Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44cd…b2be1e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
14
11,700 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.40K
$1.07M lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$11.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$5,495
Politics
32% 61% +$3,282
Sports
11% 36% -$94
Crypto
1% 31% -$27
Tech
0% 80% +$63
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -7,990 -$4,220 50¢ $-3955 +$265 10-19 09:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,300 $1,615 29¢ $940 -$674 09-16 23:50
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -899 -$747 93¢ $-838 -$91 07-16 19:10
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -696 -$488 88¢ $-612 -$124 09-17 19:41
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -727 -$350 75¢ $-547 -$197 09-17 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +597 -$76 72¢ $427 +$503 09-17 19:32
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +440 $294 94¢ $416 +$122 08-05 07:34
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -2,324 -$399 18¢ $-407 -$7 10-11 09:12
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -500 -$410 68¢ $-342 +$67 07-29 02:23
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No -294 -$245 93¢ $-274 -$28 09-17 21:39
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -326 -$213 78¢ $-255 -$42 05-07 18:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -258 -$222 96¢ $-246 -$25 04-28 20:47
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -350 -$287 68¢ $-238 +$49 07-29 07:48
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +228 $222 98¢ $223 +$1 10-27 05:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +229 $220 97¢ $223 +$3 10-29 21:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -267 -$219 82¢ $-217 +$1 10-26 11:03
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -765 -$247 14¢ $-111 +$137 09-17 20:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -117 -$123 90¢ $-106 +$17 05-19 14:21
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes -99 -$8 97¢ $-95 -$87 07-02 15:08
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -100 -$76 93¢ $-93 -$17 07-19 11:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No -867 -$159 10¢ $-87 +$72 07-17 00:50
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -93 -$78 92¢ $-86 -$8 09-19 13:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -2,000 -$281 4¢ $-81 +$200 10-26 13:39
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -494 -$119 10¢ $-49 +$69 09-17 19:41
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +73 $51 64¢ $47 -$4 06-27 11:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +300 $42 14¢ $40 -$1 10-01 22:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -486 -$49 8¢ $-36 +$12 10-26 13:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -35 -$30 90¢ $-32 -$2 05-08 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -300 -$70 11¢ $-32 +$39 07-18 17:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +440 $223 6¢ $24 -$199 06-01 07:03