Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$206
Trades
20
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$6,939
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-10 12:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $10 | $91 | $81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| unranked | 6 | $10 | $90 | $80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 20:33 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 20:33 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 12:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 12:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x448faa… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x448faa… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd882d2… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xd882d2… |