Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
17
Trades
306
lifetime
Volume
$696
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$109
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-21 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
33% 33% $-2
Crypto
32% 55% $-7
Politics
30% 0% $-15
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $11 72¢ $10 $-1 06-11 14:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 82¢ $9 +$1 07-07 17:08
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? No +9 $8 85¢ $8 $-0 07-19 20:04
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +9 $7 78¢ $7 +$0 07-07 18:18
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 $-0 07-13 00:15
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 74¢ $7 +$1 07-07 17:08
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 10:19
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 07-03 16:57
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 07-03 16:56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 07-03 17:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +6 $3 58¢ $4 +$1 06-07 22:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-29 15:05
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 07-07 18:14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 $-0 07-20 19:39
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 43¢ $3 $-0 07-01 10:27
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-03 17:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 06-26 20:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-01 10:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +3 $2 69¢ $2 +$0 07-03 17:17
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 07-01 11:15
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-11 18:11
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-01 11:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-01 10:51
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-29 14:46
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-11 12:41
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 07-03 17:18
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-07 16:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-03 14:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 12:19
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 12:29