Shiny-Lie 0x9cb355…e81367
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
307
Trades
87,319
lifetime
Volume
$943.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-30 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
45% 56% +$43
Politics
38% 57% $-38
Sports
8% 65% +$39
Crypto
5% 29% $-17
Tech
4% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 5628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -121 $-85 100¢ $-121 $-35 06-22 22:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-95 99¢ $-99 $-4 06-18 14:27
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -71 $-70 100¢ $-70 $-1 06-17 18:32
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -68 $-33 100¢ $-68 $-35 06-22 20:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +65 $43 100¢ $65 +$22 06-11 12:23
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +66 $55 97¢ $64 +$9 06-16 00:18
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +61 $54 100¢ $61 +$7 06-15 12:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -60 $-63 100¢ $-60 +$3 06-23 16:17
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +60 $57 100¢ $60 +$3 06-25 15:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -60 $-56 96¢ $-58 $-2 06-06 01:34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -66 $-51 84¢ $-55 $-4 06-14 19:38
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -60 $-56 92¢ $-55 +$1 06-23 12:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -60 $-49 92¢ $-55 $-6 05-31 06:07
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -54 $-12 95¢ $-52 $-39 06-23 21:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -60 $-50 86¢ $-51 $-1 06-17 12:19
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +50 $31 100¢ $50 +$18 06-25 14:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +56 $47 86¢ $48 +$2 06-01 13:52
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -46 $-45 100¢ $-46 $-1 06-17 14:27
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-42 100¢ $-45 $-3 06-08 09:59
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -45 $-45 98¢ $-44 +$1 06-17 00:15
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No -46 $-44 94¢ $-43 +$1 06-05 19:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -60 $-36 70¢ $-42 $-6 06-20 17:52
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -45 $-39 92¢ $-42 $-2 06-28 00:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -43 $-41 95¢ $-41 $-0 06-25 14:49
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No +40 $37 100¢ $40 +$3 06-17 14:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No -45 $-39 88¢ $-40 $-0 05-30 01:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -41 $-39 95¢ $-39 $-0 06-06 10:08
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -45 $-40 87¢ $-39 +$1 06-04 06:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -86 $-53 45¢ $-39 +$14 06-17 02:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -45 $-36 86¢ $-38 $-2 06-22 00:52