Darling-Demand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$526

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,155

lifetime

Volume

$399.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 08-13 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% $-182

Politics

28% 83% $-372

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$29

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$27.5K	15,250	15,250	+0	open	—	02-28 18:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	30	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-01 01:56
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	28	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	03-16 02:33
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	58	$3.4K	1,464	1,961	-497	open	—	03-16 02:01
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	23	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 02:29
will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	26	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-15 23:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$3.1K	3,112	0	+3,112	open	—	04-19 04:31
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	24	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 02:22
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	26	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 01:11
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	43	$3.0K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	03-16 02:06
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-24 04:58
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	9	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	open	—	03-29 00:51
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	12	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-15 23:28
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-04 19:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-18 18:04
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	18	$2.6K	1,305	1,305	+0	open	—	04-01 06:36
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	11	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-15 11:15
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	16	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-19 23:26
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	40	$2.4K	918	1,462	-545	open	—	03-16 00:32
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	13	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	03-30 21:56
will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	10	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-01 03:22
nba 2025 26 southeast division winner atlanta hawks	71	$2.0K	1,340	1,275	+66	open	—	04-05 03:52
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 00:26
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 18:07
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	13	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-12 21:48
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	9	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 13:26
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	21	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	03-18 18:06
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	19	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 02:24
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 00:27
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	8	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-01 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 12:22:03	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$364	0x364ceb…
08-13 12:20:15	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x236fac…
08-13 12:19:52	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x51ca7e…
08-13 12:19:16	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0xd4f73a…
08-13 12:19:00	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	400	61¢	$243	0xa8a167…
08-13 12:13:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$789	0x5b0966…
08-12 14:23:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xdf81be…
08-12 14:22:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x9028ac…
08-12 14:22:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x528d7c…
08-12 14:21:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x155bfc…
08-12 14:21:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x271f00…
08-12 14:20:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x45a25e…
08-12 14:19:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x7ddf43…
08-12 14:19:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xf5177d…
08-12 14:18:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x6a3d03…
08-12 14:10:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x949eda…
08-12 14:09:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	600	98¢	$591	0x8828bb…
08-12 14:09:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x5ee965…
08-12 14:08:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x7e1810…
08-12 14:06:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	330	83¢	$274	0x078d48…
08-03 20:39:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xf8c9fa…
07-31 14:39:53	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x9a3a4e…
07-31 14:38:39	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,360	0x18f357…
07-31 14:36:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x60fc10…
07-23 20:05:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x1ad719…
07-21 10:42:21	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x6900fa…
07-19 12:05:34	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	227	98¢	$222	0xe00239…
07-19 12:05:21	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	350	97¢	$340	0x9cd446…
07-19 12:04:55	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x2efe13…
07-19 12:04:46	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x2f7a50…
07-19 12:03:06	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x0491d4…
07-19 06:10:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	15	92¢	$13	0xec6b49…
07-19 06:10:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	485	92¢	$449	0x1e547e…
07-18 19:37:51	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xda2a2e…
07-18 19:28:19	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc9df1e…
07-18 19:25:52	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb752f3…
07-16 15:15:22	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0xaa1908…
07-14 13:15:47	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	350	85¢	$298	0x72a8df…
07-12 17:08:43	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	300	91¢	$272	0x377e7b…
07-11 06:43:43	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2bb7e3…
07-09 15:39:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0x8cae6b…
07-09 15:39:29	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xe885d9…
07-09 15:38:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xeeba06…
07-09 14:16:05	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x9b122b…
07-09 14:14:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0xf5febc…
07-07 04:14:31	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,462	0xb35b08…
07-07 04:13:13	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	350	97¢	$338	0xa4dce2…
07-05 04:19:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x4cd922…
07-03 14:32:16	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0xcf205e…
07-03 04:17:26	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0xb7a3d3…
07-03 04:14:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0xa6e994…
07-03 03:16:25	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$280	0xf68e7e…
07-02 03:50:47	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfa58a9…
07-02 03:50:08	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	138	93¢	$128	0x808254…
07-02 03:49:46	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0x05042c…
07-02 03:49:05	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$179	0xac7ef7…
07-02 03:48:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	300	69¢	$206	0x6865f4…
07-02 03:48:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x349731…
07-02 03:48:11	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xefb83f…
07-02 03:47:20	Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x1cad67…
07-01 19:50:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x069160…
07-01 18:53:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x73a7cf…
07-01 17:29:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x0226de…
06-28 03:45:25	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xd2ec3e…
06-26 21:10:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xfdde79…
06-26 08:34:31	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb5388…
06-26 04:04:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$91	0xe616c1…
06-26 04:02:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x1cea7d…
06-25 12:00:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe172f7…
06-25 12:00:29	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2b0109…
06-25 09:30:41	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xab727d…
06-25 08:40:11	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x3de20d…
06-25 05:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x55719d…
06-25 05:17:32	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3909b0…
06-25 05:17:16	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x932031…
06-25 05:16:31	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xef158e…
06-25 05:16:14	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xaf2a37…
06-25 04:02:52	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$246	0x8d45d4…
06-25 04:02:25	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xcbee97…
06-25 04:01:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0xa0116c…
06-25 04:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$239	0x965697…
06-24 13:20:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xadb062…
06-24 13:20:43	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xca503a…
06-24 13:20:23	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x20dc04…
06-24 13:19:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd3d2e6…
06-24 03:51:43	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x87b962…
06-22 04:17:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0x88ef4c…
06-22 04:17:01	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x156a56…
06-22 04:16:28	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x83b34d…
06-17 06:26:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$137	0x7c9bed…
06-17 06:26:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd90155…
06-16 06:11:16	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8d55b0…
06-16 04:35:19	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0x52e627…
06-16 04:34:52	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0x588482…
06-16 04:29:45	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x5cff2b…
06-16 04:29:18	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1201fd…
06-16 04:28:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x0e71d0…
06-16 04:26:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	300	40¢	$119	0xa3dfd8…
06-15 13:34:36	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	90	31¢	$28	0x377886…
06-15 04:49:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0xde8be2…