Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
345
Trades
2,094
lifetime
Volume
$30.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$144
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-01 12:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 97% +$19
Other
1%
Politics
1% 0% $-0
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? Yes -100 $-82 89¢ $-89 $-7 06-27 09:54
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 +$0 06-27 09:50
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -10 $-9 91¢ $-9 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -16 $-1 34¢ $-6 $-5 06-27 09:50
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -18 $-4 22¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 09:54
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 20¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes -19 $-3 18¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 19¢ $-3 $-1 06-27 09:50
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -19 $-4 18¢ $-3 +$1 06-27 09:50
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -40 $-2 $-3 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -15 $-3 17¢ $-3 +$0 06-27 09:50
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 15¢ $-2 $-1 06-27 09:50
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-27 09:50
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-27 09:50
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes -1 $-0 21¢ $-0 $-0 06-27 09:50
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30? Yes -16 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-27 09:54
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 30¢ $-0 +$0 06-27 09:51
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? Yes -1 $-0 17¢ $-0 $-0 06-27 09:51