Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d71…b3d0e2
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
-$294
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,789
lifetime
Volume
$162.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$1.66K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-21 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
69% 75% $-933
Other
29% 50% $-1,030
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +400 $359 90¢ $362 +$3 07-13 20:51
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +200 $190 95¢ $191 +$1 07-04 09:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +200 $158 88¢ $175 +$17 06-25 01:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $130 66¢ $133 +$3 07-06 10:51
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +131 $118 99¢ $129 +$11 06-06 15:55
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +100 $88 98¢ $98 +$10 05-31 17:51
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +100 $85 91¢ $91 +$6 07-04 21:30
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +155 $92 52¢ $81 $-10 06-29 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +150 $110 54¢ $80 $-29 06-10 22:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -371 $-87 22¢ $-80 +$7 06-15 04:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $216 22¢ $64 $-151 06-18 16:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $44 36¢ $36 $-8 06-26 04:17
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +50 $32 64¢ $32 $-0 06-22 19:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $36 14¢ $23 $-13 06-23 00:04
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $17 21¢ $21 +$4 07-11 19:54
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 05-31 17:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -49 $-17 32¢ $-16 +$1 07-02 13:44
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +13 $12 95¢ $12 +$0 07-05 16:20
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +100 $11 12¢ $12 +$1 07-10 02:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +290 $152 1¢ $3 $-149 06-20 15:46