Realized P&L
+$39.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved
1,045
Trades
2,860
lifetime
Volume
$476.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$167
Open exposure
$465
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 10-28 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
81% 90% +$8,935
Politics
18% 81% +$30,168
Tech
1% 80% -$43
Sports
0% 100% +$36
Crypto
0% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +200 $110 94¢ $187 +$76 10-28 00:22
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +263 $100 38¢ $101 +$1 10-26 21:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 10-28 00:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-20 23:45
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $3 99¢ $10 +$7 10-26 23:42
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +38 $10 26¢ $10 $0 10-23 18:37
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +30 -$4 29¢ $9 +$13 10-25 20:10
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $29 8¢ $8 -$21 10-23 19:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +200 $0 4¢ $8 +$8 09-16 13:43
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +11 $5 44¢ $5 $0 10-08 13:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $47 2¢ $4 -$43 10-23 19:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 10-24 12:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 10-19 20:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 10-27 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 10-08 13:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $0 50¢ $1 +$1 10-27 23:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 $0 10-27 15:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -100 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-24 12:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -100 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-24 12:38