Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
30
Trades
630
lifetime
Volume
$3.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$308
29 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 07-14 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
64% 100% +$3
Sports
17% 100% +$1
Politics
12% 100% +$2
Tech
5%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$3 05-29 15:21
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-03 18:08
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-05 18:09
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-07 06:14
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-07 18:11
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-02 12:16
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-03 18:08
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 07-01 12:18
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-03 12:11
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-16 12:17
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 07-02 18:09
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing +10 $10 95¢ $9 $-0 07-02 00:09
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +10 $10 92¢ $9 $-0 07-04 12:08
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +9 $9 96¢ $9 $-0 07-03 18:08
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? Yes +9 $9 93¢ $8 $-0 07-01 12:19
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +8 $8 98¢ $8 $-0 06-16 12:17
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 07-08 12:17
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +7 $7 96¢ $7 $-0 07-01 00:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +7 $7 93¢ $7 $-0 07-09 00:09
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +7 $7 91¢ $6 $-0 07-06 12:10
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-14 08:14
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-10 06:19
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 07-14 23:47
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 07-13 18:11
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-12 06:21
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-13 18:11
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? SpaceX +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-12 00:13
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-06 18:11
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +5 $5 84¢ $4 $-1 07-09 16:37