Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
307
Trades
67,766
lifetime
Volume
$773.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
48% 56% +$43
Politics
37% 57% $-38
Crypto
6% 29% $-17
Sports
6% 65% +$39
Tech
3% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 5628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +150 $110 70¢ $106 $-4 06-09 16:38
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +90 $83 92¢ $82 $-0 06-09 09:30
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -120 $-81 68¢ $-81 $-0 06-09 09:44
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-81 98¢ $-79 +$2 06-09 11:32
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +80 $68 92¢ $73 +$5 06-09 05:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -90 $-71 81¢ $-73 $-2 06-03 15:45
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +61 $55 98¢ $60 +$5 06-06 04:23
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 05-28 06:58
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No +60 $57 97¢ $58 +$2 06-07 20:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +65 $43 88¢ $58 +$14 06-09 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -60 $-56 94¢ $-57 $-1 06-06 01:34
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No -55 $-54 99¢ $-55 $-1 06-02 15:03
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +60 $56 89¢ $53 $-3 06-01 06:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +62 $54 86¢ $53 $-1 06-09 15:27
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +53 $51 97¢ $52 +$1 06-09 07:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +55 $43 86¢ $47 +$4 06-09 19:49
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +60 $48 76¢ $46 $-2 06-03 06:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +56 $47 80¢ $45 $-2 06-01 13:52
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +49 $44 92¢ $45 +$1 06-08 16:22
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -60 $-49 74¢ $-44 +$5 05-31 06:07
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +50 $32 88¢ $44 +$12 06-09 19:50
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -46 $-44 96¢ $-44 +$1 06-08 07:27
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No -46 $-44 95¢ $-44 +$0 06-05 19:27
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-42 97¢ $-44 $-2 06-08 09:59
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -45 $-43 96¢ $-43 $-0 06-06 03:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $42 68¢ $41 $-1 05-31 20:56
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +60 $44 68¢ $41 $-3 06-06 05:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -57 $-33 70¢ $-40 $-7 06-03 21:05
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -41 $-39 95¢ $-39 $-0 06-06 10:08
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +45 $39 88¢ $39 +$1 06-01 02:35