Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

26,840

Trades

37,921

lifetime

Volume

$1.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 11-02 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

76% 100% +$3,440

Sports

11% 100% +$666

Politics

11% 98% -$775

Tech

1% 100% +$37

Crypto

1% 100% +$70

Pop-Culture

0% 98% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 731 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?	11	$2.6K	2,613	0	+2,613	No	+$3	05-14 18:42
Will Micware's market cap be between $550M and $650M at market close on IPO day?	8	$1.8K	1,753	0	+1,753	No	+$2	05-14 22:07
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	9	$1.5K	824	824	+0	No	+$3	07-30 00:54
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	6	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	Chicago White Sox	+$2	05-15 02:25
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$1.2K	603	603	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 16:18
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?	7	$1.2K	602	602	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 16:24
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	Yes	+$2	05-14 12:27
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	20	$1000	1,054	0	+1,054	Odd	-$1,000	05-12 10:09
ITF Women Bastad: Completed Match: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar	4	$987	989	0	+989	Yes	+$1	05-14 15:45
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$750	751	0	+751	Yes	+$1	05-15 18:09
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	3	$750	751	0	+751	No	+$1	05-15 18:17
Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)	3	$750	751	0	+751	AC Sparta Praha	+$1	05-15 18:26
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5	3	$713	714	0	+714	Under	+$1	05-14 20:25
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?	8	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	06-27 17:59
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs	6	$676	432	432	+0	cancelled	-$24	09-24 08:05
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	8	$642	353	353	+0	No	-$57	06-28 07:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	7	$638	478	478	+0	No	-$62	06-28 07:34
CF Universidad de Chile vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score	7	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	06-19 18:25
will the announcers say champion during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747254	7	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	06-19 23:42
will ace be said during the iem cologne 2026 grand finals 20260614191816927	7	$600	606	0	+606	No	+$6	06-22 14:35
nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	7	$600	619	0	+619	Yes	-$600	06-23 20:21
will nvidia be in the headlines this week 20260612213503950	6	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	06-22 07:15
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	6	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	10-04 02:26
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	7	$535	536	0	+536	Yes	+$1	10-31 17:04
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$513	514	0	+514	No	+$1	05-15 11:03
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	4	$504	264	264	+0	Yes	+$5	09-30 09:07
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	6	$500	520	0	+520	No	+$20	06-22 17:58
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	6	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	06-19 17:25
will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	6	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	06-21 23:08
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5	2	$500	501	0	+501	Over	+$1	05-14 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:22:27	Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x985863…
11-02 14:51:04	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb6e04c…
11-02 14:50:24	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf904e8…
11-02 14:46:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9f0778…
11-02 14:35:28	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf85617…
11-02 14:25:51	Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd58303…
11-02 14:02:21	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x644ba8…
11-02 14:00:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x126a15…
11-02 13:56:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x78ca8d…
11-02 13:42:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57b981…
11-02 13:09:52	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52c3ac…
11-02 12:48:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe18d85…
11-02 12:24:21	Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02adad…
11-02 12:18:01	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90f0ac…
11-02 12:09:27	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd9045d…
11-02 12:07:58	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb90b41…
11-02 12:04:12	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $138.5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf54445…
11-02 12:03:31	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14c54e…
11-02 11:07:28	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	MOUZ	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xae6050…
11-02 11:06:52	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	MOUZ	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf72fb2…
11-02 11:04:46	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)	MOUZ	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x03a1cb…
11-02 10:08:40	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f970c…
11-02 09:40:37	Will Ferroviária be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc47524…
11-02 09:36:40	Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb70463…
11-02 09:36:39	Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x111e08…
11-02 09:32:16	Will Maringá be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfced38…
11-02 09:30:37	Will Maringá win the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x60ae9f…
11-02 09:30:36	Will Ferroviária win the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9c9aeb…
11-02 09:16:27	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a97f8…
11-02 09:16:27	Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a4910…
11-02 09:16:25	Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x63165e…
11-02 09:11:46	Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0923df…
11-02 08:19:16	Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf957b9…
11-02 08:17:18	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2bb2b1…
11-02 08:10:46	Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c3e56…
11-02 07:48:36	WTT Champions: Jingkun Liang vs Woo-Jin Jang	Woo-Jin Jang	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc5d0c3…
11-02 07:22:25	Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb18c9d…
11-02 07:21:45	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc3149…
11-02 06:56:34	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x579bbf…
11-02 06:22:16	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc1cde7…
11-02 05:43:52	Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd7a073…
11-02 05:43:52	Will Trump say "Halloween" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e8ace…
11-02 05:25:06	Will Trump say "Travel Ban" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1bfe1…
11-02 05:24:55	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x65a672…
11-02 05:22:25	Will Trump say "Moon" in November?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6049f…
11-02 05:19:22	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x57d4ce…
11-02 05:18:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66ec9a…
11-02 05:09:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x795f45…
11-02 05:09:31	Will Trump say "Moon" in November?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd022b5…
11-02 05:07:42	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfa6a99…
11-02 05:05:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0cf11d…
11-02 05:05:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa04513…
11-02 05:05:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x161e51…
11-02 05:01:25	Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0af62c…
11-02 04:51:19	Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf20c39…
11-02 04:51:19	Will Trump say "Halloween" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd23675…
11-02 04:43:00	nfl phi was 2026 11 02 anytime td grant calcaterra	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x346a52…
11-02 04:33:30	Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd6a232…
11-02 04:24:39	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbedd8b…
11-02 04:10:21	Will Trump say "Halloween" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6e944b…
11-02 04:09:54	Will Trump say "Brazil" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbb553d…
11-02 04:08:37	Will Freddy Fermin win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x236a81…
11-02 04:05:24	Will Trump say "Pardon" or "Pardoned" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x116c5c…
11-02 04:01:09	Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x148b67…
11-02 03:41:58	Will Freddy Fermin win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x8327c2…
11-02 03:18:01	Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x78f3a1…
11-02 03:18:00	Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x4152f7…
11-02 03:17:13	Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdab244…
11-02 03:11:13	Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0608f0…
11-02 03:03:42	Will Cody Bellinger win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xcd94a3…
11-02 02:55:21	Will Freddy Fermin win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc2aaf2…
11-02 02:52:10	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8a1ca3…
11-02 02:42:33	WTT Champions: Elias Bjoernsjoe Ranefur vs Anton Kaellberg	Elias Bjoernsjoe Ranefur	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x528b90…
11-02 02:38:51	Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5	Over	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf16906…
11-02 02:38:49	Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5	Over	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc386d…
11-02 02:27:03	Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a854e…
11-02 02:13:33	Will Wilyer Abreu win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x402d2a…
11-02 02:11:40	Will Cody Bellinger win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd577a…
11-02 01:55:40	Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xefc198…
11-02 01:36:03	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xff4a12…
11-02 01:33:57	Will Trump say "Brazil" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1010e0…
11-02 01:33:55	Will Trump say "Daylight Saving" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59a8a0…
11-02 01:15:31	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x40dcf2…
11-02 01:11:10	WTT Champions: Camille Lutz vs Yingsha Sun	Yingsha Sun	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4915cc…
11-02 01:10:45	WTT Champions: Yi Chen vs Yu-Han Peng	Yi Chen	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaeb0f7…
11-02 01:10:45	WTT Champions: Hina Hayata vs Hoi Kem Doo	Hina Hayata	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5ce266…
11-02 01:06:33	WTT Champions: Yu-Bin Shin vs I-Ching Cheng	Yu-Bin Shin	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4f1059…
11-02 00:42:43	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x977c50…
11-02 00:38:55	Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef6220…
11-02 00:20:34	Spread: Bnei Herzliya Basket (-2.5)	Ironi Kiryat ATA	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc3113d…
11-02 00:16:19	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa2e4e8…
11-01 23:49:55	Will James Cook have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb3bac1…
11-01 23:40:09	Will James Cook have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc52249…
11-01 23:33:16	Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8e708e…
11-01 23:27:27	1H Spread: Nets (-2.5)	Nets	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x842f67…
11-01 23:27:27	1H Spread: Nets (-2.5)	Nets	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3de63b…
11-01 23:26:36	1H Spread: Nets (-2.5)	Nets	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa7c8c1…
11-01 23:26:36	1H Spread: Nets (-2.5)	Nets	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3dfc1c…
11-01 23:07:03	Will James Cook have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd0f0ae…
11-01 22:41:00	Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb28593…