Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
48
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$272
Open exposure
$1.64K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-09 21:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
10%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No +423 $420 100¢ $421 +$1 06-08 16:49
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +363 $350 95¢ $343 $-7 06-08 10:56
Human moon landing in 2026? No +206 $200 97¢ $200 $-0 06-09 12:32
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +215 $200 92¢ $197 $-3 06-09 12:38
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? No +167 $165 100¢ $166 +$1 06-04 18:14
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? No +71 $70 98¢ $70 $-0 06-07 09:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +61 $60 98¢ $60 +$0 06-09 16:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +41 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 06-07 17:29
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $-0 06-03 19:15
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 +$0 06-03 16:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +32 $30 93¢ $30 $-0 06-03 16:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 06-03 17:10
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +19 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 06-08 12:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-03 16:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No +19 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 14:10