Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
217
Trades
684
lifetime
Volume
$1.41K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$309
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-08 10:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
38% 68% +$13
Politics
37% 64% +$1
Crypto
17% 57% -$88
Sports
5% 69% +$10
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +40 $32 95¢ $38 +$6 08-16 18:22
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +24 $21 96¢ $23 +$2 05-24 18:17
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +24 $18 95¢ $22 +$4 08-12 01:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +22 $18 98¢ $21 +$3 05-09 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17 $13 92¢ $16 +$3 06-11 14:34
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 06-20 01:17
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +14 $11 88¢ $13 +$2 10-30 14:47
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 83¢ $12 +$2 10-12 10:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 07-11 18:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 94¢ $10 +$2 07-07 17:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $9 46¢ $9 +$0 11-07 16:23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +9 $7 94¢ $9 +$2 07-07 18:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +24 $16 34¢ $8 -$8 07-16 14:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +8 $7 95¢ $8 +$1 07-03 17:36
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 07-21 09:04
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 07-13 00:15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +7 $6 99¢ $7 +$1 05-16 19:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 08-07 10:05
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +7 $5 95¢ $7 +$2 07-03 16:57
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +7 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 09-27 17:38
New pandemic before 2028? No +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 10-06 17:14
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +7 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-16 20:19
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 11-05 20:52
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 10-13 22:04
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 11-07 16:25
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 07-03 17:21
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 07-03 16:56
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 05-15 17:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $4 91¢ $4 +$0 06-09 10:16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-21 09:07