Honest-Similarity 0xde0463…6dfa37
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.15K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
472
Trades
198,684
lifetime
Volume
$19.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$120.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% $-15,572
Sports
38% 52% +$536
Politics
5% 20% $-78
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +64,182 $47,352 99¢ $63.6K +$16,221 06-09 02:43
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +42,887 $32,473 99¢ $42.5K +$10,007 06-09 02:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +3,442 $2,869 86¢ $2.9K +$74 06-09 15:20
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,000 $1,820 94¢ $1.9K +$63 06-08 06:25
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +16,750 $1,239 11¢ $1.8K +$603 06-01 02:09
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,000 $1,700 90¢ $1.8K +$110 06-06 03:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,043 $785 77¢ $803 +$18 06-02 00:41
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +81,607 $14,288 1¢ $775 $-13,513 06-08 04:46
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,000 $740 78¢ $775 +$35 06-08 06:23
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +713 $690 100¢ $710 +$20 05-31 17:26
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +810 $624 84¢ $676 +$52 06-08 03:46
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +66,155 $11,800 1¢ $628 $-11,171 06-08 06:44
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $276 98¢ $295 +$19 06-09 21:01
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? No +300 $294 98¢ $295 +$1 05-28 14:19
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +472 $192 46¢ $215 +$22 06-07 22:51
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +241 $198 80¢ $193 $-5 06-08 10:00
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +296 $124 46¢ $137 +$13 06-04 15:24
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +123 $113 95¢ $116 +$3 06-06 03:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +157 $130 71¢ $111 $-18 06-06 02:27
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +19,050 $539 0¢ $95 $-444 06-02 05:10
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +124 $78 74¢ $91 +$13 06-07 11:41
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +121 $71 68¢ $82 +$11 06-07 13:41
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +106 $60 60¢ $64 +$3 06-07 21:56
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +59 $34 74¢ $43 +$9 06-07 11:42
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +82 $51 53¢ $43 $-7 06-04 10:18
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +70 $35 58¢ $41 +$6 06-07 09:14
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +100 $24 29¢ $29 +$5 06-03 16:03
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +59 $34 47¢ $28 $-6 06-03 13:54
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +28 $18 75¢ $21 +$3 06-06 05:49
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +28 $19 72¢ $20 +$1 06-08 06:24