Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$11
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
16 positions
First seen
2026-07-01
last 07-02 11:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
Politics
38%
Crypto
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-01 20:28
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-01 16:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-02 00:05
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +6 $0 $1 +$0 07-02 08:35
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes +7 $0 $1 +$0 07-01 22:10
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +10 $0 $1 +$0 07-02 13:45
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 $1 +$0 07-01 22:22
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +8 $0 $0 +$0 07-02 02:50
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +8 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 08:39
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 07-02 07:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 14:22
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 07-02 11:03
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 07-02 17:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +6 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 06:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +7 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 06:15
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 07-02 14:16