Realized P&L
+$2.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$333
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
60
Trades
9,981
lifetime
Volume
$339.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-29 19:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 65% +$2,440
Politics
34%
Other
19% 67% $-54
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 752 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,109 $2,875 94¢ $2.9K +$47 06-17 18:25
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -1,300 $-1,292 100¢ $-1299 $-6 06-17 22:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -1,162 $-1,154 100¢ $-1161 $-7 06-15 18:58
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +1,125 $1,059 95¢ $1.1K +$13 05-30 20:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +430 $400 94¢ $402 +$2 06-17 18:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +400 $188 100¢ $399 +$211 06-17 14:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +305 $300 100¢ $305 +$5 06-17 14:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-199 100¢ $-200 $-1 06-15 17:33
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +200 $198 99¢ $198 +$1 06-17 15:01
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +116 $114 100¢ $116 +$2 06-17 15:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +111 $100 100¢ $111 +$11 06-04 18:59
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +108 $103 100¢ $107 +$4 06-17 17:03
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +106 $100 100¢ $106 +$6 06-17 14:37
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +106 $100 100¢ $105 +$5 06-17 14:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +105 $100 100¢ $105 +$5 06-04 18:59
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? No +106 $100 99¢ $105 +$5 06-17 14:55
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +104 $100 99¢ $104 +$4 06-17 14:40
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +114 $100 91¢ $103 +$3 06-04 18:56
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +106 $100 97¢ $103 +$3 06-17 14:42
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? No +103 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:57
Megaquake by June 30? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:56
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +103 $100 99¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +106 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 06-04 18:57
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30? No +103 $100 99¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +102 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:37
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No +102 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:42
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +102 $100 99¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:37
Trump out as President before 2027? No +111 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 06-04 18:57
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No +102 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 06-17 14:57
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No +108 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 06-04 18:56