Rectangular-Phenotype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

835

lifetime

Volume

$31.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

36% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$-1	92¢	$0	+$1	07-05 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	25	$3.6K	1,788	1,788	+0	open	—	05-01 00:38
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	26	$1.1K	559	569	-10	open	—	04-01 22:21
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	12	$788	338	459	-122	open	—	06-29 18:37
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	9	$722	364	364	+0	open	—	06-25 12:20
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	17	$673	322	371	-50	open	—	04-19 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	3	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	04-26 19:02
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$598	353	253	+100	open	—	03-28 15:17
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	10	$562	293	293	+0	open	—	02-17 22:01
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	13	$463	300	300	+0	open	—	07-11 01:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	10	$413	214	214	+0	open	—	01-24 18:43
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	4	$400	203	203	+0	open	—	06-12 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 20:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	12	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 02:39
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	8	$367	192	192	+0	open	—	04-21 02:30
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	21	$347	201	150	+51	open	—	04-18 19:25
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	6	$346	200	150	+50	open	—	04-21 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$337	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$335	222	222	+0	open	—	04-18 18:30
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	4	$332	180	180	+0	open	—	07-04 20:19
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$330	161	171	-10	open	—	02-24 21:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	03-28 15:16
will israel nuke iran by january 31	6	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	01-21 21:58
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 21corhigher	22	$317	165	165	+0	open	—	04-22 00:15
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 21corhigher	7	$308	155	155	+0	open	—	04-18 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	4	$300	201	101	+100	open	—	04-25 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	11	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	04-23 20:45
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 23corhigher	5	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-19 09:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$280	141	141	+0	open	—	04-13 23:13
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	8	$278	168	168	+0	open	—	07-03 21:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$274	142	142	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:26:16	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x427e63…
07-17 08:48:06	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdc66c3…
07-15 13:27:11	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0xe463c6…
07-12 08:20:38	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x8ef3fe…
07-11 16:06:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x146dd7…
07-11 01:56:10	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xd4425b…
07-09 23:48:47	lecornu out as french pm by july 31 2026 20260626155340321	No	BUY	96	98¢	$95	0x75d3ac…
07-09 17:35:55	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xd71590…
07-09 10:44:29	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	99	90¢	$89	0xe7000d…
07-08 20:27:41	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xfa23fb…
07-08 18:35:20	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x0f09fe…
07-07 23:46:02	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x941c1e…
07-07 14:23:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x8e3a7d…
07-07 07:32:56	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea7790…
07-07 03:52:58	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabf8b9…
07-07 03:52:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc168ea…
07-07 03:52:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9855fd…
07-07 03:52:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x975229…
07-07 03:52:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8998c3…
07-07 03:52:55	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x87c92f…
07-07 03:52:23	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5f3a3…
07-07 03:52:23	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd1cbf…
07-07 03:52:23	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x26ed54…
07-07 03:52:22	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x8ef7c0…
07-07 03:52:22	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0177f0…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xff21d1…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc0c34e…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbae74a…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98ae63…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14558e…
07-07 03:52:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x07f5a4…
07-06 23:18:47	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xac7623…
07-05 22:38:01	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x384f1a…
07-05 18:39:22	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	89	93¢	$84	0xb4c8c2…
07-04 22:39:08	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x4827d1…
07-04 20:19:29	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	90	92¢	$82	0x5aca2e…
07-04 19:01:50	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x3cb084…
07-04 14:26:14	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xfc3108…
07-04 14:24:44	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0xe072fa…
07-04 12:21:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x382a39…
07-04 12:20:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x8a5487…
07-04 12:13:40	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd51f7c…
07-04 12:06:25	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd1fd07…
07-04 12:02:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x2719ce…
07-04 11:58:14	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeea964…
07-04 11:42:20	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc7ba13…
07-04 11:41:46	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfdde10…
07-04 11:34:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8ae26e…
07-04 11:33:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf08ef0…
07-04 11:23:34	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4faa86…
07-04 11:12:59	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x850041…
07-04 09:20:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86d134…
07-04 02:42:56	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x9bc373…
07-03 21:23:56	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	84¢	$56	0xcd01dd…
07-03 21:20:08	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x77595e…
07-03 21:08:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x93a567…
07-03 21:05:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4affd4…
07-03 21:04:19	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcf6e04…
07-03 20:56:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xfa3363…
07-03 20:53:43	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb70332…
07-03 19:48:53	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x421ec5…
07-03 19:08:11	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0xbcd120…
07-03 18:54:59	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4ab23d…
07-03 17:52:44	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x55f727…
07-03 14:20:43	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x81f041…
07-03 14:04:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6347a7…
07-03 09:12:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x712a73…
07-02 23:35:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	54	93¢	$51	0x9fdcb6…
07-02 20:30:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x88a2f1…
07-02 18:45:16	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xc97734…
07-02 10:16:11	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xbe1477…
07-01 23:58:55	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x9466f5…
07-01 22:14:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x7423b2…
07-01 21:01:41	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x487371…
07-01 18:53:56	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa8eed9…
07-01 15:39:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x060054…
07-01 14:18:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf172bd…
07-01 14:16:53	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x68b5cc…
07-01 04:06:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf2d8bb…
06-30 22:32:19	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xbdb524…
06-30 18:38:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc39754…
06-30 18:25:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31a5f4…
06-30 18:23:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x062e3b…
06-30 18:14:11	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70be83…
06-30 16:00:05	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xde4630…
06-30 06:19:26	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4a2ef1…
06-30 00:25:14	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3a0995…
06-29 18:49:37	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf27e4c…
06-29 18:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x840e04…
06-29 18:41:43	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x25c1e4…
06-29 18:40:22	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2388ee…
06-29 18:40:11	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x23f4ce…
06-29 18:38:11	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82a8ba…
06-29 18:37:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x57f3ef…
06-26 14:00:18	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x77c354…
06-25 12:20:07	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a968c…
06-24 12:18:55	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe3d150…
06-22 10:03:08	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37d7fe…
06-22 09:12:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x26ec52…
06-22 08:36:10	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8159b0…