Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
136
lifetime
Volume
$223
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$15
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-09 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
42% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 07-09 11:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 06-23 14:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 07-03 12:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-27 08:36
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-23 14:58
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-09 11:53