Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
open
Total volume
$10,998
$379 in 24h
Trades
259
Unique wallets
113
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-02 11:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $100
vs crowd: 2% YES on $5.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $310 | $309 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $2 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $5 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 66 | $99 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $3 | $995 | $991 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $9 | $7 |
| Median | 16 | $87 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 13 | $1 | $38 | $37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $1 | $147 | $147 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $756 | $756 |
| unranked | 58 | $11 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | +1,747 | $87 | $87 | 14 | 06-09 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x45ea…b278 | Yes | +1,684 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-02 11:15 |
| Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | No | +800 | $799 | $799 | 1 | 07-02 11:15 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +504 | $497 | $497 | 2 | 06-25 13:10 |
| Gracious-Methodology 0xe708…4345 | No | +375 | $424 | $2,429 | 3 | 06-18 22:55 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-02 10:24 |
| Tepid-Catsup 0x62f6…6300 | No | +241 | $154 | $839 | 3 | 07-01 08:18 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 07-02 10:54 |
| Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | +184 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-02 09:53 |
| Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | No | +150 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-05 03:28 |
| Substantial-Comradeship-Nut 0xaded…4c35 | No | +133 | $121 | $121 | 2 | 06-01 20:36 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd130…fe8a | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-22 12:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +95 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 13:10 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +72 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9011…311c | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-01 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0620…5206 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf356…d3e9 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5539…9e2f | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6754…562d | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fff…c93a | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeafa…c718 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 22:55 |
| Plush-Ligula 0x9fc4…50c5 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-18 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-01 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa428…1a4c | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-01 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x324c…8d90 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-01 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a98…3984 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-01 08:18 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 07-01 08:18 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +32 | $1 | $4 | 10 | 07-01 08:18 |
| Courteous-Stepfather 0x6282…3ea8 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-16 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-25 21:47 |
| Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3576…e553 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d82…149a | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 16:12 |
| Willing-Gym 0xa61d…175e | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 22:59 |
| Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 07-01 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +6 | $-2 | $13 | 33 | 07-01 08:18 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 16:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 11:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x45ea…b278 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbeecca… |
| 07-02 11:15:55 | Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | No | BUY | 800 | 100¢ | $799 | 0xbeecca… |
| 07-02 10:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x45ea…b278 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fbd3f… |
| 07-02 10:54:43 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x6fbd3f… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x795b3a… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x45ea…b278 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x795b3a… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x45ea…b278 | Yes | BUY | 684 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 10:24:34 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x047be8… |
| 07-02 09:53:20 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x4f9cc0… |
| 07-02 09:53:20 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9cc0… |
| 07-02 09:53:20 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9cc0… |
| 07-02 09:53:20 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9cc0… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xa428…1a4c | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xe3ea…5db4 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x9011…311c | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x9a98…3984 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x324c…8d90 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 08:18:16 | Tepid-Catsup 0x62f6…6300 | No | SELL | 350 | 98¢ | $343 | 0xfe9e31… |
| 07-01 01:14:25 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdde122… |
| 07-01 01:14:25 | Vigorous-Expansionism 0x5146…56e1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdde122… |
| 06-30 22:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe65f3e… |
| 06-30 22:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe65f3e… |
| 06-27 09:50:41 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x614b41… |
| 06-27 09:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x614b41… |
| 06-26 16:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x751d33… |
| 06-26 16:03:19 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x751d33… |
| 06-25 21:48:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc4c105… |
| 06-25 21:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc4c105… |
| 06-25 21:48:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc4c105… |
| 06-25 21:48:01 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 182 | 97¢ | $177 | 0xc4c105… |
| 06-25 21:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x8d954f… |
| 06-25 21:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8d954f… |
| 06-25 21:47:08 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x8d954f… |
| 06-25 21:47:02 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x831f08… |
| 06-25 21:47:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x831f08… |
| 06-25 21:47:02 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x831f08… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x9afc…314b | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 17:15:40 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xaaa7a4… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 354 | 99¢ | $350 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 13:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xb0e8…399f | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x036f52… |
| 06-25 06:06:50 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xba8f03… |
| 06-25 06:06:50 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xba8f03… |
| 06-25 04:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xd7f427… |
| 06-25 04:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd7f427… |
| 06-25 04:39:28 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7f427… |
| 06-25 02:20:20 | (anonymous) 0xa1ef…1faa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x839419… |
| 06-25 02:20:20 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x839419… |
| 06-25 02:20:20 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x839419… |
| 06-25 02:20:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x839419… |
| 06-25 02:20:20 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x839419… |
| 06-24 18:30:41 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xefd8ef… |
| 06-24 18:30:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xefd8ef… |
| 06-24 16:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7568b3… |
| 06-24 16:42:28 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7568b3… |
| 06-23 21:23:07 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa0c5be… |
| 06-23 21:23:07 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa0c5be… |
| 06-23 21:23:07 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa0c5be… |
| 06-23 16:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x46f66f… |
| 06-23 16:06:34 | (anonymous) 0xa3c0…296c | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x46f66f… |
| 06-23 16:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x801d…56e5 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x46f66f… |
| 06-23 16:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8ab4d0… |
| 06-23 16:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3c0…296c | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x8ab4d0… |
| 06-23 15:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xad88af… |
| 06-23 15:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xa3c0…296c | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xad88af… |
| 06-23 12:59:28 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0x23191d… |
| 06-23 12:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x5d39…4d8f | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x23191d… |
| 06-23 12:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x23191d… |
| 06-23 12:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x23191d… |
| 06-23 12:59:28 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x23191d… |
| 06-23 00:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x77aa9a… |
| 06-23 00:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x77aa9a… |
| 06-22 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x835fb0… |
| 06-22 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x835fb0… |
| 06-22 19:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x1f25aa… |
| 06-22 19:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1f25aa… |
| 06-22 19:25:56 | Silver-Basement 0x2b52…a7d7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9f4bef… |
| 06-22 19:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9f4bef… |
| 06-22 19:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x290b…56c8 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x9f4bef… |
| 06-22 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf05d09… |
| 06-22 13:45:31 | Plush-Homogenate 0xff12…cdc4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf05d09… |
| 06-22 12:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $44 | 0xe51ad5… |