Utilized-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.87K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

6,117

Trades

40,574

lifetime

Volume

$203.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-18 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 56% -$3,648

Other

4% 69% -$248

Politics

1% 73% -$56

Sports

0% 38% +$81

Tech

0% 89% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 1280 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	+40	$33	84¢	$33	+$0	09-11 11:41
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$10	98¢	$20	+$9	09-10 17:10
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	+40	$12	16¢	$7	-$5	09-11 17:24
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+20	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	09-10 09:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 14 11am et	196	$823	854	799	+56	Down	-$23	03-14 16:57
bitcoin up or down march 13 3pm et	153	$675	507	503	+4	Up	-$10	03-13 19:52
bitcoin up or down march 13 2pm et	153	$615	458	458	+0	Up	-$8	03-13 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:25 UTC	111	$522	416	412	+4	Up	+$4	03-10 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:20 UTC	116	$487	397	391	+6	Up	+$7	03-11 04:24
pltr up or down on february 2 2026	2	$466	274	274	+0	Up	+$79	02-02 21:27
bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	67	$448	304	302	+2	Up	-$3	03-12 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:30 UTC	137	$409	511	505	+6	Up	-$3	03-11 04:34
ndx up or down on february 2 2026	2	$408	216	216	+0	Up	+$19	02-02 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:20 UTC	64	$397	238	236	+2	Up	+$2	03-10 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:55 UTC	150	$384	441	430	+11	Down	-$15	03-09 16:59
will nvda close between 190 and 195 week january 30 2026	5	$382	221	221	-0	Yes	+$42	01-30 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:55 UTC	136	$369	520	514	+5	Down	-$14	03-11 22:00
bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	89	$365	324	319	+4	Up	-$4	03-13 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:15 UTC	78	$360	291	287	+4	Up	+$4	03-11 04:18
rut up or down on january 29 2026	7	$350	435	435	+0	Up	-$31	01-29 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 02:00 UTC	84	$349	288	284	+4	Down	-$2	03-11 02:04
bitcoin up or down march 12 11pm et	91	$329	298	297	+1	Up	-$7	03-13 03:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:35 UTC	138	$319	506	501	+5	Down	-$10	03-11 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:40 UTC	160	$317	591	581	+10	Down	-$20	03-11 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:30 UTC	88	$309	291	289	+2	Up	+$8	03-10 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:10 UTC	93	$309	302	299	+3	Down	-$14	03-10 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 17:45 UTC	79	$306	273	271	+2	Up	-$1	03-11 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:30 UTC	66	$302	223	217	+6	Up	+$1	03-11 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:10 UTC	55	$297	190	188	+1	Up	+$3	03-11 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:00 UTC	64	$295	229	227	+2	Up	-$1	03-11 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 17:20 UTC	78	$283	315	310	+5	Up	$0	03-11 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:00 UTC	61	$282	191	190	+1	Up	+$2	03-11 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:35 UTC	89	$278	312	308	+4	Up	$0	03-11 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:05 UTC	68	$278	206	205	+1	Up	-$3	03-11 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 16:14:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xa38377…
10-18 09:49:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x47cb6c…
10-18 08:55:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x125316…
10-18 08:45:18	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?	No	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x1f6a62…
10-18 08:28:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91d634…
10-18 08:00:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x9bba26…
10-18 06:12:14	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xcc727f…
10-18 05:40:57	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8e6c86…
10-18 02:54:56	lowest temperature in nyc on october 18 2026 38 39f	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x80ea65…
10-17 18:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0xa5daea…
10-17 18:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$2	0x92e8a8…
10-16 05:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x07ba0c…
10-16 04:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd935cb…
10-16 04:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5bebf5…
10-16 04:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10cb73…
10-16 03:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73fd0a…
10-16 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdccf14…
10-16 03:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb69656…
10-16 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x51b8d5…
10-16 01:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc97515…
10-16 01:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc49688…
10-16 01:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x426b92…
10-16 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc61374…
10-16 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46827b…
10-16 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0740e3…
10-16 00:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f1db3…
10-15 22:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa01ee1…
10-15 21:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8d8b4…
10-15 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a5da4…
10-15 19:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x898c25…
10-14 20:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xb68682…
10-14 20:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xa98139…
10-14 20:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x69f3f5…
10-14 20:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x890628…
10-14 20:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x582259…
10-14 19:51:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0x1de6e0…
10-14 19:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd3cf17…
10-14 18:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1485ad…
10-14 17:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x38f102…
10-14 17:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb3bc0b…
10-14 16:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xca8bbe…
10-14 16:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x85ca24…
10-14 16:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x02a797…
10-14 16:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x6f33d4…
10-14 15:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x070e9e…
10-14 14:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x083100…
10-14 14:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaff8f6…
10-14 14:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x414480…
10-14 13:58:27	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xff8354…
10-14 13:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5184a…
10-14 13:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe6eb4c…
10-14 13:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5a9f84…
10-14 13:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69219a…
10-14 12:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x31300b…
10-14 12:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe9c1f4…
10-14 10:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x1d81f3…
10-14 09:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x851c1f…
10-14 09:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xeea010…
10-14 09:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x1a8644…
10-14 09:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1c6391…
10-14 08:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x116a20…
10-14 08:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x88c36f…
10-14 07:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9b84b…
10-14 07:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x82a57b…
10-14 07:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcbc92a…
10-14 06:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ec291…
10-14 06:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x6920db…
10-14 06:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8df5d9…
10-14 06:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaed2d4…
10-14 06:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xccb98e…
10-14 05:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x3b8a61…
10-14 05:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x027f2b…
10-14 05:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2d9344…
10-14 05:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4c4519…
10-14 02:31:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe9eeef…
10-14 02:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5edf2f…
10-14 02:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc88ada…
10-14 01:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2807f1…
10-14 00:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf63c09…
10-14 00:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6206d3…
10-13 23:51:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x827ad7…
10-13 17:01:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1dc8bb…
10-13 12:51:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x67a8e2…
10-13 09:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x30d980…
10-13 04:48:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x0c247c…
10-13 03:46:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2b193b…
10-12 22:01:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbc8d96…
10-12 20:21:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6780b3…
10-12 06:56:11	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc523e6…
10-10 03:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe65e74…
10-10 03:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa92c5d…
10-10 03:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x294fed…
10-10 00:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd69d38…
10-10 00:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2f23d4…
10-10 00:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x082644…
10-09 19:50:40	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf0957d…
10-09 19:25:05	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x47aee1…
10-09 19:24:23	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x91ce0e…
10-09 18:51:10	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x355849…
10-09 18:25:05	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x35d527…