Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$352
Trades
35
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$6,939
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-02 10:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $73 | $73 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $24 | $94 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $51 | $51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | $5 | +$7 |
| unranked | 8 | $14 | $93 | $79 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 11:46 |
| Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | +27 | $24 | $76 | 3 | 07-02 10:16 |
| Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-01 23:58 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 20:33 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb953…de61 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 10:16 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 12:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 12:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 10:16:11 | (anonymous) 0xb953…de61 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xbe1477… |
| 07-02 10:16:11 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xbe1477… |
| 07-01 23:58:55 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x9466f5… |
| 07-01 23:58:55 | Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x9466f5… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 97 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-15 01:52:04 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7c0ebf… |
| 06-15 01:52:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7c0ebf… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x448faa… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x448faa… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd882d2… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xd882d2… |