Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec1b…7ef4e2
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
+$290
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,803
lifetime
Volume
$2.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$483
Open exposure
$56.9K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
68% 67% +$10
Other
28% 83% +$72
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +21,304 $20,018 95¢ $20.2K +$210 07-20 20:04
New pandemic in 2026? No +14,000 $13,060 94¢ $13.1K +$30 07-16 03:43
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +9,000 $8,441 94¢ $8.5K +$19 07-14 03:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,035 $4,122 83¢ $4.2K +$57 07-20 19:45
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -4,000 $-3,738 95¢ $-3800 $-62 06-05 18:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2,298 $-2,182 96¢ $-2212 $-30 07-02 07:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,816 $1,725 96¢ $1.7K +$15 07-09 21:40
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +987 $917 96¢ $943 +$27 07-12 21:05
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +693 $641 97¢ $669 +$28 07-15 19:01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +500 $465 93¢ $464 $-1 07-18 14:53
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +350 $318 91¢ $318 +$0 07-19 10:56
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? No -196 $-177 92¢ $-179 $-2 06-04 18:48
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +135 $129 96¢ $130 +$1 07-01 10:18
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +150 $120 80¢ $120 +$0 07-18 09:46
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? No -125 $-112 94¢ $-118 $-6 07-12 19:11
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +120 $108 92¢ $110 +$2 07-16 12:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +80 $72 90¢ $72 +$0 07-17 17:31
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 07-12 21:22