Melodic-Salmon 0x0c2c51…52dce3
bot hot
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Realized P&L
+$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$581
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
659
Trades
2,803
lifetime
Volume
$32.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 10-28 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
56% 68% +$1,134
Politics
42% 62% +$20
Sports
1% 61% -$73
Crypto
1% 69% -$18
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +303 $168 93¢ $282 +$114 09-02 21:31
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +266 $145 92¢ $245 +$100 08-25 04:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +207 $141 88¢ $183 +$42 10-20 11:57
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +128 $97 98¢ $126 +$29 10-28 00:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +172 $110 64¢ $111 +$1 10-21 17:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +114 $2 97¢ $110 +$109 10-28 15:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +182 $32 60¢ $108 +$76 10-21 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +109 $80 84¢ $92 +$12 10-21 17:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +126 $96 72¢ $91 -$4 10-24 19:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +83 $55 96¢ $79 +$24 10-25 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +142 $70 46¢ $65 -$5 09-05 14:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +74 $55 88¢ $65 +$10 10-21 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +59 $50 94¢ $55 +$5 10-19 12:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +55 $40 99¢ $55 +$14 10-27 23:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +132 $48 38¢ $51 +$3 10-19 18:13
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +53 $43 88¢ $46 +$3 10-13 18:48
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -45 -$43 97¢ $-44 $0 06-28 11:51
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +39 $1 100¢ $39 +$38 10-28 20:39
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +46 $40 84¢ $39 -$1 10-19 17:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +47 $30 83¢ $39 +$9 10-23 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +47 $35 76¢ $36 +$1 10-21 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +28 $25 92¢ $26 +$1 10-21 21:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +27 $20 96¢ $26 +$6 09-02 21:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +24 $11 99¢ $24 +$13 10-28 12:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +30 $20 72¢ $22 +$2 10-14 19:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +42 $30 52¢ $22 -$8 10-26 13:49
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-14 20:23
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-26 12:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 91¢ $20 +$0 10-14 19:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +60 $29 25¢ $15 -$14 10-27 23:43