Realized P&L
+$38.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved
1,033
Trades
2,820
lifetime
Volume
$474.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$168
Open exposure
$167
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 10-27 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
81% 90% +$7,891
Politics
18% 81% +$30,168
Tech
1% 80% -$43
Sports
0% 100% +$36
Crypto
0% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +263 $100 38¢ $101 +$1 10-26 21:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 10-20 23:45
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +38 $10 26¢ $10 +$0 10-23 18:37
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +30 -$4 29¢ $9 +$13 10-25 20:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +200 $0 4¢ $8 +$7 09-16 13:43
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $29 8¢ $8 -$22 10-23 19:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $6 6¢ $6 +$0 10-24 12:33
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +11 $5 42¢ $4 $0 10-08 13:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $47 2¢ $4 -$43 10-23 19:58
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $3 30¢ $3 $0 10-26 23:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 10-19 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 10-08 13:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -100 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-24 12:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -100 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-24 12:38