Honest-Similarity 0xde0463…6dfa37
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.87K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.28K
Hit rate
13.7%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
0
232,228 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$22.4M lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$208.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-11 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% -$164,885
Sports
36% 50% +$209,742
Politics
8% 50% +$42,436
Pop-Culture
1% 45% +$23,806
Crypto
0% 53% -$14,018
Tech
0% 0% -$973
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +98,820 $79,668 58¢ $57.4K -$22,253 06-08 00:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +79,893 $47,329 56¢ $45.1K -$2,189 06-08 03:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +73,820 $9,180 42¢ $30.9K +$21,751 06-05 23:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +54,900 $18,405 44¢ $23.9K +$5,476 06-05 23:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +16,384 $15,564 95¢ $15.5K -$24 05-28 14:17
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +11,246 $10,184 98¢ $11.0K +$842 06-08 01:40
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,861 $3,910 100¢ $4.9K +$944 06-05 23:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,683 $1,888 100¢ $3.7K +$1,786 05-24 21:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,405 $3,761 30¢ $2.2K -$1,576 05-19 23:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,407 $1,954 32¢ $2.0K +$64 06-10 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,252 $1,532 32¢ $1.7K +$149 06-11 06:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,136 $1,059 72¢ $1.5K +$468 05-27 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,001 $1,249 68¢ $1.4K +$122 05-31 00:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,021 68¢ $1.4K +$339 06-04 18:28
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +844 $195 98¢ $830 +$636 06-09 22:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +908 $390 82¢ $740 +$349 05-27 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +999 $450 70¢ $704 +$254 05-16 23:51
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +634 $506 98¢ $620 +$114 06-12 12:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +13,746 $8,473 4¢ $488 -$7,985 06-11 05:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,089 $404 44¢ $479 +$76 05-12 02:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +500 $210 81¢ $405 +$195 05-29 03:08
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +19,172 $1,579 2¢ $374 -$1,206 06-09 21:40
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +300 $266 96¢ $289 +$24 06-07 11:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +328 $266 76¢ $251 -$14 05-28 19:37
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +256 $140 98¢ $251 +$111 06-07 13:56
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +245 $173 88¢ $215 +$42 06-06 05:49
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +226 $169 95¢ $214 +$45 05-30 05:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +186 $152 94¢ $174 +$23 05-08 14:59
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +200 $20 87¢ $173 +$153 05-26 21:50
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +229 $125 56¢ $128 +$3 05-18 04:55