Darling-Demand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$526

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,115

lifetime

Volume

$390.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$884

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-09 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% $-182

Politics

28% 83% $-372

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$29

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	+400	$304	84¢	$334	+$30	06-08 10:48
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	+300	$284	94¢	$282	$-2	07-03 04:17
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	+200	$164	81¢	$162	$-2	07-02 03:47
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	+100	$93	99¢	$99	+$6	06-04 03:19
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	+10	$7	71¢	$7	+$0	07-02 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$27.5K	15,250	15,250	+0	open	—	02-28 18:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	30	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-01 01:56
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	28	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	03-16 02:33
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	58	$3.4K	1,464	1,961	-497	open	—	03-16 02:01
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	23	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 02:29
will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	26	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-15 23:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$3.1K	3,112	0	+3,112	open	—	04-19 04:31
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	24	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 02:22
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	26	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 01:11
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	43	$3.0K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	03-16 02:06
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-24 04:58
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	9	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	open	—	03-29 00:51
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	12	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-15 23:28
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-04 19:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-18 18:04
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	18	$2.6K	1,305	1,305	+0	open	—	04-01 06:36
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	11	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-15 11:15
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	16	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-19 23:26
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	40	$2.4K	918	1,462	-545	open	—	03-16 00:32
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	13	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	03-30 21:56
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	10	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-01 03:22
nba 2025 26 southeast division winner atlanta hawks	71	$2.0K	1,340	1,275	+66	open	—	04-05 03:52
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 00:26
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 18:07
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	13	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-12 21:48
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 13:26
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	03-18 18:06
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	19	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 02:24
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 00:27
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	8	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-01 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:39:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0x8cae6b…
07-09 15:39:29	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xe885d9…
07-09 15:38:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xeeba06…
07-09 14:16:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x9b122b…
07-09 14:14:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0xf5febc…
07-07 04:14:31	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,462	0xb35b08…
07-07 04:13:13	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	350	97¢	$338	0xa4dce2…
07-05 04:19:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x4cd922…
07-03 14:32:16	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0xcf205e…
07-03 04:17:26	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0xb7a3d3…
07-03 04:14:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0xa6e994…
07-03 03:16:25	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$280	0xf68e7e…
07-02 03:50:47	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfa58a9…
07-02 03:50:08	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	138	93¢	$128	0x808254…
07-02 03:49:46	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0x05042c…
07-02 03:49:05	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$179	0xac7ef7…
07-02 03:48:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	300	69¢	$206	0x6865f4…
07-02 03:48:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x349731…
07-02 03:48:11	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xefb83f…
07-02 03:47:20	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x1cad67…
07-01 19:50:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x069160…
07-01 18:53:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x73a7cf…
07-01 17:29:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x0226de…
06-28 03:45:25	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xd2ec3e…
06-26 21:10:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xfdde79…
06-26 08:34:31	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb5388…
06-26 04:04:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$91	0xe616c1…
06-26 04:02:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x1cea7d…
06-25 12:00:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe172f7…
06-25 12:00:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2b0109…
06-25 09:30:41	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xab727d…
06-25 08:40:11	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x3de20d…
06-25 05:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x55719d…
06-25 05:17:32	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3909b0…
06-25 05:17:16	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x932031…
06-25 05:16:31	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xef158e…
06-25 05:16:14	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xaf2a37…
06-25 04:02:52	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$246	0x8d45d4…
06-25 04:02:25	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xcbee97…
06-25 04:01:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0xa0116c…
06-25 04:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$239	0x965697…
06-24 13:20:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xadb062…
06-24 13:20:43	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xca503a…
06-24 13:20:23	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x20dc04…
06-24 13:19:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd3d2e6…
06-24 03:51:43	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x87b962…
06-22 04:17:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0x88ef4c…
06-22 04:17:01	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x156a56…
06-22 04:16:28	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x83b34d…
06-17 06:26:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$137	0x7c9bed…
06-17 06:26:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd90155…
06-16 06:11:16	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8d55b0…
06-16 04:35:19	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0x52e627…
06-16 04:34:52	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0x588482…
06-16 04:29:45	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x5cff2b…
06-16 04:29:18	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1201fd…
06-16 04:28:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x0e71d0…
06-16 04:26:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	300	40¢	$119	0xa3dfd8…
06-15 13:34:36	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	90	31¢	$28	0x377886…
06-15 04:49:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0xde8be2…
06-15 04:48:31	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x81d221…
06-15 04:48:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	300	92¢	$277	0xed17cb…
06-15 04:44:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xca236a…
06-15 04:42:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	97	64¢	$62	0xb4dfd9…
06-12 22:41:12	Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x4ce6ab…
06-12 04:19:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0x48c7d4…
06-12 04:19:30	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x0eeb3a…
06-12 04:18:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0xa44f25…
06-12 04:18:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xf369de…
06-12 04:18:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0x06b4ad…
06-12 04:17:27	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0xd36066…
06-12 04:17:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0xbf62b5…
06-12 04:16:48	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x00eee6…
06-12 04:15:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x1ae7cd…
06-12 04:14:24	Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x1ca1ce…
06-12 04:13:51	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$239	0xc3f22f…
06-12 04:06:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0xdae66e…
06-12 04:05:10	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xfeeb59…
06-11 04:34:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x32c718…
06-11 04:18:04	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xd04ea9…
06-11 04:17:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x7185c4…
06-11 04:17:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x184a78…
06-11 04:17:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x075f1c…
06-11 04:17:54	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x251beb…
06-11 04:16:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x6eb88c…
06-11 04:16:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x83180f…
06-11 04:14:34	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0x752324…
06-11 04:09:07	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x9c67d5…
06-11 04:08:40	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	160	69¢	$111	0x51e394…
06-09 07:28:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xd24b22…
06-09 07:27:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0x777463…
06-09 07:27:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xaaf371…
06-09 04:28:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0xc430c5…
06-08 12:18:43	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	180	39¢	$70	0xbabcbe…
06-08 11:20:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x50c133…
06-08 11:15:24	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xea6d47…
06-08 10:48:45	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0xedbf2d…
06-08 10:48:21	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0xa9f2e0…
06-08 10:47:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x0ce2a6…
06-08 10:46:34	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xf5fbd6…