Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
open
Total volume
$2,266
$379 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$5,159
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-13 21:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $142 | $142 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $89 | $314 | $224 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 4 | $87 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 7 | $0 | $23 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $147 | $147 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 19 | $2 | $304 | $302 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | +1,747 | $87 | $87 | 14 | 06-09 22:53 |
| Gracious-Methodology 0xe708…4345 | No | +1,501 | $1,426 | $1,426 | 2 | 06-07 07:10 |
| Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | No | +150 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-05 03:28 |
| Substantial-Comradeship-Nut 0xaded…4c35 | No | +133 | $121 | $121 | 2 | 06-01 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 7 | 06-08 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-11 19:09 |
| Plush-Ligula 0x9fc4…50c5 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 06-12 03:54 |
| Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3576…e553 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 16:12 |
| Willing-Gym 0xa61d…175e | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 22:59 |
| Courteous-Stepfather 0x6282…3ea8 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0e8…399f | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-09 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-03 08:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 21:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7c7…3e1b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 05:58 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 13:32 |
| Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b3…5e56 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 21:47:40 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x275978… |
| 06-13 21:47:40 | Courteous-Stepfather 0x6282…3ea8 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x275978… |
| 06-12 03:54:39 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x182055… |
| 06-12 03:54:39 | Plush-Ligula 0x9fc4…50c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x182055… |
| 06-11 22:16:39 | Plush-Ligula 0x9fc4…50c5 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x4e49bc… |
| 06-11 22:16:39 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x4e49bc… |
| 06-11 19:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | BUY | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x661f01… |
| 06-11 19:09:15 | Plush-Ligula 0x9fc4…50c5 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x661f01… |
| 06-11 19:09:15 | Deafening-Extinction 0xa149…4c12 | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x661f01… |
| 06-11 19:09:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x661f01… |
| 06-10 10:00:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x62bce6… |
| 06-10 10:00:51 | Fumbling-Publication-Common 0xcc91…2842 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x62bce6… |
| 06-10 10:00:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x62bce6… |
| 06-09 22:53:03 | Fumbling-Publication-Common 0xcc91…2842 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xaffaca… |
| 06-09 22:53:03 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaffaca… |
| 06-09 21:09:07 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x349682… |
| 06-09 21:09:07 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x349682… |
| 06-09 13:01:43 | (anonymous) 0x1956…9461 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xa5a470… |
| 06-09 13:01:43 | (anonymous) 0xb0e8…399f | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xa5a470… |
| 06-08 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x74ea68… |
| 06-08 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x74ea68… |
| 06-08 16:12:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0e8…399f | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x74ea68… |
| 06-08 00:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x08bc00… |
| 06-08 00:50:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x08bc00… |
| 06-08 00:47:54 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0eacd9… |
| 06-08 00:47:54 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0eacd9… |
| 06-07 21:34:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3ed3d6… |
| 06-07 21:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3ed3d6… |
| 06-07 12:47:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe77e54… |
| 06-07 12:47:34 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe77e54… |
| 06-07 12:45:33 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1b56f0… |
| 06-07 12:45:33 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1b56f0… |
| 06-07 11:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x531657… |
| 06-07 11:33:55 | Pale-Interpretation 0x4cfb…3990 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x531657… |
| 06-07 07:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x17b3…5e56 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2b61db… |
| 06-07 07:53:27 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2b61db… |
| 06-07 07:10:52 | Gracious-Methodology 0xe708…4345 | No | BUY | 764 | 95¢ | $726 | 0xfd2c6d… |
| 06-07 07:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 764 | 5¢ | $38 | 0xfd2c6d… |
| 06-07 05:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6dd8ff… |
| 06-07 05:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xb7c7…3e1b | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x6dd8ff… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x37437f… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x37437f… |
| 06-06 16:08:58 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe2b2fc… |
| 06-06 16:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x3576…e553 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xe2b2fc… |
| 06-05 22:59:27 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x8a0b35… |
| 06-05 22:59:27 | Willing-Gym 0xa61d…175e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8a0b35… |
| 06-05 03:28:36 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xc06460… |
| 06-05 03:28:36 | Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | No | BUY | 150 | 95¢ | $142 | 0xc06460… |
| 06-05 00:27:49 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 737 | 5¢ | $37 | 0xba4771… |
| 06-05 00:27:49 | Gracious-Methodology 0xe708…4345 | No | BUY | 737 | 95¢ | $700 | 0xba4771… |
| 06-03 13:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x0bc7…1071 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1a86a0… |
| 06-03 13:57:41 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1a86a0… |
| 06-03 08:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xff46…3b01 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x156aae… |
| 06-03 08:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x156aae… |
| 06-03 08:09:59 | Studious-Lout 0x9d32…401c | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x156aae… |
| 06-02 21:38:09 | Altruistic-Domain 0x4c3f…ce63 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaad0ab… |
| 06-02 21:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaad0ab… |
| 06-02 19:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x9ae2cf… |
| 06-02 19:04:21 | Jagged-Current 0x4a28…d58b | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x9ae2cf… |
| 06-02 15:57:20 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7d4310… |
| 06-02 15:57:20 | Cruel-Patient 0xa8d4…0a2f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7d4310… |
| 06-02 06:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xd357…cd28 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x37408f… |
| 06-02 06:01:17 | Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x37408f… |
| 06-01 20:36:13 | Substantial-Comradeship-Nut 0xaded…4c35 | No | BUY | 127 | 91¢ | $115 | 0xcf7fe7… |
| 06-01 20:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xc80d…5a3f | No | SELL | 127 | 91¢ | $115 | 0xcf7fe7… |
| 05-31 09:55:43 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x06321a… |
| 05-31 09:55:43 | Pale-Interpretation 0x4cfb…3990 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x06321a… |
| 05-31 09:55:22 | Pale-Interpretation 0x4cfb…3990 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe8b3c8… |
| 05-31 09:55:22 | Substantial-Comradeship-Nut 0xaded…4c35 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe8b3c8… |
| 05-31 00:00:14 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x62890e… |
| 05-31 00:00:14 | Jagged-Current 0x4a28…d58b | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x62890e… |
| 05-29 13:32:03 | Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x34e67b… |
| 05-29 13:32:03 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x34e67b… |
| 05-28 21:57:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd36910… |
| 05-28 21:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…a878 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd36910… |
| 05-27 22:00:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xf110dc… |
| 05-27 22:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x0dca…f543 | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xf110dc… |