Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
open
Total volume
$255
$65 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$10,206
Latest YES mid
78¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-17 11:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $88 | — | +$88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $59 | $4 | +$55 |
| Below median | 1 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | +35 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 05-10 08:16 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 11:50:46 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | SELL | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xb55f52… |
| 05-17 11:50:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x6dab9c… |
| 05-17 11:35:49 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | SELL | 194 | 79¢ | $153 | 0x5a0615… |
| 05-16 12:46:47 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x805363… |
| 05-16 12:26:43 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xa9eb7f… |
| 05-14 01:36:34 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x38baa8… |
| 05-11 08:49:50 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd129b7… |
| 05-11 05:49:23 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x268200… |
| 05-11 05:19:19 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x46d87e… |
| 05-10 08:23:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x05bf17… |
| 05-10 08:16:48 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xc2c389… |
| 05-10 07:46:44 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf50def… |
| 05-10 07:16:38 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x1bb691… |
| 05-10 06:46:36 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xe860a8… |
| 05-10 06:16:30 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x7cf6b3… |
| 05-10 05:46:27 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x1e0441… |
| 05-10 04:46:17 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x1cf6c3… |
| 05-10 04:16:13 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x976938… |
| 05-10 03:46:08 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf193f0… |
| 05-10 03:16:04 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x6ad325… |
| 05-10 02:46:00 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x77dd8a… |
| 05-10 02:15:56 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x868fe7… |
| 05-10 01:45:51 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x923887… |
| 05-10 01:15:47 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x2c3ed0… |
| 05-10 00:15:39 | Right-Screwup 0x14db…0f89 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x3fbcb6… |
| 05-09 23:45:34 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x566e23… |
| 05-09 22:15:20 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x42bad0… |
| 05-09 21:15:11 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf2cad8… |