Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d71…b3d0e2
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,649
lifetime
Volume
$153.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$6.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-30 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 75% $-933
Other
28% 50% $-1,030
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +900 $870 100¢ $896 +$26 06-27 16:43
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +647 $622 100¢ $644 +$22 06-23 18:07
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No +557 $522 100¢ $556 +$34 06-30 15:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -500 $-498 100¢ $-500 $-1 06-22 16:13
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +439 $418 100¢ $438 +$21 06-21 15:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +400 $369 100¢ $398 +$29 06-24 14:53
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -300 $-308 100¢ $-300 +$8 06-27 12:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +300 $289 100¢ $299 +$10 06-07 00:31
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -285 $-286 100¢ $-285 +$1 06-26 17:18
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No -252 $-252 100¢ $-252 $-1 06-23 08:39
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -210 $-209 100¢ $-210 $-0 06-21 18:55
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No -205 $-205 100¢ $-205 $-0 06-21 18:54
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -180 $-179 100¢ $-179 $-0 06-24 20:17
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -170 $-169 100¢ $-170 $-0 06-23 14:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +170 $153 99¢ $168 +$16 06-30 07:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +200 $158 84¢ $167 +$9 06-25 01:46
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +131 $118 97¢ $127 +$9 06-06 15:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +150 $110 82¢ $124 +$14 06-10 22:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-29 21:46
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$2 06-08 08:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 06-29 23:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -371 $-87 26¢ $-98 $-11 06-15 04:57
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 06-22 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +290 $152 32¢ $94 $-58 06-20 15:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 06-10 02:29
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +155 $92 59¢ $91 $-0 06-29 19:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $216 30¢ $88 $-127 06-18 16:21
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +100 $88 87¢ $87 $-1 05-31 17:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $44 43¢ $43 $-0 06-26 04:17
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +50 $32 72¢ $36 +$4 06-22 19:44