Realized P&L
+$9.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.95K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
742
Trades
11,116
lifetime
Volume
$579.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$17.1K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-27 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
36% 84% +$1,607
Politics
34% 77% -$1,819
Crypto
29% 52% +$9,438
Tech
1% 91% +$170
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +4,100 $2,947 98¢ $4.0K +$1,071 10-26 06:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,642 $2,160 95¢ $2.5K +$357 10-20 13:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,200 -$2,099 96¢ $-2109 -$10 10-15 07:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,200 -$1,155 97¢ $-1169 -$14 10-14 20:21
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +1,100 $990 98¢ $1.1K +$94 10-17 01:41
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +967 $908 98¢ $948 +$40 08-01 02:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No -900 -$858 95¢ $-859 -$1 09-21 11:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -638 -$620 94¢ $-603 +$17 10-15 08:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $570 60¢ $600 +$30 10-21 06:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -500 -$619 98¢ $-490 +$129 10-15 20:39
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -500 -$494 97¢ $-486 +$8 10-27 16:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -506 -$466 96¢ $-485 -$19 08-28 05:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +364 $257 91¢ $331 +$74 09-14 18:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +200 $169 97¢ $194 +$25 10-08 16:21
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -200 -$196 97¢ $-194 +$2 07-23 04:08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +204 $196 92¢ $189 -$7 09-26 18:54
trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by december 31 No +200 $193 94¢ $188 -$5 08-23 04:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +125 $114 100¢ $125 +$11 09-18 03:02
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 98¢ $-98 -$2 07-23 19:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -100 -$214 97¢ $-97 +$117 10-16 06:52
New pandemic in 2026? No -100 -$145 96¢ $-96 +$48 10-14 20:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +100 $94 94¢ $94 +$0 08-10 02:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +67 $60 80¢ $54 -$7 10-03 02:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$43 38¢ $-38 +$5 10-15 12:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$16 18¢ $-18 -$3 09-26 18:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -17 -$32 89¢ $-15 +$17 10-15 02:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +0 -$8 99¢ $0 +$8 10-16 11:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +0 $33 15¢ $0 -$33 09-18 03:26