Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$265
$5,476 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$766
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 11:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $5 | $133 | $127 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 5 | — | $56 | $56 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 16 | $5 | $51 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | +99 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 02:45 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-05 09:55 |
| Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-04 23:29 |
| Scented-Lunch 0xfe4c…ebea | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 08:45 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 10:30 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 05:59 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 09:55 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Graceful-Zebra 0x4ddd…7996 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:25 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2755…6eac | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Blank-Embryo 0x4000…5d0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d9…1831 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 11:05:14 | Cautious-Ziggurat 0xca90…a8df | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb407ad… |
| 05-05 10:50:18 | Blank-Embryo 0x4000…5d0c | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfd9295… |
| 05-05 10:30:26 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xdaa68c… |
| 05-05 09:55:22 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4e98ed… |
| 05-05 09:55:22 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2fa19d… |
| 05-05 09:25:14 | Graceful-Zebra 0x4ddd…7996 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6e4e82… |
| 05-05 08:46:02 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf147c1… |
| 05-05 08:45:58 | Scented-Lunch 0xfe4c…ebea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x303aa4… |
| 05-05 07:20:52 | Worthless-Niece 0x2a04…c853 | No | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x5773b7… |
| 05-05 05:59:52 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x022354… |
| 05-05 03:35:04 | (anonymous) 0xf6d9…1831 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x54f935… |
| 05-05 03:35:04 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xfd51bd… |
| 05-05 03:35:02 | (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x606660… |
| 05-05 03:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc6b27c… |
| 05-05 03:35:00 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe54fe7… |
| 05-05 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x903b22… |
| 05-05 03:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x9f198a… |
| 05-05 03:34:54 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x379828… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x21a616… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc2d50f… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x2cc32a… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xb5ba3e… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xca89ab… |
| 05-05 03:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x2755…6eac | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x00579c… |
| 05-05 03:34:50 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xb775dd… |
| 05-05 03:34:46 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x16d8bb… |
| 05-05 03:34:46 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x03d0d8… |
| 05-05 03:34:46 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4b84b3… |
| 05-05 03:34:44 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb3eb9d… |
| 05-05 02:45:00 | Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x007771… |
| 05-05 02:10:26 | Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x481ac7… |
| 05-05 00:15:06 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1cb79a… |
| 05-04 23:29:28 | Early-Bitten 0xa5a3…8414 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xb01d60… |
| 05-04 23:24:52 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xbe45bf… |