…
10-29 08:30:43	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0xf9e953…
10-29 08:30:37	Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x946ced…
10-29 08:30:32	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x664621…
10-29 08:30:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x15a25d…
10-29 08:30:22	Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x9e1c66…
10-29 08:30:17	Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x661927…
10-29 08:30:13	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x849f8e…
10-29 08:30:07	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x82225c…
10-29 08:30:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x652186…
10-29 08:29:56	Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x08f876…
10-29 08:29:52	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xd090d4…
10-29 08:29:46	Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x74f02c…
10-29 07:13:43	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xd248ff…
10-29 07:13:38	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x2c0e4c…
10-29 07:13:34	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0x2bd4a0…
10-29 07:13:26	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xc1ddba…
10-29 07:13:22	Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$33	0x2f0f99…
10-29 07:13:17	Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$33	0xe13fcb…
10-29 07:13:11	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xdeb060…
10-29 07:00:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0xe4def1…
07-11 16:16:22	Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x23b73d…
07-11 15:47:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xb6e881…
07-09 14:12:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	72¢	$53	0xa9c51a…
07-06 12:18:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x67d3cb…
07-06 12:17:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2c6f7c…
06-27 22:21:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	88	58¢	$51	0xabe146…
06-27 12:24:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x3b8b63…
06-26 13:44:33	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x4ec8db…
06-26 04:24:31	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0xa7a0be…
06-26 02:14:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x969210…
06-25 18:27:50	Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x3118eb…
06-25 12:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x81abc1…
06-25 10:47:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0x64ccc3…
06-25 10:27:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x579068…
06-25 10:08:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	39¢	$25	0xe558ac…
06-25 08:21:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0x2365be…
06-25 04:01:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	55	44¢	$24	0xfdc3cf…
06-24 22:06:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x93c7d2…
06-24 22:05:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x39753a…
06-23 20:56:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0xb0d8a8…
06-23 18:56:23	Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc83733…
06-22 23:55:22	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x97a6e2…
06-22 21:47:04	Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x30d5dc…
06-22 21:46:26	Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x89395b…
06-22 02:15:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xfff3d7…
06-21 13:16:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xee639d…
06-21 10:48:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	49¢	$32	0x3dc321…
06-21 07:02:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xcbc7c9…
06-21 07:02:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0xc613a3…
06-21 07:02:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x7f85d2…
06-21 07:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0xfeaf43…
06-21 06:04:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x217103…
06-21 03:56:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x5db37f…
06-21 00:06:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2c4aab…
06-20 12:57:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x8b6c45…
06-20 06:20:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa75c4f…
06-19 20:36:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xce9569…