Realized P&L
+$1.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.20K
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
320
Trades
3,669
lifetime
Volume
$221.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$50.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 10-29 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Politics
73% 91% -$2,292
Other
27% 90% +$4,273
Crypto
1% 88% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +10,400 $9,311 92¢ $9.5K +$205 10-25 23:06
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +7,125 $6,463 90¢ $6.4K -$86 10-20 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +8,350 $6,089 64¢ $5.3K -$778 10-29 14:49
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,600 $5,120 90¢ $5.0K -$108 10-21 02:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +7,180 $5,195 64¢ $4.6K -$563 10-29 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,026 $3,566 92¢ $3.7K +$118 10-25 23:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +4,260 $3,621 72¢ $3.1K -$533 10-25 07:06
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +3,745 $2,914 70¢ $2.6K -$273 10-06 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +3,480 $2,693 74¢ $2.6K -$135 10-06 23:54
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,741 $2,317 72¢ $2.0K -$330 10-25 23:07
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,140 $1,810 90¢ $1.9K +$127 09-27 16:19
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,452 $1,278 92¢ $1.3K +$58 09-24 00:44
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +1,061 $818 82¢ $875 +$57 10-03 03:46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +500 $395 86¢ $430 +$35 10-01 14:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +265 $244 94¢ $248 +$5 09-18 12:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +290 $197 70¢ $203 +$6 09-18 14:31
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $175 70¢ $167 -$8 10-20 10:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +218 $135 70¢ $152 +$16 09-23 09:07
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +140 $109 78¢ $109 -$1 10-20 13:55
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $96 89¢ $93 -$2 09-29 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +80 $73 94¢ $75 +$2 09-18 11:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +100 $61 68¢ $68 +$8 09-25 14:31
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +60 $56 97¢ $58 +$2 09-17 23:43
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +70 $50 70¢ $49 $0 10-20 21:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +86 $65 52¢ $45 -$21 09-16 00:36
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 09-18 10:45
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +45 $36 79¢ $36 +$0 09-30 12:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +60 $38 54¢ $32 -$5 09-17 23:21
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 09-11 09:41
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $26 92¢ $28 +$2 09-10 10:51