Standard-Enthusiasm 0x4fd808…3e0d38
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$899
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
631
Trades
2,095
lifetime
Volume
$128.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$1.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 10-31 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Politics
65% 60% -$392
Other
33% 52% -$640
Crypto
1% 33% -$401
Tech
1% 33% -$9
Sports
0% 60% +$19
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,476 -$423 15¢ $-214 +$209 06-01 13:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -1,000 -$587 8¢ $-85 +$502 05-21 13:55
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +100 $72 82¢ $82 +$10 10-20 06:23
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 72¢ $72 -$2 10-25 22:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +190 $76 29¢ $54 -$22 10-03 09:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +95 -$7 54¢ $51 +$58 10-28 16:40
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +50 $16 62¢ $31 +$14 10-15 17:05
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $28 30¢ $30 +$3 10-22 19:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $26 29¢ $29 +$2 10-19 13:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +100 $34 28¢ $28 -$5 10-25 17:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 -$200 6¢ $-28 +$172 04-30 08:36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? No +50 $24 52¢ $26 +$3 10-28 13:35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? No +50 $26 52¢ $26 +$1 10-28 21:20
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +50 $19 52¢ $26 +$7 10-15 17:09
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +100 $47 22¢ $22 -$24 10-16 16:10
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +30 $16 74¢ $22 +$6 09-04 20:58
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? Yes +50 $18 42¢ $21 +$3 10-23 13:54
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $40 24¢ $20 -$20 09-09 15:11
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +100 $17 18¢ $18 +$1 10-21 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +50 $11 36¢ $18 +$7 10-15 17:09
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +100 $18 16¢ $16 -$2 10-26 06:18
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +50 $8 28¢ $14 +$6 10-15 17:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +50 $9 24¢ $12 +$3 10-23 14:30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +50 $15 22¢ $11 -$4 10-15 17:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +50 $23 22¢ $11 -$12 10-27 14:18
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +155 $17 6¢ $10 -$7 10-11 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $12 8¢ $7 -$5 10-18 15:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +100 $12 7¢ $7 -$4 10-17 06:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +100 $6 6¢ $6 +$0 10-26 20:52
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 10-15 17:06