Honest-Similarity 0xde0463…6dfa37
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$96.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.58K
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
17,706
Trades
232,228
lifetime
Volume
$22.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$208.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-11 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% -$164,885
Sports
36% 50% +$209,742
Politics
8% 50% +$42,436
Pop-Culture
1% 45% +$23,806
Crypto
0% 53% -$14,018
Tech
0% 0% -$973
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +98,820 $79,668 57¢ $56.3K -$23,390 06-08 00:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +79,893 $47,329 56¢ $45.1K -$2,189 06-08 03:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +73,820 $9,180 43¢ $31.8K +$22,600 06-05 23:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +54,900 $18,405 44¢ $23.9K +$5,476 06-05 23:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +16,384 $15,564 95¢ $15.6K -$8 05-28 14:17
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +11,246 $10,184 98¢ $11.0K +$853 06-08 01:40
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,861 $3,910 100¢ $4.9K +$944 06-05 23:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,683 $1,888 100¢ $3.7K +$1,786 05-24 21:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,405 $3,761 29¢ $2.1K -$1,650 05-19 23:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,407 $1,954 32¢ $2.1K +$128 06-10 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,252 $1,532 32¢ $1.7K +$175 06-11 06:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,136 $1,059 72¢ $1.5K +$489 05-27 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,001 $1,249 68¢ $1.4K +$102 05-31 00:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,021 68¢ $1.4K +$329 06-04 18:28
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +844 $195 97¢ $818 +$623 06-09 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +908 $390 82¢ $740 +$349 05-27 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +999 $450 72¢ $714 +$264 05-16 23:51
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +634 $506 98¢ $620 +$114 06-12 12:21
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,089 $404 44¢ $474 +$70 05-12 02:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +13,746 $8,473 3¢ $460 -$8,012 06-11 05:46
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +500 $210 82¢ $408 +$198 05-29 03:08
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +19,172 $1,579 2¢ $355 -$1,225 06-09 21:40
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +300 $266 96¢ $289 +$24 06-07 11:55
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +256 $140 98¢ $251 +$111 06-07 13:56
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +328 $266 76¢ $251 -$14 05-28 19:37
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +245 $173 88¢ $217 +$44 06-06 05:49
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +226 $169 92¢ $209 +$41 05-30 05:16
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +200 $20 89¢ $177 +$156 05-26 21:50
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +186 $152 94¢ $176 +$24 05-08 14:59
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +229 $125 56¢ $129 +$4 05-18 04:55