Terrible-Pantry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,272

lifetime

Volume

$100.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-16 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

43% 67% +$1,120

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$7.3K	4,045	4,045	+0	open	—	04-21 19:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$3.5K	2,305	2,305	+0	open	—	03-15 07:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$3.4K	2,327	1,327	+1,000	open	—	04-13 07:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$2.9K	1,703	1,703	+0	open	—	03-11 20:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	11	$2.8K	3,447	2,847	+600	Yes	+$984	05-09 11:10
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	8	$2.4K	1,328	1,328	+0	open	—	07-26 09:02
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	6	$2.2K	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	03-27 17:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$2.1K	2,385	0	+2,385	open	—	04-01 12:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$1.9K	1,394	894	+500	open	—	04-30 05:04
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	28	$1.9K	1,779	1,425	+354	open	—	06-19 23:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	1,814	1,814	+0	open	—	05-22 06:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	11	$1.7K	1,307	607	+700	open	—	04-30 20:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-20 05:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$1.6K	1,406	1,235	+171	open	—	06-17 00:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$1.6K	829	829	+0	open	—	05-14 13:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	10	$1.4K	2,092	2,053	+39	open	—	05-12 15:02
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 07 09 game1	6	$1.3K	1,577	0	+1,577	open	—	07-09 08:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	16	$1.3K	1,382	982	+400	open	—	05-09 11:19
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	7	$1.3K	1,338	0	+1,338	open	—	01-20 08:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$1.3K	850	850	+0	open	—	05-02 04:54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	7	$1.3K	1,571	1,215	+356	open	—	03-05 08:34
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$1.2K	1,156	48	+1,108	open	—	01-17 09:46
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$1.1K	1,248	248	+1,000	open	—	03-27 17:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-19 05:49
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	open	—	01-16 09:13
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$1.0K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-15 19:46
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	4	$1.0K	1,372	0	+1,372	open	—	06-21 16:41
cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	2	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	08-13 18:09
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$999	0	1,006	-1,006	open	—	01-15 19:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	11	$996	1,313	600	+713	open	—	02-11 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 17:54:39	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	28¢	$23	0xc9c5c3…
08-16 09:55:43	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	28¢	$19	0x1f1256…
08-16 09:19:40	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe915dd…
08-16 09:17:46	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xd69991…
08-16 09:17:21	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	23¢	$19	0x4909de…
08-16 09:17:15	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x62cab6…
08-16 09:17:13	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0xb57fc2…
08-16 09:17:13	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x57a0a0…
08-13 18:09:01	cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	Team Falcons	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xfac2b1…
08-13 18:07:51	cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x42bf73…
08-13 17:22:24	cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xa2596a…
08-13 17:22:04	cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	Team Falcons	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xb97da6…
08-08 20:37:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x34657d…
08-01 21:06:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0xb6312e…
08-01 21:06:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa75261…
08-01 21:06:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2027f3…
08-01 21:05:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x08bb8c…
08-01 21:04:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x29c63d…
08-01 21:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xcb581a…
08-01 21:03:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb80fd4…
08-01 21:03:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xae8688…
08-01 21:03:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3dcee3…
08-01 21:00:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xdd5aa3…
08-01 21:00:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1460f6…
08-01 21:00:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1b769e…
07-28 06:48:43	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	34¢	$34	0xfa9f95…
07-28 00:50:37	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x6c6677…
07-27 19:57:03	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x181e45…
07-27 15:51:42	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0xc5f5d9…
07-27 15:51:37	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	34¢	$48	0x14f974…
07-27 15:51:24	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$5	0x667f03…
07-27 15:51:24	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$5	0x4529de…
07-27 15:51:00	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xbd1db6…
07-27 15:51:00	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	34¢	$13	0x7d37b8…
07-27 15:51:00	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x4608ee…
07-26 09:02:18	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	1,299	99¢	$1,292	0x189fb8…
07-26 08:44:55	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x152ec1…
07-26 06:58:49	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xab6228…
07-26 06:24:31	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5b781…
07-26 05:09:06	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc527a7…
07-25 23:51:13	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe65125…
07-25 20:59:00	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x55dc71…
07-25 20:57:03	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x95ec49…
07-25 20:55:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	500	87¢	$436	0x97b9e9…
07-25 16:30:13	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe7a9dc…
07-24 22:49:58	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	183	84¢	$154	0x3d027b…
07-23 20:51:22	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x98d6c8…
07-23 20:48:03	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	84¢	$136	0x62dfb6…
07-23 20:45:55	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	794	31¢	$246	0xdeeb4a…
07-23 20:45:30	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xc29cb1…
07-23 20:45:28	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	785	30¢	$236	0x132605…
07-23 20:44:27	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x159d1b…
07-23 19:27:40	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xfc0efd…
07-23 19:27:40	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	160	59¢	$94	0x295f7f…
07-16 13:27:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xae2345…
07-14 13:09:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xd702ef…
07-14 12:39:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6333dc…
07-14 12:34:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6da8a3…
07-14 12:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c2cd8…
07-14 12:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb6b932…
07-14 12:11:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa820c0…
07-14 12:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$49	0x87d66f…
07-14 12:07:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x17d273…
07-14 12:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x176545…
07-14 11:48:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xdddfdc…
07-14 11:47:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2622e1…
07-14 10:00:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xba10cb…
07-14 09:58:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc8eae2…
07-14 09:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8fac35…
07-14 09:41:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x81e47d…
07-14 09:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc8f5d3…
07-14 09:33:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1eec87…
07-14 09:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x406eef…
07-14 09:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d66fd…
07-14 09:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x75f553…
07-14 09:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa9a479…
07-14 09:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x05ee4d…
07-14 08:58:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaa1981…
07-14 08:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xe854d5…
07-14 08:48:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5729ac…
07-14 08:45:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xcf2e5c…
07-14 08:42:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x3fc7d1…
07-12 11:40:23	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xfc5e18…
07-12 10:37:37	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 game3 round handicap 9z 3pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x2bf839…
07-12 10:34:37	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12	9z	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x3a204e…
07-12 10:26:08	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12	9z	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xc1e9ad…
07-12 10:24:41	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12	9z	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x69cd9d…
07-12 10:09:13	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xdc37c6…
07-12 10:07:08	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x548500…
07-12 09:47:37	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12	9z	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x74bc3b…
07-12 09:17:26	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12	9z	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x885ead…
07-12 08:20:32	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x081922…
07-12 08:19:44	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 map handicap away 2pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x282e46…
07-12 08:17:59	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc5a5fb…
07-12 08:17:22	cs2 9z prv 2026 07 12 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x882f1e…
07-11 17:16:44	cs2 prv faze 2026 07 11	FaZe	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x756372…
07-11 17:11:59	cs2 prv faze 2026 07 11	FaZe	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x07a794…
07-11 17:00:32	cs2 prv faze 2026 07 11	FaZe	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0xa79d0a…
07-11 16:16:26	cs2 prv faze 2026 07 11 game3 round handicap prv 3pt5	FaZe	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x649ce4…
07-11 16:15:14	cs2 prv faze 2026 07 11 game3 round handicap prv 3pt5	FaZe	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0x9735b8…