Realized P&L
+$2.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$838
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
392
Trades
1,001
lifetime
Volume
$126.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$19.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Politics
59% 83% +$1,492
Other
40% 92% +$1,445
Tech
1% 88% -$51
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,547 $2,125 66¢ $2.3K +$198 08-20 23:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,637 $1,397 94¢ $1.5K +$150 07-20 20:01
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,187 $1,085 98¢ $1.2K +$80 10-27 03:21
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1,123 $1,026 97¢ $1.1K +$65 10-03 16:58
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +977 $850 92¢ $904 +$54 10-26 17:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +865 $795 97¢ $836 +$41 06-24 19:24
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +861 $775 97¢ $835 +$60 06-03 16:40
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +813 $800 99¢ $803 +$3 10-02 19:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +789 $699 94¢ $739 +$40 11-01 06:09
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +686 $660 98¢ $674 +$14 09-21 01:01
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +605 $375 90¢ $545 +$170 06-14 03:10
New pandemic in 2026? No +543 $500 97¢ $527 +$27 08-19 18:07
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +516 $452 97¢ $501 +$49 07-16 18:05
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +510 $500 98¢ $500 $0 10-25 23:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +485 $450 98¢ $474 +$24 05-22 00:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -518 -$383 92¢ $-474 -$91 09-26 17:43
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +654 $431 70¢ $461 +$31 10-23 17:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +678 $524 66¢ $444 -$80 11-01 06:47
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +445 $405 96¢ $429 +$24 09-17 05:19
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +447 $400 96¢ $427 +$27 08-06 02:58
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +408 $400 98¢ $399 -$1 10-09 22:11
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +428 $375 92¢ $396 +$21 10-15 03:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +392 $370 98¢ $384 +$14 09-21 01:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $368 95¢ $381 +$13 08-14 03:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +384 $366 98¢ $378 +$12 09-18 18:27
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +700 $470 52¢ $361 -$110 11-01 02:19
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +465 $373 76¢ $356 -$17 11-01 03:05
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +358 $340 98¢ $351 +$11 08-21 19:50
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +422 $374 83¢ $350 -$24 10-06 05:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +350 $312 98¢ $344 +$32 07-03 15:09