Realized P&L
-$526
Unrealized P&L
+$210
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
3,066
lifetime
Volume
$380.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$8.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-17 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58% 80% $-182
Politics
28% 83% $-372
Crypto
7%
Sports
5% 100% +$29
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +2,000 $1,900 96¢ $1.9K +$30 06-02 04:01
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +600 $578 99¢ $596 +$18 06-01 10:45
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +500 $475 96¢ $480 +$5 06-01 09:32
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +400 $304 76¢ $306 +$2 06-08 10:48
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +300 $288 99¢ $297 +$9 06-02 04:03
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +250 $239 99¢ $249 +$9 06-12 04:13
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +250 $244 99¢ $247 +$3 06-12 04:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +250 $244 98¢ $246 +$2 06-12 04:19
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +250 $244 97¢ $242 $-2 06-12 04:17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +250 $225 97¢ $242 +$16 06-08 03:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +250 $225 97¢ $242 +$16 06-08 03:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? No +220 $216 99¢ $218 +$3 06-12 04:18
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +200 $176 99¢ $198 +$21 05-31 04:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +200 $181 99¢ $198 +$17 06-01 09:28
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +200 $193 99¢ $197 +$5 06-01 09:35
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +200 $194 98¢ $196 +$1 06-03 14:09
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +200 $188 98¢ $195 +$7 06-01 09:29
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +200 $186 96¢ $192 +$6 06-05 03:27
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $180 88¢ $177 $-3 06-08 03:54
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +177 $171 99¢ $175 +$5 06-03 14:08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? No +170 $167 99¢ $169 +$2 06-12 04:18
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +160 $154 95¢ $152 $-2 06-05 03:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +150 $145 100¢ $149 +$5 06-04 12:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +150 $144 99¢ $149 +$5 06-12 04:15
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +150 $145 99¢ $149 +$4 06-08 10:48
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +150 $141 99¢ $149 +$8 06-05 03:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +150 $142 97¢ $146 +$3 06-05 03:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +150 $134 97¢ $145 +$12 06-07 04:31
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +150 $144 97¢ $145 +$2 06-05 03:32
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No +150 $142 96¢ $144 +$1 06-05 03:28