Shiny-Lie 0x9cb355…e81367
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
52
55 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$433
$456 lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$326
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76% 100% +$2
Politics
18% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 5? No -30 $-26 100¢ $-30 $-4 05-05 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5? Yes -30 $-1 100¢ $-30 $-28 05-05 02:20
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes -30 $-26 97¢ $-29 $-3 05-05 10:41
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -28 $-27 96¢ $-27 $-0 05-05 08:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -57 $-22 39¢ $-22 $-1 05-04 21:44
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -28 $-16 58¢ $-17 $-0 05-05 06:20
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights Knights -21 $-16 78¢ $-16 $-0 05-05 05:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No -15 $-15 97¢ $-15 $-0 05-05 00:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -20 $-15 68¢ $-14 +$1 05-05 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 6? No -14 $-13 99¢ $-14 $-0 05-05 03:45
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 4 2026? Yes -17 $-15 72¢ $-12 +$3 05-05 15:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? No -17 $-11 62¢ $-11 $-0 05-05 21:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No -10 $-8 100¢ $-10 $-2 05-05 14:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No -25 $-10 39¢ $-10 +$0 05-05 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 5? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 05-05 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6? No -10 $-5 61¢ $-6 $-1 05-05 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 +$0 05-05 13:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5? No -6 $-6 90¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 20:39
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -11 $-5 46¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 21:25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 5? No -5 $-2 100¢ $-5 $-3 05-05 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5? Yes -5 $-0 100¢ $-5 $-5 05-05 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 5? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-05 20:44
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -57 $-45 8¢ $-5 +$40 05-05 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 05-05 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6? No -7 $-4 65¢ $-4 $-0 05-05 09:01
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? Yes -30 $-3 12¢ $-4 $-1 05-05 21:15
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 +$0 05-05 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6? Yes -5 $-1 48¢ $-2 $-1 05-05 03:45
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 29¢ $-2 $-1 05-05 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -30 $-0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 19:17