Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$985
$10 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$10,205
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-27 13:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $13 | $59 | $46 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $8 | $292 | $284 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $151 | $151 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $11 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $7 | $59 | $52 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $5 | $261 | $256 |
| unranked | 5 | $0 | $111 | $110 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +213 | $202 | $202 | 3 | 07-25 05:22 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 05:22 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +85 | $5 | $8 | 7 | 07-25 06:21 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +63 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 07-13 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-13 20:29 |
| Nautical-Moody 0x6090…6dbb | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-13 20:29 |
| Utilized-Fire 0xe8bb…6fee | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-25 06:21 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 16:45 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 18:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:26:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4ffabe… |
| 07-27 13:26:48 | Nautical-Moody 0x6090…6dbb | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x4ffabe… |
| 07-25 06:21:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4352e… |
| 07-25 06:21:22 | Utilized-Fire 0xe8bb…6fee | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xd4352e… |
| 07-25 06:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd4352e… |
| 07-25 05:25:39 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 92 | 95¢ | $87 | 0x8a9dc1… |
| 07-25 05:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 92 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8a9dc1… |
| 07-25 05:22:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3e2334… |
| 07-25 05:22:46 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x3e2334… |
| 07-25 05:22:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3e2334… |
| 07-23 18:12:34 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe293f5… |
| 07-23 18:12:34 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe293f5… |
| 07-22 08:09:39 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x627e84… |
| 07-22 08:09:39 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x627e84… |
| 07-20 04:02:51 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x27bc04… |
| 07-20 04:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x1caf…7e68 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x27bc04… |
| 07-16 12:17:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xeb09b6… |
| 07-16 12:17:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xeb09b6… |
| 07-16 12:16:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xcbe77e… |
| 07-16 12:16:56 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xcbe77e… |
| 07-16 12:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcbe77e… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xba4803… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xba4803… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x9ecf8b… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0xba4803… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xba4803… |
| 07-13 20:29:14 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 51 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x9ecf8b… |
| 07-13 19:23:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xd0ce73… |
| 07-13 19:23:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd0ce73… |
| 07-05 16:20:59 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xdb389a… |
| 07-05 16:20:59 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xdb389a… |
| 07-05 10:05:13 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x595440… |
| 07-05 10:05:13 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x595440… |
| 07-05 06:07:14 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | No | SELL | 49 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xa3d59b… |
| 07-05 06:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa3d59b… |
| 07-05 06:07:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa3d59b… |
| 07-05 06:07:14 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xa3d59b… |
| 07-04 23:14:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3c62f2… |
| 07-04 23:14:40 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3c62f2… |
| 07-04 20:31:50 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x005dd5… |
| 07-04 20:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x005dd5… |
| 07-04 20:31:28 | Poor-Latency 0x6bef…f650 | No | BUY | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x3e5388… |
| 07-04 20:31:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3e5388… |
| 07-04 20:31:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3e5388… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x960c6c… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x960c6c… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x960c6c… |
| 06-30 16:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x960c6c… |
| 06-27 10:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf71574… |
| 06-27 10:05:59 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf71574… |
| 06-27 10:05:43 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf544c5… |
| 06-27 10:05:43 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0xf544c5… |
| 06-27 10:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf544c5… |
| 06-25 12:56:31 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xa7ff25… |
| 06-25 12:56:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xa7ff25… |
| 06-25 12:56:14 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x975595… |
| 06-25 12:56:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x975595… |
| 06-25 12:56:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x975595… |
| 05-30 08:05:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7ca0ac… |
| 05-30 08:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x1caf…7e68 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7ca0ac… |