Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
38
lifetime
Volume
$395
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$389
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75% 100% +$2
Politics
15%
Crypto
6%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes -47 $-42 100¢ $-47 $-5 05-05 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5? Yes -45 $-21 100¢ $-45 $-24 05-05 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 5? No -30 $-26 100¢ $-30 $-4 05-05 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5? Yes -30 $-1 100¢ $-30 $-28 05-05 02:20
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -57 $-45 52¢ $-30 +$16 05-05 12:47
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes -30 $-26 97¢ $-29 $-3 05-05 10:41
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -28 $-27 96¢ $-28 $-0 05-05 08:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -57 $-22 40¢ $-23 $-1 05-04 21:44
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights Knights -21 $-16 76¢ $-16 $-0 05-05 05:15
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -28 $-16 56¢ $-16 +$0 05-05 06:20
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 4 2026? Yes -17 $-15 93¢ $-15 $-1 05-05 15:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No -15 $-15 97¢ $-15 $-0 05-05 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 6? No -14 $-13 98¢ $-14 $-0 05-05 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 5? No -9 $-6 100¢ $-9 $-3 05-05 09:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No -10 $-8 84¢ $-8 $-0 05-05 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 5? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 05-05 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 +$0 05-05 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5? Yes -5 $-0 100¢ $-5 $-5 05-05 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 05-05 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6? No -7 $-4 58¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 09:01
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 +$0 05-05 12:21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5? No -5 $-2 48¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6? Yes -5 $-1 32¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 03:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? Yes -5 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$2 05-05 11:31
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 6? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-05 04:20
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? No -1 $-0 34¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 6? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on May 5? Yes -20 $-4 $-0 +$4 05-05 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 5? Yes -30 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-05 04:30