Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

264

Trades

12,998

lifetime

Volume

$482.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-20 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$5

Sports

22% 100% +$1

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2393 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bordeaux: Completed Match: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Yes		+35	$35	80¢	$28	$-7	05-15 13:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?	11	$2.6K	2,613	0	+2,613	open	—	05-14 18:42
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	6	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	05-15 02:25
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$1.2K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-14 16:18
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	5	$1.0K	401	602	-201	open	—	06-15 16:24
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	05-14 12:27
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	20	$1000	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-12 10:09
ITF Women Bastad: Completed Match: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar	4	$987	989	0	+989	open	—	05-14 15:45
Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)	3	$750	751	0	+751	open	—	05-15 18:26
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	3	$750	751	0	+751	open	—	05-15 18:17
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5	3	$713	714	0	+714	open	—	05-14 20:25
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	8	$642	353	353	+0	open	—	06-28 07:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	7	$638	478	478	+0	open	—	06-28 07:34
CF Universidad de Chile vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score	7	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	06-19 18:25
will ace be said during the iem cologne 2026 grand finals 20260614191816927	7	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	06-22 14:35
nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	7	$600	619	0	+619	open	—	06-23 20:21
will nvidia be in the headlines this week 20260612213503950	6	$550	551	0	+551	open	—	06-22 07:15
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$513	514	0	+514	open	—	05-15 11:03
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	6	$500	520	0	+520	open	—	06-22 17:58
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-19 17:25
will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-21 23:08
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5	2	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	05-14 20:15
wta muchova tauson 2026 06 25 set 2 total 8pt5	5	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-25 17:06
meta above 550 on june 26 2026	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-26 20:14
itf pohle daems 2026 06 27 set 2 total 9pt5	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-27 08:57
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 goals guillermo martinez gte1	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-25 03:20
mlbb ver vp 2026 06 21 game3	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-21 19:22
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	6	$500	503	0	+503	open	—	06-26 15:06
Will Stewart Cink finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	05-16 02:11
will the announcers say comeback come back during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419621	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-20 19:57
will the announcers say golden boot during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650887	6	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-21 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 23:41:30	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2 round handicap grmioe 6pt5	Grêmio Esports	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x016fd3…
07-20 23:41:10	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe33d8b…
07-20 23:40:00	val axolot mvs 2026 07 20 game1 round total 20pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xeb29cd…
07-20 23:38:00	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2 round handicap grmioe 3pt5	Grêmio Esports	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x68f0c1…
07-20 23:34:30	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2 round handicap grmioe 9pt5	Grêmio Esports	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbd083…
07-20 23:25:42	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	SELL	106	70¢	$74	0x8f5daf…
07-20 22:54:10	val him efa 2026 07 20 game2 round total 20pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8de63d…
07-20 22:53:10	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd0debb…
07-20 22:52:21	val him efa 2026 07 20 game2 round handicap him 3pt5	HIMMERS	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe75aac…
07-20 22:38:30	val srg sen1 2026 07 20 game2 round total 19pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xede47b…
07-20 22:13:10	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31eec2…
07-20 21:45:10	val srg sen1 2026 07 20 game1 round total 19pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf41cab…
07-20 21:18:30	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdf4c70…
07-20 20:45:01	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x559944…
07-20 17:49:27	will trump post world cup on truth social this week 20260717143433892	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xa60459…
07-20 16:14:12	wta lansere radivoj 2026 07 20 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3685c6…
07-20 15:34:51	will wakanda be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441155	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x00307d…
07-20 15:12:43	will professor be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441154	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x6c3972…
07-20 15:12:21	will strange be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441157	No	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x75ff01…
07-20 14:53:33	will avenger be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441161	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4aa5c2…
07-20 14:50:22	will strange be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441157	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0b4a0f…
07-20 14:50:06	will mutant be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441166	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x74ebf4…
07-20 14:46:57	will wakanda be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441155	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x060404…
07-20 14:21:36	will professor be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441154	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x7043c8…
07-20 14:05:12	will thanos or galactus be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441152	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f0e71…
07-20 13:57:42	will avenger be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441161	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xdb3d49…
07-20 13:55:42	will brother be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441153	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa2d1ca…
07-20 13:53:31	will multiverse or universe be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441167	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc614cb…
07-20 13:53:22	will wakanda be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441155	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x39c24d…
07-20 13:50:06	will wakanda be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441155	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x23d00f…
07-20 13:47:57	will hulk be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441162	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc7ab36…
07-20 13:47:42	will kang be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441156	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe4715e…
07-20 13:46:12	will hulk be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441162	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x56bfec…
07-20 13:43:03	cs2 arc4 1win 2026 07 20 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x905a77…
07-20 13:36:12	will ewy reach 166 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbae717…
07-20 13:36:12	will nflx dip to 67 50 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6d8458…
07-20 13:34:19	will aapl dip to 332 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xea826d…
07-20 13:33:22	will ewy reach 165 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64a871…
07-20 13:33:22	will amzn reach 248 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2d10cc…
07-20 13:13:22	val blg xlg 2026 07 20 game2 round total 20pt5	Over	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x40774c…
07-20 12:44:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	188	46¢	$87	0xfaaff7…
07-20 12:40:52	atp neumaye hanfman 2026 07 20 completed match	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6af914…
07-20 12:37:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xac1998…
07-20 11:45:45	will anyone say possible or impossible during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117500	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0x715afe…
07-20 11:27:52	cs2 arc4 1win 2026 07 20 game1 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xebefc4…
07-20 11:25:52	cs2 arc4 1win 2026 07 20 game1 round handicap 1win 3pt5	ARCRED	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4d6312…
07-20 10:59:24	val tec ag1 2026 07 20 game2 round handicap ag1 3pt5	All Gamers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa465c7…
07-20 10:05:22	val tec ag1 2026 07 20 game1 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e8168…
07-20 08:56:01	will kristi noem attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357123	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9adf5…
07-20 08:53:31	will pep guardiola attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4eb61f…
07-20 08:51:31	will rupert murdoch attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357121	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cd08a…
07-20 08:19:42	will jeff bezos attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357129	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc5b512…
07-20 08:16:01	will sean duffy attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357124	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1df1e5…
07-20 08:06:28	will sean duffy attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357124	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe5f962…
07-20 07:57:12	will lebron james attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357130	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x450c0c…
07-20 07:56:52	will kim kardashian attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357132	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47c607…
07-20 07:55:51	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5742f…
07-20 07:55:51	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f5ac8…
07-20 07:55:33	will elon post soccer on x this week 20260710173822735	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc52169…
07-20 07:39:57	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260710155725220	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe201fd…
07-20 07:39:37	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260710155725220	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7d904c…
07-20 06:03:22	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x968935…
07-20 06:03:01	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd83de5…
07-20 05:59:37	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260710155725235	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb3afa9…
07-20 05:59:37	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117505 411	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb13f38…
07-20 05:59:37	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260710155725235	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77ff8b…
07-20 05:59:37	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117505 411	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x006810…
07-20 05:59:36	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0b72e…
07-20 05:59:36	will anyone say traitor during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303791	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x47b891…
07-20 05:59:36	will elon post president on x this week 20260710173822736	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3096a4…
07-20 05:10:51	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ddc23…
07-20 04:23:21	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d42ab…
07-20 04:16:54	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xab2311…
07-20 04:14:01	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x32df6f…
07-20 03:39:07	will episode not air 20260714143303793	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x055ab4…
07-20 03:38:30	will anyone say raven during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303782	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xebf02a…
07-20 03:12:07	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303786	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xb8ddf0…
07-20 02:51:30	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303786	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8ff1ac…
07-20 02:37:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef965b…
07-20 02:25:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956899	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x484c89…
07-20 02:03:01	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c8cf2…
07-20 02:00:34	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb16c62…
07-20 02:00:34	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4f38f0…
07-20 01:56:00	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x99c43a…
07-20 01:55:12	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xaf05be…
07-20 01:54:45	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x677c5b…
07-20 01:48:31	Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4c0f3d…
07-20 01:44:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d43ae…
07-20 01:37:21	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa577e7…
07-20 01:27:00	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaae25a…
07-20 01:19:51	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf2e4e5…
07-20 01:18:01	nwsl bos spi 2026 07 19 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb3fb8e…
07-20 01:18:01	nwsl bos spi 2026 07 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f3449…
07-20 00:58:01	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403311	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98b1da…
07-20 00:55:46	will trump say cosmos in july 20260629200910965	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2bc8e0…
07-20 00:51:31	Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89593f…
07-20 00:50:12	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6d01d0…
07-20 00:48:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79de3a…
07-20 00:44:22	will the announcers say lenovo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403331	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d4416…
07-20 00:40:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x1a3d16…