Shiny-Lie 0x9cb355…e81367
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
307
Trades
87,463
lifetime
Volume
$945.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-20 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
45% 56% +$43
Politics
37% 57% $-38
Sports
8% 65% +$39
Crypto
5% 29% $-17
Tech
4% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2655 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +66 $55 96¢ $63 +$7 06-16 00:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -60 $-56 98¢ $-59 $-3 06-06 01:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -57 $-35 98¢ $-56 $-21 06-16 23:44
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -60 $-56 93¢ $-56 +$1 06-23 12:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -60 $-49 92¢ $-55 $-6 05-31 06:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -60 $-50 86¢ $-52 $-2 06-17 12:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -60 $-36 82¢ $-49 $-13 06-20 17:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -66 $-51 70¢ $-47 +$4 06-14 19:38
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No -46 $-44 94¢ $-44 +$0 06-05 19:27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -43 $-41 97¢ $-42 $-1 06-25 14:49
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -45 $-39 92¢ $-42 $-2 06-28 00:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +56 $47 74¢ $41 $-5 06-01 13:52
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -45 $-30 92¢ $-41 $-11 06-13 13:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No -45 $-39 90¢ $-41 $-2 05-30 01:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -41 $-39 97¢ $-40 $-1 06-06 10:08
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -45 $-40 89¢ $-40 $-0 06-04 06:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -45 $-36 84¢ $-38 $-1 06-22 00:52
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -41 $-33 92¢ $-37 $-4 06-25 22:05
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -45 $-31 82¢ $-37 $-6 06-16 04:38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -45 $-31 82¢ $-37 $-6 06-16 01:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-32 78¢ $-35 $-2 06-28 02:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +39 $30 88¢ $35 +$5 06-10 19:25
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +34 $32 100¢ $34 +$2 05-25 00:55
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -38 $-33 84¢ $-32 +$1 06-15 06:37
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -45 $-28 68¢ $-31 $-3 06-18 23:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -80 $-44 38¢ $-30 +$13 06-15 03:51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -34 $-29 90¢ $-30 $-1 06-30 00:51
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No -30 $-30 99¢ $-30 $-0 06-14 17:00
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -30 $-29 98¢ $-29 $-1 06-14 09:40
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -30 $-26 97¢ $-29 $-3 06-25 14:49