Honest-Similarity 0xde0463…6dfa37
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.16K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
472
Trades
200,768
lifetime
Volume
$19.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$5.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 21:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% $-15,572
Sports
38% 52% +$536
Politics
5% 20% $-78
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 1592 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +11,658 $6,991 19¢ $2.2K $-4,776 06-11 05:46
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +810 $624 98¢ $797 +$173 06-08 03:46
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +16,750 $1,239 2¢ $402 $-837 06-01 02:09
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +367 $214 98¢ $361 +$147 06-12 04:44
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +334 $269 92¢ $309 +$40 06-12 12:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +500 $196 55¢ $272 +$76 06-12 11:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +472 $192 46¢ $215 +$22 06-07 22:51
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +143 $83 94¢ $134 +$51 06-11 04:18
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +157 $130 65¢ $102 $-28 06-06 02:27
Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +124 $78 80¢ $99 +$20 06-07 11:41
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +121 $71 70¢ $84 +$13 06-07 13:41
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +296 $124 26¢ $75 $-49 06-04 15:24
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +1,490 $59 3¢ $51 $-8 06-12 19:54
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +70 $35 68¢ $47 +$12 06-07 09:14
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +59 $34 71¢ $42 +$8 06-07 11:42
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +38 $23 98¢ $37 +$14 06-11 19:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +100 $24 35¢ $35 +$11 06-03 16:03
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +30 $22 98¢ $30 +$8 06-12 03:56
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +28 $18 76¢ $21 +$3 06-06 05:49
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +23 $18 86¢ $20 +$2 06-10 15:30
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +10 $5 98¢ $10 +$5 06-04 13:06
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-07 23:29
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +101 $22 8¢ $8 $-14 06-13 09:18
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +5 $3 91¢ $5 +$2 06-07 16:59
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? Yes +12 $3 19¢ $2 $-1 06-13 01:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +82 $51 2¢ $1 $-49 06-04 10:18
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-12 00:52
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +10 $5 2¢ $0 $-4 05-30 21:27
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +10 $2 2¢ $0 $-1 06-01 05:24
Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes +50 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 05-16 17:09