Sudden-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

525

Trades

45,432

lifetime

Volume

$17.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$387

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

68% 99% $-17,428

Crypto

16% 100% +$158

Politics

12% 100% +$20

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 500 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	108	$205.8K	100,172	109,557	-9,386	open	—	03-31 00:34
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	29	$141.0K	70,882	70,960	-78	open	—	01-03 19:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	52	$114.7K	64,490	50,500	+13,990	open	—	02-03 00:45
us strikes iran by feb 28 odds 30 by friday	17	$99.6K	99,761	0	+99,761	open	—	02-04 20:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	383	$99.3K	64,171	35,654	+28,518	open	—	03-03 19:17
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	227	$80.5K	39,238	41,419	-2,181	open	—	02-01 00:37
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	41	$80.3K	50,300	30,300	+20,000	open	—	03-17 10:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	55	$79.8K	80,235	0	+80,235	open	—	02-15 05:02
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	19	$74.7K	70,000	5,000	+65,000	open	—	07-23 14:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$69.9K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	06-17 16:42
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	56	$69.1K	53,230	16,017	+37,213	open	—	04-25 22:11
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	38	$68.1K	68,464	0	+68,464	open	—	02-03 20:03
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$62.9K	63,000	0	+63,000	open	—	03-04 18:21
Will the US strike Syria next?	14	$60.9K	61,025	0	+61,025	open	—	02-04 23:59
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	71	$60.3K	60,555	0	+60,555	open	—	02-11 08:55
bitcoin above 92k on january 6	67	$56.5K	56,585	0	+56,585	open	—	01-06 18:27
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	16	$53.9K	52,003	2,003	+50,000	open	—	04-08 11:45
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	27	$53.8K	53,846	0	+53,846	open	—	03-02 15:09
will russia strike kyiv on february 5 2026	70	$52.7K	52,834	0	+52,834	open	—	02-07 22:10
will russia capture all of kupiansk by january 31	128	$51.4K	36,179	15,631	+20,548	open	—	01-31 20:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$51.4K	52,000	2,000	+50,000	open	—	04-08 12:39
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	7	$49.9K	45,630	4,443	+41,187	open	—	01-04 02:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	04-09 10:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	06-03 17:25
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	135	$48.3K	47,433	1,000	+46,433	open	—	02-15 15:11
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	61	$48.3K	30,000	18,500	+11,500	open	—	08-04 12:49
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	43	$48.2K	23,716	24,602	-886	open	—	01-03 14:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	95	$47.5K	22,924	25,492	-2,568	open	—	05-31 17:59
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	66	$46.7K	23,041	23,887	-846	open	—	01-30 09:01
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	34	$45.0K	37,358	7,902	+29,456	open	—	03-10 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:42:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xf99611…
08-09 19:54:52	btc updown 5m 1786305000	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x2bcf09…
08-09 19:54:15	btc updown 5m 1786305000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe87d87…
08-09 19:54:15	btc updown 5m 1786305000	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x27d705…
08-09 19:54:15	btc updown 5m 1786305000	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x232d6f…
08-09 19:50:54	btc updown 5m 1786305000	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcedeb9…
08-09 19:47:57	btc updown 5m 1786304700	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3fc541…
08-09 18:35:55	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260723184439896	Yes	BUY	1,310	100¢	$1,309	0xdf5568…
08-09 17:56:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x2fa72c…
08-09 17:39:16	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260723184439894	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x72c10c…
08-09 16:07:39	btc updown 5m 1786291500	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x41466b…
08-09 16:07:31	btc updown 5m 1786291500	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9fc8d4…
08-08 19:34:21	btc updown 5m 1786217400	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xb2c546…
08-08 17:27:13	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x07ae92…
08-08 17:26:54	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7de146…
08-08 17:25:24	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1f5e11…
08-08 17:23:39	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x27798f…
08-08 17:00:10	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x8b7eb7…
08-08 16:35:43	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7e7401…
08-08 16:35:12	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa460cb…
08-08 16:35:12	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9e82c5…
08-08 16:35:00	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xad45fa…
08-08 16:34:57	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x6be960…
08-08 16:34:40	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x63f1a0…
08-08 16:33:39	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee9ce3…
08-08 16:33:39	will kai or speed be eliminated by an explosion 20260807142948636	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0a3805…
08-08 14:51:58	will kai or speed be eliminated by a projectile 20260807142948633	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x5c2454…
08-08 10:09:19	btc updown 5m 1786183500	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xacfb72…
08-08 08:30:27	chatgpt outage on august 7 2026 20260806133118511	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8bd24c…
08-07 21:29:13	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x67bf7a…
08-07 21:04:04	ng up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb34151…
08-07 21:00:10	will ng dip to 2 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbcb7ce…
08-07 21:00:10	will ng dip to 2 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x884bb3…
08-07 21:00:10	will ng dip to 2 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3436d8…
08-07 21:00:09	will ng dip to 2 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfae83f…
08-07 20:30:33	will hood reach 97 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x795816…
08-07 20:29:58	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb04a6…
08-07 20:23:33	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbf3358…
08-07 20:14:51	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47611e…
08-07 20:05:36	will msft reach 510 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x24837d…
08-07 19:59:42	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0x0bab60…
08-07 16:43:39	will russia enter matiasheve by october 31 20260724170338274	Yes	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x73324e…
08-07 16:38:33	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x31cc87…
08-07 16:06:42	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5d2443…
08-07 15:39:27	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x87df48…
08-07 15:12:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 15 20260710184334566	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xa86004…
08-07 13:51:43	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	804	100¢	$803	0x390813…
08-07 13:51:34	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc57a3f…
08-07 13:51:27	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xae3020…
08-07 11:32:10	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x80b533…
08-07 11:24:52	btc updown 4h 1786089600	Up	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xc7cb34…
08-07 11:08:48	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x40839c…
08-07 10:54:37	btc updown 4h 1786089600	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x4c0752…
08-07 10:22:07	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0c1cdb…
08-07 10:16:24	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x42f027…
08-07 09:54:55	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x3f52be…
08-07 09:54:51	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xe0cba6…
08-07 09:11:28	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x070438…
08-07 09:09:06	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe99474…
08-07 08:42:06	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0653e…
08-07 08:34:49	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	382	99¢	$378	0xb0cb81…
08-07 07:58:33	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 6 20260730202035442	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x093ac1…
08-07 07:47:48	will russia enter matiasheve by october 31 20260724170338274	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x29ba20…
08-07 07:47:36	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3a93c7…
08-07 07:47:27	will russia enter matiasheve by october 31 20260724170338274	Yes	BUY	1,477	100¢	$1,476	0xc2e221…
08-07 07:47:21	will russia enter matiasheve by october 31 20260724170338274	Yes	BUY	2,384	100¢	$2,379	0x6fadc8…
08-07 07:47:18	will russia enter matiasheve by august 31 20260724170338273	Yes	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0xc67a32…
08-07 07:43:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,300	100¢	$2,298	0xe5abc5…
08-07 07:14:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0x9cb1f8…
08-07 00:03:56	dogecoin up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x586051…
08-06 22:09:32	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x285da3…
08-06 21:36:21	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf61a3b…
08-06 21:03:57	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6a54b2…
08-06 21:00:48	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xefedb7…
08-06 20:57:36	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8dd01…
08-06 20:24:11	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xf6039e…
08-06 20:24:02	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x0978e6…
08-06 20:10:23	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x381253…
08-06 20:08:54	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x5b16f1…
08-06 20:05:03	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ec359…
08-06 20:00:05	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7dcda5…
08-06 20:00:05	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x4c2015…
08-06 19:53:59	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x2ba4c7…
08-06 19:53:35	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x0719ee…
08-06 19:49:45	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x040de5…
08-06 19:46:09	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x51018f…
08-06 19:27:05	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0xf96dfa…
08-06 19:21:14	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8210ad…
08-06 19:18:14	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc0bb73…
08-06 19:09:42	googl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	301	99¢	$298	0xeea8f0…
08-06 18:22:42	spx opens up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	760	100¢	$759	0x132b92…
08-06 16:24:27	spx opens up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xf639e9…
08-06 16:06:03	spx opens up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0xfcc15b…
08-05 22:44:56	wti up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x492e52…
08-05 21:33:54	sndk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 34pt52	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xc67464…
08-05 20:58:21	ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x16a2b1…
08-05 20:15:06	msft close above 480 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3af23…
08-05 20:13:59	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6c0ea5…
08-05 20:06:39	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb8c403…
08-05 20:04:03	spy closes above 770 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x26cbed…