Rectangular-Phenotype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

765

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$75

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

37% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No		+66	$48	84¢	$55	+$7	07-01 22:14
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No		+22	$19	90¢	$20	+$0	07-02 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	25	$3.6K	1,788	1,788	+0	open	—	05-01 00:38
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	26	$1.1K	559	569	-10	open	—	04-01 22:21
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	12	$788	338	459	-122	open	—	06-29 18:37
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	9	$722	364	364	+0	open	—	06-25 12:20
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	17	$673	322	371	-50	open	—	04-19 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	3	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	04-26 19:02
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$598	353	253	+100	open	—	03-28 15:17
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	10	$562	293	293	+0	open	—	02-17 22:01
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	10	$413	214	214	+0	open	—	01-24 18:43
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	4	$400	203	203	+0	open	—	06-12 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 20:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	12	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 02:39
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	8	$367	192	192	+0	open	—	04-21 02:30
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	21	$347	201	150	+51	open	—	04-18 19:25
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	6	$346	200	150	+50	open	—	04-21 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$337	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$335	222	222	+0	open	—	04-18 18:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$330	161	171	-10	open	—	02-24 21:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	03-28 15:16
will israel nuke iran by january 31	6	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	01-21 21:58
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 21corhigher	22	$317	165	165	+0	open	—	04-22 00:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	11	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 02:14
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 21corhigher	7	$308	155	155	+0	open	—	04-18 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	4	$300	201	101	+100	open	—	04-25 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	11	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	04-23 20:45
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 23corhigher	5	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-19 09:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$280	141	141	+0	open	—	04-13 23:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$274	142	142	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 14:53
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 20corhigher	25	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	04-21 12:43
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 22c	16	$234	118	117	+0	open	—	04-19 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 20:30:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x88a2f1…
07-02 18:45:16	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xc97734…
07-02 10:16:11	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xbe1477…
07-01 23:58:55	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x9466f5…
07-01 22:14:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x7423b2…
07-01 21:01:41	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x487371…
07-01 18:53:56	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa8eed9…
07-01 15:39:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x060054…
07-01 14:18:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf172bd…
07-01 14:16:53	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x68b5cc…
07-01 04:06:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf2d8bb…
06-30 22:32:19	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xbdb524…
06-30 18:38:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc39754…
06-30 18:25:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31a5f4…
06-30 18:23:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x062e3b…
06-30 18:14:11	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70be83…
06-30 16:00:05	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xde4630…
06-30 06:19:26	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4a2ef1…
06-30 00:25:14	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3a0995…
06-29 18:49:37	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf27e4c…
06-29 18:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x840e04…
06-29 18:41:43	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x25c1e4…
06-29 18:40:22	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2388ee…
06-29 18:40:11	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x23f4ce…
06-29 18:38:11	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82a8ba…
06-29 18:37:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x57f3ef…
06-26 14:00:18	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x77c354…
06-25 12:20:07	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a968c…
06-24 12:18:55	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe3d150…
06-22 10:03:08	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37d7fe…
06-22 09:12:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x26ec52…
06-22 08:36:10	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8159b0…
06-22 08:35:59	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x451235…
06-22 05:23:04	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x791ce7…
06-21 17:22:16	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9a7334…
06-21 16:57:34	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x24a42e…
06-21 12:15:44	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc9d34a…
06-21 06:03:01	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x74b83e…
06-21 06:00:53	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d532f…
06-21 05:47:49	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe22c85…
06-21 00:54:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6bd5f8…
06-20 18:28:34	btc updown 5m 1781979900	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xc69e48…
06-20 18:27:43	btc updown 5m 1781979900	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0768f6…
06-20 18:26:08	btc updown 5m 1781979900	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x954208…
06-20 18:25:38	btc updown 5m 1781979900	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x89c5d7…
06-20 17:38:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1f071f…
06-20 16:22:59	btc updown 5m 1781972400	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0xe9dbca…
06-20 16:22:49	btc updown 5m 1781972400	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x14e204…
06-20 14:52:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeb45e6…
06-20 14:22:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f1197…
06-20 13:49:01	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcf1870…
06-20 13:44:14	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3e82f…
06-20 13:43:01	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x51bc8e…
06-20 13:39:02	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc19ca9…
06-20 10:09:10	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x19c38e…
06-20 10:03:37	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe5e703…
06-20 10:03:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x236a7c…
06-20 10:00:28	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec243d…
06-20 09:50:25	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x66bf82…
06-19 15:48:23	btc updown 5m 1781883900	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x989644…
06-19 15:48:07	btc updown 5m 1781883900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x261cb2…
06-19 15:16:01	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x147963…
06-19 15:12:49	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c2b53…
06-19 15:06:59	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4413bc…
06-19 15:04:29	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2dae0d…
06-19 14:54:38	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0147fb…
06-19 09:06:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x71ff0f…
06-18 14:02:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xea65f5…
06-17 06:53:01	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x71f88f…
06-16 12:29:42	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x74a221…
06-16 11:12:51	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	85¢	$87	0x0c91d7…
06-16 00:50:31	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x5d2300…
06-14 19:41:39	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x66b678…
06-14 19:39:03	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x2d70eb…
06-14 19:38:36	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc0977d…
06-14 19:36:16	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x79936b…
06-14 10:52:15	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x303b31…
06-13 04:05:33	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1d1982…
06-12 22:54:22	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x52a6e2…
06-12 22:20:01	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x212d95…
06-12 22:19:21	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0xea20ed…
06-12 20:26:07	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x2736d9…
06-11 04:15:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb2a13f…
06-10 22:03:37	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5e9700…
06-10 21:51:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x687b0f…
06-10 21:07:52	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xd5f83d…
06-10 17:27:40	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xc67e10…
06-10 03:45:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x8855c7…
06-09 18:09:48	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4aa6e4…
06-09 18:09:25	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4b0c87…
06-09 02:14:49	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x5ba348…
06-08 16:57:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	113	96¢	$108	0xf3ac0c…
06-08 09:10:58	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	77¢	$43	0x5d17b4…
06-08 09:10:55	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x598488…
06-08 09:10:51	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x6bdf46…
06-08 09:10:51	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x38c60d…
06-08 09:10:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x63d1a4…
06-08 09:10:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x3cd204…
06-08 09:10:31	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xef2731…
06-06 22:50:09	Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe6c956…