Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44cd…b2be1e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$749
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
171
Trades
9,532
lifetime
Volume
$849.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$2.71K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
54% 43% $-832
Politics
31% 100% +$57
Sports
14% 41% $-520
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -462 $-386 88¢ $-409 $-23 07-16 19:10
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -420 $-366 88¢ $-372 $-5 07-21 15:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +726 $383 46¢ $338 $-45 06-15 06:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,587 $11 11¢ $279 +$268 07-12 17:51
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? No +268 $233 90¢ $242 +$9 07-02 15:06
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $223 54¢ $235 +$12 06-01 07:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-217 34¢ $-172 +$44 06-01 12:50
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +134 $111 92¢ $122 +$11 06-27 10:07
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 07-02 15:05
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +72 $66 92¢ $66 +$0 06-27 11:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +145 $94 43¢ $62 $-32 06-14 21:58
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +66 $54 88¢ $58 +$4 07-12 07:49
Blue wave in 2026? No -182 $-48 24¢ $-45 +$3 07-02 15:07
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +32 $31 95¢ $30 $-1 07-05 01:20
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -380 $-48 8¢ $-30 +$18 06-01 12:51
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +37 $26 78¢ $28 +$2 06-27 11:53
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -29 $-25 94¢ $-27 $-2 06-10 00:30
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 $-56 6¢ $-22 +$34 06-01 12:50
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 07-21 19:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -121 $-33 16¢ $-19 +$14 06-01 11:30
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-9 $-0 05-29 00:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -715 $-433 1¢ $-8 +$424 05-29 20:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 09:11
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +295 $3 2¢ $4 +$1 06-23 07:17
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 3¢ $-3 +$3 06-07 09:17
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -3 $-2 96¢ $-3 $-1 06-23 14:24
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-7 82¢ $0 +$7 06-20 00:00
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-12 12:00