Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.62K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
472
Trades
200,766
lifetime
Volume
$19.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$15.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% $-15,572
Sports
38% 52% +$536
Politics
5% 20% $-78
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 4203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +11,658 $6,991 28¢ $3.2K $-3,785 06-11 05:46
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,605 $2,386 93¢ $2.4K +$46 06-11 18:56
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,000 $1,820 96¢ $1.9K +$99 06-08 06:25
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,000 $1,700 90¢ $1.8K +$90 06-06 03:27
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +16,750 $1,239 $1.1K $-92 06-01 02:09
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,000 $740 78¢ $785 +$45 06-08 06:23
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +810 $624 74¢ $599 $-25 06-08 03:46
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +4,335 $448 11¢ $455 +$7 06-12 06:17
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +5,916 $422 $311 $-112 06-13 14:29
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $276 98¢ $295 +$19 06-09 21:01
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +334 $269 84¢ $279 +$10 06-12 12:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +500 $196 52¢ $262 +$66 06-12 11:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +472 $192 48¢ $224 +$32 06-07 22:51
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +367 $214 51¢ $187 $-27 06-12 04:44
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +2,719 $214 $181 $-33 06-13 05:59
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +143 $83 94¢ $135 +$53 06-11 04:18
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +134 $104 88¢ $118 +$14 06-13 11:08
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +296 $124 32¢ $96 $-28 06-04 15:24
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +124 $78 74¢ $92 +$14 06-07 11:41
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +157 $130 57¢ $90 $-40 06-06 02:27
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +121 $71 57¢ $70 $-1 06-07 13:41
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +311 $72 22¢ $67 $-5 06-13 07:37
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +1,490 $59 $57 $-2 06-12 19:54
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +59 $34 79¢ $47 +$12 06-07 11:42
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +100 $24 42¢ $42 +$18 06-03 16:03
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +70 $35 60¢ $42 +$8 06-07 09:14
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +82 $51 49¢ $40 $-11 06-04 10:18
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +38 $23 66¢ $25 +$2 06-11 19:15
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +28 $19 78¢ $22 +$3 06-08 06:24
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +30 $22 69¢ $21 $-1 06-12 03:56