Dismal-Moustache 0xa99cd8…6608b4
hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
88.4%
Resolved
318
Trades
1,855
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-27 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
50% 78% +$76
Politics
49% 52% +$1,119
Tech
1% 50% -$5
Sports
0% 67% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +227 $216 99¢ $224 +$8 10-21 22:33
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +215 $200 96¢ $207 +$7 06-09 12:38
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +226 $44 87¢ $197 +$153 10-25 12:52
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +110 $103 94¢ $104 +$1 09-20 08:13
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 07-19 13:06
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +78 $70 94¢ $73 +$3 08-24 15:34
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +100 $54 68¢ $68 +$14 06-08 13:25
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +62 $60 98¢ $60 +$1 09-01 11:18
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +60 $49 90¢ $54 +$4 09-30 09:14
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +55 $50 97¢ $53 +$3 07-23 16:26
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +60 $20 86¢ $52 +$31 10-25 07:04
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 08-24 15:33
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +240 $171 14¢ $32 -$138 10-26 00:38
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +33 $31 92¢ $30 $0 10-17 18:38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 +$0 10-12 11:08
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +33 $25 82¢ $27 +$2 10-17 19:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +27 $25 96¢ $26 +$1 08-18 09:36
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +27 $26 95¢ $26 +$0 10-17 18:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +25 $23 92¢ $23 $0 10-23 11:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +30 $28 72¢ $21 -$7 09-12 15:04
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +25 $22 85¢ $21 $0 10-01 10:12
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 09-11 06:00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +25 $19 74¢ $19 $0 10-15 23:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 09-03 21:00
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 No +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$2 10-13 03:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $11 72¢ $11 +$0 10-07 13:48
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $9 84¢ $8 $0 10-17 19:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$0 10-21 11:35
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +50 $10 13¢ $6 -$4 10-13 12:13
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:22