Dismal-Moustache 0xa99cd8…6608b4 Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$41
Unrealized P&L
+$345
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved (7d)
139
Trades (7d)
440
2,881 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.84K
$69.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-09 10:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
53% 54% +$1,243
Other
46% 78% +$169
Tech
0% 50% -$5
Sports
0% 67% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 50% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +200 $200 100¢ $199 -$1 11-09 07:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +200 $184 98¢ $195 +$11 11-05 14:14
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $49 97¢ $194 +$145 11-02 13:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in November? Yes +170 $165 90¢ $152 -$12 11-09 07:02
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? No +152 $113 90¢ $136 +$23 11-02 09:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more? Yes +136 $91 97¢ $132 +$41 11-07 14:41
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election? Yes +151 $121 87¢ $131 +$10 11-01 10:52
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +124 $88 98¢ $122 +$34 11-03 08:52
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? Yes +160 $128 76¢ $121 -$7 11-01 12:19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more? Yes +119 $118 97¢ $115 -$2 11-05 14:58
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +110 $106 98¢ $108 +$2 11-08 08:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +131 $103 76¢ $100 -$3 11-07 20:42
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 97¢ $97 +$2 10-29 22:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 10-29 22:59
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +292 $84 30¢ $89 +$5 11-09 06:44
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +120 $85 74¢ $88 +$3 11-06 13:43
Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +126 $57 68¢ $85 +$28 11-01 13:36
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 1%? No +81 $80 99¢ $80 $0 11-06 21:54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? No — +80 $75 99¢ $79 +$4 10-31 00:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 5% or more? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 10-26 15:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +70 $68 98¢ $69 +$2 11-08 08:30
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +292 $65 22¢ $64 -$1 11-09 06:44
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +292 $63 21¢ $63 $0 11-09 06:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 0%-5%? No +59 $53 99¢ $58 +$5 11-04 06:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +60 $14 96¢ $58 +$43 11-03 21:36
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more? No +51 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 11-04 09:19
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $0 11-04 14:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more? Yes +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$0 11-04 14:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $42 98¢ $49 +$7 11-04 05:50
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $50 98¢ $49 $0 11-07 00:31