Shiny-Lie 0x9cb355…e81367 Create alert
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
21,459
Trades
410,044
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$748
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 11-03 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
71% 55% +$14,627
Politics
18% 61% +$3,425
Sports
6% 59% +$986
Tech
2% 60% +$347
Crypto
2% 54% +$212
Pop-Culture
0% 53% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1846 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -60 -$28 97¢ $-58 -$30 06-05 01:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -45 -$39 95¢ $-43 -$4 06-11 10:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -45 -$37 92¢ $-42 -$4 06-18 20:18
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -45 -$9 86¢ $-39 -$30 06-09 13:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +40 $26 94¢ $37 +$12 06-10 19:25
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -38 -$20 96¢ $-37 -$17 06-30 08:24
will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027 No — +45 $5 72¢ $32 +$27 06-10 12:24
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$31 99¢ $-30 +$1 06-11 23:41
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -30 -$35 97¢ $-29 +$6 06-01 12:45
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$31 97¢ $-29 +$2 06-17 03:54
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -30 -$23 94¢ $-28 -$6 06-15 01:23
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -30 -$25 94¢ $-28 -$3 06-08 22:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -27 -$25 98¢ $-26 -$1 04-28 21:27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -30 -$30 85¢ $-25 +$4 06-14 08:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -60 -$28 40¢ $-24 +$4 06-16 16:23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -24 -$21 97¢ $-23 -$2 05-31 00:40
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -23 -$21 97¢ $-22 -$1 06-23 12:25
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -30 -$25 72¢ $-21 +$4 06-16 09:40
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -39 -$11 55¢ $-21 -$11 06-02 11:27
OKX IPO in 2026? No -19 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-09 04:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -18 -$10 99¢ $-18 -$7 05-10 17:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -16 -$17 97¢ $-15 +$2 06-23 18:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -45 -$30 33¢ $-15 +$15 06-15 03:51
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -15 -$17 88¢ $-14 +$3 06-10 03:13
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 06-05 19:27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -58 -$45 23¢ $-13 +$31 06-24 02:25
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -17 -$22 79¢ $-13 +$9 07-02 06:59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -20 -$7 65¢ $-13 -$6 06-17 19:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -60 -$46 18¢ $-11 +$35 06-14 23:42
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 06-03 08:10