Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
307
Trades
67,766
lifetime
Volume
$773.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
48%
56%
+$43
Politics
37%
57%
$-38
Crypto
6%
29%
$-17
Sports
6%
65%
+$39
Tech
3%
0%
$-1
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk
• peak 5628 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 1,297 | $18.6K | 16,346 | 15,843 | +503 | open | — | 05-18 22:29 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 946 | $15.4K | 13,363 | 13,335 | +28 | open | — | 06-01 18:45 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 745 | $14.3K | 9,729 | 9,384 | +346 | open | — | 05-25 06:03 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 723 | $13.0K | 11,337 | 11,139 | +199 | open | — | 05-31 15:15 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 450 | $11.9K | 9,777 | 9,047 | +731 | open | — | 05-24 14:26 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 467 | $10.1K | 7,482 | 7,227 | +255 | open | — | 05-31 22:00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 657 | $9.7K | 12,017 | 11,941 | +76 | open | — | 05-30 05:09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | 470 | $9.4K | 7,778 | 7,844 | -66 | open | — | 05-29 22:04 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 478 | $8.7K | 9,633 | 9,186 | +447 | open | — | 05-11 15:23 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 522 | $8.0K | 7,505 | 7,429 | +77 | open | — | 04-30 20:51 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 455 | $7.5K | 7,463 | 7,446 | +17 | open | — | 05-30 10:26 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | 414 | $6.9K | 6,975 | 6,937 | +38 | open | — | 05-31 17:42 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 718 | $6.2K | 6,085 | 6,107 | -22 | open | — | 06-09 21:36 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | 277 | $5.9K | 4,071 | 3,948 | +124 | open | — | 05-27 23:21 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | 227 | $5.7K | 4,296 | 4,092 | +205 | open | — | 05-29 23:53 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 254 | $5.2K | 6,507 | 6,426 | +80 | open | — | 05-15 09:14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | 215 | $4.9K | 3,839 | 3,835 | +4 | open | — | 05-29 20:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | 249 | $4.9K | 4,042 | 3,909 | +133 | open | — | 05-22 22:00 |
| nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals | 405 | $4.6K | 3,035 | 2,936 | +99 | open | — | 06-08 12:38 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | 304 | $4.5K | 3,968 | 3,969 | -1 | open | — | 06-02 11:21 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 152 | $4.2K | 2,375 | 2,304 | +72 | open | — | 05-26 00:54 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? | 256 | $4.1K | 3,580 | 3,432 | +148 | open | — | 05-16 00:00 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | 289 | $4.0K | 3,807 | 3,770 | +37 | Yes | +$13 | 05-12 12:35 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | 178 | $3.9K | 3,964 | 3,826 | +139 | open | — | 05-29 22:04 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | 273 | $3.7K | 3,475 | 3,377 | +98 | open | — | 05-15 07:28 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | 290 | $3.7K | 3,808 | 3,779 | +29 | open | — | 05-02 03:41 |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? | 280 | $3.7K | 3,325 | 3,310 | +15 | open | — | 05-20 14:32 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 202 | $3.6K | 3,037 | 2,893 | +144 | open | — | 05-11 01:16 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | 361 | $3.6K | 3,126 | 2,975 | +151 | open | — | 05-15 07:54 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | 66 | $3.6K | 2,236 | 1,885 | +351 | open | — | 05-11 15:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 718 | $524.4K | 52,423 | 06-09 22:25 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 668 | $1.75M | 34,208 | 06-09 22:24 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 585 | $65.5K | 10,946 | 06-09 22:30 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 568 | $33.2M | 67,807 | 06-09 22:31 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | 559 | $61.7K | 4,539 | 06-09 22:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | 510 | $164.1K | 18,158 | 06-09 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 486 | $21.1K | 8,474 | 06-09 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | 483 | $18.4K | 3,488 | 06-09 20:47 |