Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6f9…6c7d80
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$188
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
504
lifetime
Volume
$56.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$5.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 03:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
51% 100% +$51
Politics
49% 80% +$137
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +879 $801 92¢ $808 +$7 06-26 04:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +425 $395 94¢ $397 +$2 06-24 19:24
Will Alberta join the US? No +339 $325 98¢ $332 +$7 05-28 20:23
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +430 $275 71¢ $305 +$30 06-14 03:10
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +306 $275 92¢ $280 +$5 06-03 16:40
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +258 $250 100¢ $257 +$7 05-28 20:39
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +275 $256 92¢ $254 $-1 06-25 21:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +250 $231 95¢ $238 +$7 06-06 01:25
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +241 $200 89¢ $214 +$14 05-29 21:15
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +211 $200 98¢ $207 +$7 05-29 21:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +218 $200 93¢ $203 +$3 06-06 01:22
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +200 $186 97¢ $194 +$8 06-09 05:17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +186 $175 95¢ $177 +$2 06-11 01:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +176 $150 92¢ $161 +$11 06-03 16:42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +175 $152 90¢ $157 +$4 06-11 02:59
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +177 $150 87¢ $154 +$4 05-29 21:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +169 $150 90¢ $152 +$2 05-29 21:23
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +165 $150 90¢ $149 $-1 05-30 20:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +155 $130 86¢ $134 +$4 06-12 03:00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +153 $110 83¢ $127 +$17 05-29 21:30
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No +106 $100 100¢ $106 +$6 06-11 05:34
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +103 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 05-29 21:42
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +98 $75 82¢ $81 +$6 06-12 02:47
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? No +72 $70 100¢ $72 +$2 05-29 21:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +64 $55 99¢ $64 +$9 06-26 04:35
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +75 $56 73¢ $55 $-1 07-01 03:07
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +52 $50 100¢ $52 +$2 05-28 20:40
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +37 $35 94¢ $35 $-0 06-22 19:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-14 23:06
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +18 $15 84¢ $15 $-0 06-28 02:01