Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
112
Trades
418
lifetime
Volume
$488
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 10-24 20:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
71% 39% -$10
Politics
14% 44% +$4
Sports
6% 33% -$3
Tech
4% 0% -$3
Crypto
4% 67% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $1 13¢ $3 +$1 09-08 07:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 09-04 11:21
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +35 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 08-06 10:08
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +30 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 10-05 15:18
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $2 $0 07-14 09:26
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 Yes +35 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-29 09:01
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +10 $3 14¢ $1 -$1 07-29 18:42
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-02 15:32
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 07-15 12:09
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 07-30 09:46
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 09-09 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7 $3 12¢ $1 -$3 07-19 05:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 07-23 02:29
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +5 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 07-21 05:39
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-07 02:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +5 $0 12¢ $1 +$1 09-03 14:57
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-03 13:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 09-03 19:40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$1 09-17 21:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 06-26 04:20
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 07-26 09:48
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-08 16:32
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +65 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-31 17:08