Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
703
lifetime
Volume
$63.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$305
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-01 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
92% 100% +$2
Other
5% 0% $-22
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -680 $-184 16¢ $-112 +$71 06-01 13:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $114 30¢ $59 $-55 05-30 02:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -59 $-59 100¢ $-59 +$0 06-30 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +79 $59 70¢ $55 $-4 06-11 12:40
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 06-08 05:54
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? No +32 $10 16¢ $5 $-5 06-03 03:32
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +10 $7 $0 $-7 06-02 09:34