Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$183
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
171
Trades
9,355
lifetime
Volume
$838.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$2.22K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
54% 43% $-832
Politics
31% 100% +$57
Sports
14% 41% $-520
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 728 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -715 $-458 90¢ $-647 $-189 05-29 18:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +606 $314 52¢ $315 +$1 06-07 12:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-217 55¢ $-277 $-61 06-01 12:50
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +297 $221 76¢ $226 +$4 06-09 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -715 $-433 30¢ $-218 +$215 05-29 20:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $223 48¢ $211 $-12 06-01 07:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -807 $-183 18¢ $-141 +$42 06-06 22:53
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 $-56 13¢ $-52 +$4 06-01 12:50
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -380 $-48 12¢ $-46 +$2 06-01 12:51
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -121 $-33 24¢ $-29 +$4 06-01 11:30
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -29 $-25 86¢ $-24 +$1 06-10 00:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +414 $10 $10 +$1 06-06 14:58
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-0 05-29 00:14
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 09:11
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 $-6 +$0 06-07 09:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +299 $198 $0 $-198 05-29 07:19
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +0 $-4 88¢ $0 +$4 06-05 09:31