(anonymous) 0xd66d77…e5b64a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
91
lifetime
Volume
$67
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 07-22 16:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
39% — —
Politics
29% — —
Crypto
24% — —
Tech
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +14 $2 14¢ $2 $-1 07-09 12:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +7 $2 24¢ $2 +$0 07-02 23:48
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-15 11:57
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-13 13:57
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 07-13 17:27
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-12 11:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 07-05 20:44
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-01 16:27
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-01 20:28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 07-03 01:53
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +8 $0 9¢ $1 +$0 07-13 03:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 07-17 17:57
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +8 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 07-02 02:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 07-16 16:13
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 07-14 08:16
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 07-11 06:54
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 07-03 00:36
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 07-13 13:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +7 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 07-02 19:50
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +10 $0 5¢ $1 +$0 07-08 21:05
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes +7 $0 7¢ $1 +$0 07-01 22:10
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +6 $0 8¢ $0 $-0 07-02 07:17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 07-01 22:22
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +8 $0 5¢ $0 $-0 07-13 20:29
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +8 $0 5¢ $0 $-0 07-13 06:15
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +8 $0 5¢ $0 $-0 07-01 08:39
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 07-02 11:03
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 07-15 13:48
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 07-02 13:45
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 07-13 06:16