Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat?
open
Total volume
$6,407
$62 in 24h
Trades
318
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$37,657
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-03
last 11-01 03:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.8¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $361
vs crowd: 13% YES on $5.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $502 | $4.5K | $4.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $107 | $355 | $247 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $102 | — | +$102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $28 | $23 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $62 | $300 | $238 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $33 | $27 |
| Median | 3 | $233 | $3.7K | $3.5K |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $18 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $10 | $1 | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 30 | $371 | $743 | $372 |
| unranked | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +4,063 | $3,685 | $3,685 | 12 | 09-30 16:02 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +2,895 | $220 | $220 | 31 | 09-30 16:04 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +519 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-02 06:17 |
| Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | +273 | $40 | $80 | 6 | 10-15 08:26 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +217 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-02 05:31 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +203 | $13 | $15 | 8 | 09-30 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +187 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-22 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +187 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 08-22 03:11 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +164 | $7 | $15 | 10 | 11-01 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +140 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 08-30 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +119 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 06-24 23:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +104 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 11-01 03:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-03 10:12 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $2 | 5 | 10-30 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | Yes | +33 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-22 03:11 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-20 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ae4…f84a | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 09-11 15:05 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 09-30 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 08:26 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-20 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf42b…5930 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 09-03 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf42b…5930 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-22 03:11 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-14 20:52 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-22 03:11 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-24 23:50 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-07 10:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22a…1697 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xae5a…e2b0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-01 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-30 16:01 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 11:12 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 10:24 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 21:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:50:07 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x480827… |
| 11-01 03:50:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x480827… |
| 10-30 11:26:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3e82a0… |
| 10-30 11:26:33 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3e82a0… |
| 10-20 02:41:24 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x8029b2… |
| 10-20 02:41:24 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8029b2… |
| 10-17 22:07:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a99c4… |
| 10-17 22:07:53 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a99c4… |
| 10-15 10:35:02 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb813a1… |
| 10-15 10:35:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb813a1… |
| 10-15 08:26:40 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2d8a04… |
| 10-15 08:26:40 | (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2d8a04… |
| 10-15 08:26:40 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2d8a04… |
| 10-09 04:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x2aeb…357e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a57d0… |
| 10-09 04:54:07 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a57d0… |
| 10-06 00:00:02 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1872c7… |
| 10-06 00:00:02 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1872c7… |
| 10-02 06:17:30 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x60ab29… |
| 10-02 06:17:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 387 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x60ab29… |
| 10-02 06:17:30 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | BUY | 519 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x60ab29… |
| 10-02 06:17:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x60ab29… |
| 10-02 06:17:18 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0ea699… |
| 10-02 06:17:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 67 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x0ea699… |
| 10-02 06:17:18 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0ea699… |
| 10-02 06:03:39 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfe524f… |
| 10-02 06:03:39 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc3a121… |
| 10-02 06:03:39 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc3a121… |
| 10-02 06:03:39 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfe524f… |
| 10-02 05:31:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x568e50… |
| 10-02 05:31:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x568e50… |
| 09-30 16:04:30 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x023efc… |
| 09-30 16:04:30 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x023efc… |
| 09-30 16:04:27 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x319f12… |
| 09-30 16:04:27 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x319f12… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 4¢ | $13 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:04:15 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf77e98… |
| 09-30 16:02:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb5743f… |
| 09-30 16:02:08 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 5¢ | $7 | 0xb5743f… |
| 09-30 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xb5743f… |
| 09-30 16:02:05 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 183 | 94¢ | $173 | 0x6a64e8… |
| 09-30 16:02:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x6a64e8… |
| 09-30 16:02:05 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x6a64e8… |
| 09-30 16:01:17 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x216d9a… |
| 09-30 16:01:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x216d9a… |
| 09-30 16:01:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf027a3… |
| 09-30 16:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf027a3… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x928518… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 500 | 94¢ | $470 | 0x928518… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 204 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x928518… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x928518… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x928518… |
| 09-30 16:01:08 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x928518… |
| 09-29 16:23:06 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x1ba507… |
| 09-29 16:23:06 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 187 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x1ba507… |
| 09-29 16:23:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ba507… |
| 09-18 08:56:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xac1957… |
| 09-18 08:56:34 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xac1957… |
| 09-13 19:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x7af4…1cf0 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x99ce79… |
| 09-13 19:39:25 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x99ce79… |
| 09-11 15:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x4ae4…f84a | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x0d9911… |
| 09-11 15:05:54 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0d9911… |
| 09-07 04:07:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfb9dcb… |
| 09-07 04:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfb9dcb… |
| 09-07 04:07:27 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfb9dcb… |
| 09-07 04:07:27 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfb9dcb… |
| 09-07 04:07:25 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcd4d1d… |
| 09-07 04:07:25 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xcd4d1d… |
| 09-03 03:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xf42b…5930 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x5be85f… |
| 09-03 03:56:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5be85f… |
| 08-31 00:18:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf5d8b3… |
| 08-31 00:18:46 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xf5d8b3… |
| 08-31 00:18:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf5d8b3… |
| 08-31 00:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x7af4…1cf0 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xf5d8b3… |
| 08-30 23:39:18 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 6¢ | $9 | 0xd7f770… |
| 08-30 23:39:18 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 140 | 94¢ | $131 | 0xd7f770… |
| 08-30 04:33:00 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x031391… |
| 08-30 04:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x031391… |
| 08-30 00:27:19 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5c693d… |
| 08-30 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5c693d… |
| 08-30 00:27:13 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7bdfc8… |
| 08-30 00:27:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7bdfc8… |
| 08-30 00:27:09 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe1a0ee… |
| 08-30 00:27:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe1a0ee… |
| 08-30 00:19:37 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x8b9ed0… |
| 08-30 00:19:37 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x8b9ed0… |
| 08-30 00:19:25 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xecae50… |
| 08-30 00:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xecae50… |
| 08-30 00:18:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe7b33c… |
| 08-30 00:18:12 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe7b33c… |
| 08-30 00:18:07 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1cf92b… |
| 08-30 00:18:07 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1cf92b… |
| 08-30 00:17:54 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa05fad… |
| 08-30 00:17:54 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa05fad… |
| 08-30 00:17:52 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x242209… |
| 08-30 00:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x242209… |
| 08-30 00:17:51 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4bbf78… |