Realized P&L
+$188
Unrealized P&L
+$236
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
547
lifetime
Volume
$61.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$6.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 20:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
51% 100% +$51
Politics
49% 80% +$137
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +879 $801 95¢ $838 +$37 06-26 04:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +425 $395 94¢ $397 +$2 06-24 19:24
Will Alberta join the US? No +339 $325 97¢ $330 +$5 05-28 20:23
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +430 $275 76¢ $329 +$54 06-14 03:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +350 $312 92¢ $320 +$9 07-03 15:09
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +316 $300 95¢ $300 $-0 07-08 16:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +345 $297 86¢ $295 $-2 07-20 20:01
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +306 $275 96¢ $292 +$17 06-03 16:40
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +275 $256 93¢ $256 $-0 06-25 21:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +250 $231 97¢ $242 +$11 06-06 01:25
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +241 $200 94¢ $227 +$27 05-29 21:15
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +242 $220 88¢ $213 $-7 07-08 21:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +243 $210 88¢ $213 +$3 07-04 15:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +229 $202 92¢ $212 +$9 07-16 18:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +218 $200 94¢ $206 +$6 06-06 01:22
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +211 $200 98¢ $206 +$6 05-29 21:08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +213 $200 94¢ $201 +$1 07-03 15:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +239 $200 84¢ $200 $-0 07-07 01:37
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +200 $186 98¢ $196 +$10 06-09 05:17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +186 $175 97¢ $180 +$5 06-11 01:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +176 $150 94¢ $167 +$17 06-03 16:42
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +166 $160 96¢ $159 $-1 07-04 01:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +169 $150 93¢ $157 +$7 05-29 21:23
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +165 $150 92¢ $151 +$1 05-30 20:21
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +150 $149 100¢ $150 +$1 07-03 22:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +153 $110 70¢ $107 $-3 05-29 21:30
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +98 $75 87¢ $85 +$10 06-12 02:47
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +75 $56 92¢ $69 +$13 07-01 03:07
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +54 $50 94¢ $50 +$0 07-08 21:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +60 $50 80¢ $48 $-2 07-14 03:25