Thoughtful-Policy 0x11cb7d…e1e8c0
hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
67
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$4.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$11
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 09-05 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
90% 82% +$1,580
Other
7% 73% +$16
Tech
3% 0% -$110
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 09-05 19:29
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-30 16:30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-30 16:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-09 19:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-09 20:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-30 16:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 08-09 19:57
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 06-06 19:19
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +3 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 08-29 17:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $0 06-27 21:29
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $0 08-06 21:56