Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$716
Trades
55
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$6,939
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-22 17:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+88.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $20
vs crowd: 12% YES on $543)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $32 | $184 | $152 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $164 | $164 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $33 | $125 | $92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $91 | $91 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Median | 2 | $10 | $11 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $67 | $67 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $12 | $189 | $177 |
| unranked | 9 | $14 | $98 | $84 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +249 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-22 17:40 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-11 12:14 |
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 11:46 |
| Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-06 12:12 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 07-05 22:38 |
| Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-01 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xddc5…412a | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-03 14:20 |
| Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-06 12:12 |
| Hurtful-Clarification 0x715e…3e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 18:45 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb953…de61 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 10:16 |
| Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-22 17:40 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 12:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 12:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 17:40:49 | Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2bb2be… |
| 07-22 17:40:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2bb2be… |
| 07-15 14:46:35 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x53bf3b… |
| 07-15 14:46:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x53bf3b… |
| 07-12 09:30:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4da2ff… |
| 07-12 09:30:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4da2ff… |
| 07-11 12:14:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x8b3878… |
| 07-11 12:14:59 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x8b3878… |
| 07-06 12:12:56 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc25017… |
| 07-06 12:12:56 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc25017… |
| 07-06 12:12:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc25017… |
| 07-05 22:38:01 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x384f1a… |
| 07-05 22:38:01 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x384f1a… |
| 07-05 22:38:01 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x384f1a… |
| 07-04 19:01:50 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3cb084… |
| 07-04 19:01:50 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3cb084… |
| 07-03 14:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xddc5…412a | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x81f041… |
| 07-03 14:20:43 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x81f041… |
| 07-02 18:45:16 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc97734… |
| 07-02 18:45:16 | Hurtful-Clarification 0x715e…3e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc97734… |
| 07-02 10:16:11 | (anonymous) 0xb953…de61 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xbe1477… |
| 07-02 10:16:11 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xbe1477… |
| 07-01 23:58:55 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x9466f5… |
| 07-01 23:58:55 | Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x9466f5… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-26 11:46:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 97 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xd592aa… |
| 06-15 01:52:04 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7c0ebf… |
| 06-15 01:52:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7c0ebf… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:37:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x08bd6a… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-14 19:36:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x79936b… |
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:45:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7756d3… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x448faa… |
| 06-10 12:16:07 | Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x448faa… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-30 20:33:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4c0c18… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:05:07 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf96250… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x093e81… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe2bc31… |
| 05-29 16:02:24 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf512b8… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:25 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7df246… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd882d2… |
| 05-29 16:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xd882d2… |