Realized P&L
-$85
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
10.1%
Resolved
142
Trades
474
lifetime
Volume
$3.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$460
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 09-03 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
51% 11% -$29
Politics
39% 10% -$48
Tech
6% 11% -$6
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Sports
1% 25% -$2
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $34 90¢ $36 +$2 08-25 06:39
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 85¢ $34 -$1 08-30 15:36
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +32 $23 93¢ $30 +$7 09-03 03:53
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +40 $29 68¢ $27 -$2 09-03 03:53
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town? Yes +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 09-03 03:53
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? No +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 08-22 03:51
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 09-03 03:53
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$2 08-23 10:38
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? No — +20 $16 97¢ $19 +$4 08-23 22:35
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +20 $5 97¢ $19 +$14 08-22 09:06
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 08-22 12:41
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252 No +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 08-21 12:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 No +18 $14 97¢ $18 +$3 08-22 00:54
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? No +20 $15 85¢ $17 +$2 08-22 02:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 08-22 11:26
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551 No +18 $14 83¢ $15 +$1 08-22 17:46
carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952 Yes +20 $4 73¢ $15 +$11 08-22 20:39
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $0 08-24 19:25
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? Yes +20 $17 69¢ $14 -$3 09-03 03:55
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +20 $16 68¢ $14 -$2 08-22 03:12
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +40 $11 32¢ $13 +$2 08-22 08:34
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +20 $5 32¢ $6 +$2 08-22 03:12
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? No +20 $3 31¢ $6 +$3 08-23 04:38
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $7 31¢ $6 -$1 09-03 03:54
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $7 15¢ $6 -$1 08-25 04:15
carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952 No +20 $16 27¢ $5 -$11 08-22 20:39
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +20 $6 22¢ $4 -$2 08-22 11:26
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 10¢ $4 -$2 09-03 03:55
will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551 Yes +18 $4 17¢ $3 -$1 08-22 17:46
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? Yes +20 $5 15¢ $3 -$2 08-22 02:28