Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44cd…b2be1e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
171
Trades
9,493
lifetime
Volume
$846.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$3.56K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
54% 43% $-832
Politics
31% 100% +$57
Sports
14% 41% $-520
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 728 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -715 $-458 100¢ $-711 $-254 05-29 18:08
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +704 $685 99¢ $698 +$13 06-28 17:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $223 68¢ $301 +$78 06-01 07:03
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -302 $-263 86¢ $-261 +$2 06-27 07:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -715 $-433 36¢ $-261 +$172 05-29 20:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +230 $222 100¢ $230 +$8 06-13 17:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +726 $383 32¢ $229 $-154 06-15 06:37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-217 34¢ $-172 +$44 06-01 12:50
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -173 $-140 82¢ $-141 $-1 06-25 14:41
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +134 $111 86¢ $114 +$3 06-27 10:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -807 $-183 11¢ $-85 +$98 06-06 22:53
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +145 $94 52¢ $76 $-18 06-14 21:58
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +72 $66 94¢ $67 +$1 06-27 11:49
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 $-56 10¢ $-38 +$18 06-01 12:50
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -380 $-48 10¢ $-38 +$10 06-01 12:51
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -29 $-25 94¢ $-27 $-2 06-10 00:30
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +37 $26 67¢ $24 $-2 06-27 11:53
Blue wave in 2026? No -88 $-25 26¢ $-23 +$2 06-29 02:54
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -121 $-33 18¢ $-22 +$11 06-01 11:30
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -10 $-8 92¢ $-9 $-1 05-29 00:14
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? Yes +282 $11 3¢ $7 $-4 06-26 05:22
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 09:11
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No +5 $3 90¢ $5 +$2 06-21 07:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +295 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 06-23 07:17
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 4¢ $-4 +$2 06-07 09:17
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -3 $-2 53¢ $-2 $-0 06-23 14:24
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-9 100¢ $0 +$9 06-22 15:49
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-7 74¢ $0 +$7 06-20 00:00
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +0 $-4 99¢ $0 +$4 06-05 09:31