Realized P&L
+$241
Unrealized P&L
+$95
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
4,818
Trades
22,947
lifetime
Volume
$80.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$495
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-31 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 43% -$219
Other
40% 42% +$420
Politics
2% 27% +$47
Tech
0% 35% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 30% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 898 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? Up — +95 $59 90¢ $86 +$27 10-31 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down +38 $29 88¢ $34 +$4 10-31 15:28
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +30 $24 93¢ $28 +$4 09-23 22:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +25 $19 88¢ $22 +$3 10-16 05:16
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $9 99¢ $20 +$10 10-04 22:45
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +20 $13 97¢ $19 +$6 10-13 13:23
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +20 $18 93¢ $19 +$1 10-21 03:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $16 93¢ $18 +$2 09-28 17:42
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +20 $18 87¢ $17 $0 10-14 21:33
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$3 10-21 13:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +20 $13 85¢ $17 +$4 10-13 03:11
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +20 $17 82¢ $16 -$1 10-19 14:40
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$1 10-05 14:56
will solana reach 130 in october 2026 No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-15 02:44
will ethereum reach 2700 in october 2026 from october 7 No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-15 03:08
Will Solana reach $140 in October? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-07 15:37
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-16 19:42
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 09-23 15:02
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +10 $6 100¢ $10 +$3 10-05 17:49
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 10-28 02:00
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +10 $5 99¢ $10 +$5 10-07 06:43
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 09-29 08:00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:14
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 10-24 19:38
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-08 02:27
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-07 23:37
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-10 02:04
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 10-20 13:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 10-29 17:50
predictfun fdv above 3b one day after launch No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 10-21 19:37