Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

533

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-29 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$3

Sports

20% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+100	$94	94¢	$94	+$0	05-29 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 15:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-07 06:29
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	3	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 08:18
Will Tesla reach $488 in April?	3	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 08:18
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	3	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 08:18
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	3	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 08:18
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	02-26 11:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	02-27 12:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 20:19
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-14 12:18
Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-18 04:17
will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 08:16
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 08:16
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 13:00
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 12:18
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-14 12:18
Will Fiorentina reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-15 20:19
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 20:19
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	2	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	04-11 08:16
will lt overton be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-11 08:16
nothing ever happens elon edition	3	$11	8	3	+5	open	—	03-29 19:21
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-25 02:41
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 18:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-25 06:48
will the 1st pick in the 2026 pro football draft be a qb	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 14:44
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 03:22
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 14:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 14:41
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 14:45
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:21:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xaefb40…
05-13 06:41:03	Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x477cb8…
05-12 22:04:49	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd53a20…
05-12 18:12:41	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc8dd07…
05-12 18:12:11	Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe719a7…
05-11 18:07:34	Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x63505c…
05-11 12:05:29	Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x829915…
05-11 12:05:19	Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x0e7856…
05-11 09:12:55	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x435a90…
05-11 06:17:49	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe77f36…
05-11 06:17:46	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd66d50…
05-11 06:17:14	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ec4df…
05-11 06:16:31	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x255e02…
05-11 06:15:17	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f9822…
05-11 06:15:01	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2234b7…
05-11 00:05:53	Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x661224…
05-11 00:05:50	Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x2493c8…
05-10 12:06:35	Will Belgium be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x60b7ec…
05-10 12:06:31	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbc4b65…
05-10 00:05:02	Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8b27f3…
05-10 00:04:53	Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x88e22a…
05-10 00:04:49	Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xba9bf5…
05-10 00:04:46	Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x570681…
05-09 18:07:18	Will John Kennedy vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf17b51…
05-09 12:07:23	Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3b0eae…
05-09 00:05:58	Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x60253c…
05-09 00:05:55	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x5c2d70…
05-08 12:07:31	Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4b9a50…
05-07 12:07:34	Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x17c2f5…
05-07 06:12:17	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf8606c…
05-07 00:06:20	Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfbf310…
05-06 12:29:58	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x280742…
05-06 12:12:52	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc3f7fd…
05-05 22:07:26	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf5e2a1…
05-05 18:06:54	Will AJ Brown be traded?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x15524c…
05-05 18:06:48	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x42281c…
05-05 12:08:08	Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7be1d1…
05-05 12:08:04	Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4f7599…
05-05 00:10:06	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x746046…
05-05 00:09:54	Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the UEFA Conference League final?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9340ab…
05-04 12:07:14	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x4a4aa5…
05-03 12:09:08	Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc5d6ed…
05-03 07:58:50	Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x717977…
04-28 05:27:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x231ace…
04-28 05:27:08	Will the Rolex Index hit $11,950 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x16522e…
04-28 05:27:04	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9e7d9b…
04-28 05:27:00	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd04f40…
04-28 05:26:58	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xaf0519…
04-27 21:23:20	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9737f6…
04-27 21:23:10	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $43,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x77b09b…
04-27 21:22:58	Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x4707ae…
04-27 21:22:46	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc54b24…
04-27 13:00:56	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd5acd7…
04-27 12:21:16	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbb1518…
04-27 09:29:00	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2d265…
04-27 09:23:24	Will Nikki Gronli be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xce29d5…
04-27 09:23:14	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcdc82b…
04-27 09:23:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2026ca…
04-27 09:22:52	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xed8dd6…
04-27 01:22:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd46278…
04-27 01:22:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x61bb6d…
04-27 01:22:08	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x793b03…
04-27 01:21:56	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb8c0a1…
04-27 01:21:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xfdf3ce…
04-26 21:27:24	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdeccc2…
04-26 21:27:18	Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x875cf3…
04-26 21:27:10	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe5d677…
04-26 09:30:54	Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcc60e1…
04-26 09:30:40	Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x56f4b5…
04-26 09:30:28	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf73e25…
04-26 09:30:16	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa19796…
04-26 09:30:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa93fd0…
04-25 00:16:42	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x820bda…
04-22 20:18:06	will the pittsburgh steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x837ab9…
04-22 16:21:02	Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6f5458…
04-22 16:21:00	will the indianapolis colts draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x220a6d…
04-22 16:20:56	will carnell tate be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x136314…
04-22 16:20:52	will the new orleans saints draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x613d12…
04-22 16:20:50	will francis mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x59738c…
04-21 04:18:08	will the tennessee titans draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb37fd3…
04-18 12:18:58	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9a9d0f…
04-18 08:18:48	Will Tesla reach $488 in April?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x38a77b…
04-18 08:18:46	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xefb148…
04-18 08:18:44	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa84c17…
04-18 08:18:40	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x93b064…
04-18 04:17:44	Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xaffe1e…
04-18 04:17:40	Will Tesla reach $488 in April?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x20f781…
04-18 04:17:38	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfdfeff…
04-18 04:17:36	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2e19c5…
04-18 04:17:32	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5790d5…
04-18 00:19:02	Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x35d762…
04-18 00:19:00	Will Tesla reach $488 in April?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe86be8…
04-18 00:18:58	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x656c8a…
04-18 00:18:54	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x330b2e…
04-18 00:18:52	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x23f7f8…
04-17 20:19:00	Will Meta reach $810 in April?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xce8274…
04-17 20:18:58	Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7cd7b0…
04-17 20:18:56	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xee75a4…
04-17 20:18:52	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x932b47…
04-17 20:18:50	will tj parker be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3dc384…