Honest-Similarity 0xde0463…6dfa37
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$95.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.43K
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
17,704
Trades
232,228
lifetime
Volume
$22.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$204.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-11 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 253 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% -$165,057
Sports
36% 50% +$209,742
Politics
8% 50% +$42,447
Pop-Culture
1% 45% +$23,806
Crypto
0% 53% -$14,018
Tech
0% 0% -$973
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +98,820 $79,668 46¢ $45.2K -$34,507 06-08 00:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +73,820 $9,180 54¢ $40.1K +$30,904 06-05 23:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +79,893 $47,329 46¢ $36.4K -$10,977 06-08 03:31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +54,900 $18,405 55¢ $29.9K +$11,515 06-05 23:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +16,384 $15,564 95¢ $15.6K +$1 05-28 14:17
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +11,246 $10,184 97¢ $10.9K +$707 06-08 01:40
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,861 $3,910 100¢ $4.9K +$944 06-05 23:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,683 $1,888 100¢ $3.7K +$1,786 05-24 21:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,405 $3,761 34¢ $2.6K -$1,206 05-19 23:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,407 $1,954 40¢ $2.5K +$576 06-10 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,252 $1,532 40¢ $2.1K +$542 06-11 06:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,136 $1,059 74¢ $1.6K +$511 05-27 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,001 $1,249 60¢ $1.2K -$39 05-31 00:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,021 60¢ $1.2K +$189 06-04 18:28
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +844 $195 98¢ $831 +$636 06-09 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +908 $390 82¢ $749 +$359 05-27 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +999 $450 66¢ $655 +$204 05-16 23:51
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +634 $506 98¢ $620 +$113 06-12 12:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +19,172 $1,579 3¢ $604 -$976 06-09 21:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +500 $210 82¢ $412 +$202 05-29 03:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +13,746 $8,473 3¢ $405 -$8,067 06-11 05:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,089 $404 32¢ $343 -$61 05-12 02:19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +300 $266 96¢ $289 +$23 06-07 11:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +328 $266 76¢ $248 -$18 05-28 19:37
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +256 $140 97¢ $248 +$108 06-07 13:56
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +226 $169 98¢ $223 +$54 05-30 05:16
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +245 $173 86¢ $210 +$37 06-06 05:49
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +200 $20 88¢ $176 +$156 05-26 21:50
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +186 $152 94¢ $175 +$24 05-08 14:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,999 $340 8¢ $170 -$170 05-05 00:21