Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44cd…b2be1e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$752
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
1,432
Trades
11,699
lifetime
Volume
$1.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$5,495
Politics
32% 61% +$3,282
Sports
11% 36% -$94
Crypto
1% 31% -$27
Tech
0% 80% +$63
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -7,990 -$4,220 40¢ $-3236 +$984 10-19 09:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,300 $1,615 32¢ $1.0K -$575 09-16 23:50
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -899 -$747 93¢ $-839 -$92 07-16 19:10
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -696 -$488 88¢ $-616 -$127 09-17 19:41
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -2,324 -$399 20¢ $-465 -$65 10-11 09:12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -727 -$350 60¢ $-439 -$89 09-17 20:14
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +440 $294 96¢ $420 +$126 08-05 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +597 -$76 68¢ $409 +$485 09-17 19:32
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -500 -$410 74¢ $-367 +$42 07-29 02:23
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No -294 -$245 90¢ $-266 -$21 09-17 21:39
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -350 -$287 72¢ $-254 +$33 07-29 07:48
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -326 -$213 78¢ $-253 -$40 05-07 18:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -258 -$222 94¢ $-244 -$22 04-28 20:47
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -765 -$247 30¢ $-232 +$15 09-17 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -267 -$219 82¢ $-219 $0 10-26 11:03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -117 -$123 88¢ $-102 +$21 05-19 14:21
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes -99 -$8 98¢ $-97 -$88 07-02 15:08
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -2,000 -$281 5¢ $-94 +$187 10-26 13:39
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -100 -$76 92¢ $-92 -$16 07-19 11:07
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -93 -$78 92¢ $-86 -$8 09-19 13:20
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No -867 -$159 8¢ $-74 +$85 07-17 00:50
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -494 -$119 11¢ $-54 +$64 09-17 19:41
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +73 $51 68¢ $49 -$1 06-27 11:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +300 $42 15¢ $44 +$2 10-01 22:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -486 -$49 8¢ $-41 +$7 10-26 13:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -35 -$30 88¢ $-31 -$1 05-08 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -300 -$70 9¢ $-27 +$43 07-18 17:28
Blue wave in 2026? No -182 -$48 14¢ $-25 +$23 07-02 15:07
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,441 $41 1¢ $23 -$18 07-07 16:37
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $223 4¢ $20 -$203 06-01 07:03