Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44cd…b2be1e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$485
Hit rate
34.5%
Resolved (90d)
38
Trades (90d)
384
11,669 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$24.6K
$1.07M lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$10.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$5,495
Politics
32% 61% +$3,282
Sports
11% 36% -$94
Crypto
1% 31% -$27
Tech
0% 80% +$63
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -7,990 -$4,220 49¢ $-3915 +$305 10-19 09:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,300 $1,615 29¢ $940 -$674 09-16 23:50
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -899 -$747 93¢ $-838 -$91 07-16 19:10
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -696 -$488 87¢ $-604 -$116 09-17 19:41
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -727 -$350 76¢ $-552 -$202 09-17 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +597 -$76 72¢ $427 +$503 09-17 19:32
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +440 $294 96¢ $420 +$126 08-05 07:34
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -2,324 -$399 15¢ $-337 +$62 10-11 09:12
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -500 -$410 62¢ $-312 +$97 07-29 02:23
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No -294 -$245 92¢ $-272 -$27 09-17 21:39
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -326 -$213 78¢ $-255 -$42 05-07 18:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -258 -$222 96¢ $-246 -$25 04-28 20:47
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +228 $222 99¢ $225 +$4 10-27 05:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +229 $220 98¢ $223 +$4 10-29 21:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -267 -$219 82¢ $-217 +$1 10-26 11:03
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -350 -$287 62¢ $-217 +$70 07-29 07:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -117 -$123 92¢ $-107 +$16 05-19 14:21
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes -99 -$8 97¢ $-95 -$87 07-02 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -100 -$76 92¢ $-92 -$16 07-19 11:07
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -93 -$78 92¢ $-86 -$8 09-19 13:20
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -765 -$247 11¢ $-85 +$162 09-17 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No -867 -$159 10¢ $-82 +$76 07-17 00:50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -2,000 -$281 4¢ $-75 +$206 10-26 13:39
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -494 -$119 12¢ $-57 +$62 09-17 19:41
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +73 $51 63¢ $46 -$5 06-27 11:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +300 $42 14¢ $40 -$1 10-01 22:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -486 -$49 6¢ $-32 +$17 10-26 13:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -35 -$30 88¢ $-31 -$1 05-08 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -300 -$70 9¢ $-27 +$43 07-18 17:28
Blue wave in 2026? No -182 -$48 12¢ $-23 +$25 07-02 15:07